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brooklynite

(94,552 posts)
Fri May 5, 2017, 03:44 PM May 2017

Corbyn says Labour faces 'challenge on historic scale' to win general election live

Source: The Guardian

Here’s that statement from the Labour leader, Jeremy Corbyn, in full:

‘We have five weeks to win the general election, so we can fundamentally transform Britain for the many not the few.’ Photograph: Peter

The results were mixed. We lost seats but we are closing the gap on the Conservatives. I am disappointed at every Labour defeat in the local elections. Too many fantastic councillors, who work tirelessly for their communities, lost their seats.

We have five weeks to win the general election, so we can fundamentally transform Britain for the many not the few.

We know this is no small task – it is a challenge on a historic scale. But we, the whole Labour movement and the British people, can’t afford not to seize our moment.


Read more: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2017/may/04/council-local-general-election-mayoral-results-england-scotland-wales



From what I've seen, Labour had an unimpressive result in District and local elections today, which doesn't bode well for the June Parliamentary election.
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Corbyn says Labour faces 'challenge on historic scale' to win general election live (Original Post) brooklynite May 2017 OP
They are reapidly coming back from their ginormous deficit over the last couple months. Tiggeroshii May 2017 #1
I think you meant to say "rapidly." But even if they narrow the margin it is still going to be StevieM May 2017 #7
We'll see Tiggeroshii May 2017 #8
Corbyn is the problem. hrmjustin May 2017 #2
Well, regardless of whether that's true, Labour isn't goingt to switch him out now. Tiggeroshii May 2017 #3
Read a bit of psephology recently which predicted labour's woes: JHan May 2017 #4
A new leader might help nycbos May 2017 #5
Labor is headed for extinction, especially if Scotland leaves or its voters geek tragedy May 2017 #6
 

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)
1. They are reapidly coming back from their ginormous deficit over the last couple months.
Fri May 5, 2017, 03:48 PM
May 2017

gaining about 10%approval in a week, according to a guardian poll earlier this week. They are still shit as far as support goes -which is probably why their local elections didn't go so well, but they have about a month to capitalize on the gains in support they have been making.

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
7. I think you meant to say "rapidly." But even if they narrow the margin it is still going to be
Fri May 5, 2017, 04:11 PM
May 2017

a crushing loss. And I am not sure how much they will actually succeed in narrowing the margin.

 

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
2. Corbyn is the problem.
Fri May 5, 2017, 03:48 PM
May 2017

He cost them several hundred seats yesterday and could cause them to lose 50 seats in Parliament.

 

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)
3. Well, regardless of whether that's true, Labour isn't goingt to switch him out now.
Fri May 5, 2017, 03:51 PM
May 2017

Losing big in the next general election would be reason enough to put somebody else in. Nobody wants to have the responsibility of overseeing such huge losses.

JHan

(10,173 posts)
4. Read a bit of psephology recently which predicted labour's woes:
Fri May 5, 2017, 03:53 PM
May 2017
Lib Dems shouldn't count on Remain votes - the data looks bleak

Back in 1997, when New Labour won the general election in a historic landslide, Professor Anthony King described the exit poll as being like “an asteroid hitting the planet and destroying practically all life on Earth.” That election saw Labour win 418 seats to the Conservatives’ 165, while the Liberal Democrats gained 46 seats.

Our model sees the Tories on 422 seats, with Labour reduced to just 150, and the Lib Dems declining from 9 to 6. The Conservative majority would be north of 190. Labour would be wiped out beyond what most people are currently predicting. Leadership candidates like Clive Lewis would no longer be leadership candidates, because they would no longer be MPs.

The Lib Dems could lose a third of their MPs even after gains in places like Cambridge, with seats like Carshalton & Wallington, Richmond Park and Southport especially vulnerable. The danger in these seats is pretty clear. In Carshalton, Tom Brake won a majority of 1,510 in 2015. If a fraction of the town’s 7,000 UKIP voters return to the Tories, that majority will be wiped out. Southport is almost identically poised. Unless a major influx of Remain voters arrives from somewhere – and there’s no indication in any of this data that it will – then these seats will be lost. The Lib Dems don’t face the same problem in Richmond Park, which only turned back to the Lib Dems in December; but with a majority of less than 2,000 and a recent history of flipping, you wouldn’t bet the mortgage on a hold.
 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
6. Labor is headed for extinction, especially if Scotland leaves or its voters
Fri May 5, 2017, 03:57 PM
May 2017

continue to support separatist parties.

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