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DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
3. In a matter of weeks Trumpty Dumpty's poll numbers will fall below those...
Fri May 19, 2017, 01:11 PM
May 2017

of Shrub's just before he left office

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
8. Part of the effect of the last few days is not just to lower his approval ratings
Fri May 19, 2017, 01:38 PM
May 2017

but rather to lock them in at the low levels that they have already sunk to.

He was at 38 percent before word came out about leaking info to the Russians or that he tried to get the investigation of Michael Flynn dropped. I suppose it is possible that by Sunday his numbers could drop further. But I think the main impact will be to make it harder for his numbers to recover.

Kablooie

(18,612 posts)
2. fivethirtyeight has him at 39.3
Fri May 19, 2017, 01:10 PM
May 2017

This is at 10AM PST
Down from 39.5 yesterday and 39.8 the day before.

It was sinking all day yesterday and hopefully will continue.

Yonnie3

(17,422 posts)
4. and fivethirtyeight has ...
Fri May 19, 2017, 01:14 PM
May 2017

39.3%/54.4% in all polls
39.1%/54.7% in adults polled.
Registered voters aren't as disapproving at 40.2%/53.8%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

It is a sad commentary on our country that more than one third approve of him. Soon we will see a plateau in this graph and it will show us just how many deplorables are in this country. I look at these graphs every day and shake my head.

Bengus81

(6,928 posts)
7. Even Rasmussen is having a hard time pumping up his numbers but they keep trying.........
Fri May 19, 2017, 01:27 PM
May 2017

44% when half a dozen others polling have Trump at 39% approval on a good day.

Yonnie3

(17,422 posts)
9. I've looked at the full list at realclearpolitics and ...
Fri May 19, 2017, 01:47 PM
May 2017

while most pollsters' percentages don't add up to 100%, Rassmusens' do. Others seem to have 5 or 6% undecided. I haven't looked further to find methodologies (and I'm not planning to), but I suspect they discount undecideds or force an answer. In polls like this it makes a big difference in how you ask.

Grammy23

(5,810 posts)
11. Exactly. How the question is worded or which expressions are left out matters.
Fri May 19, 2017, 02:10 PM
May 2017

A lot. Classes in Methods of conducting surveys and polling teaches this early on. If someone wanted to try to help someone out with their poll, manipulating how the questions are asked would be a good place to start. Of course, in trump's case (or anyone else who acts like him), he will reach a place where no one can salvage his sinking numbers.

Me.

(35,454 posts)
16. Here's Some Of What I've Been Seeing
Fri May 19, 2017, 03:00 PM
May 2017

Donald Trump's Presidential Job Approval Ratings
Approval rating Dates
%
Most recent weekly average 38 May 8-14, 2017
Term average to date 41Jan 20, 2017-present
High point, weekly average 45 Jan 20-29, 2017
Low point, weekly average 38 Mar 27-Apr 2, 2017 and May 8-14, 2017
High point, three-day average 46 twice; last on Jan 23-25, 2017
Low point, three-day average 35 Mar 26-28, 2017

http://www.gallup.com/poll/203198/presidential-approval-ratings-donald-trump.aspx

“Trump’s latest approval ratings range between 38 percent and 46 percent. Fifty percent or more of respondents in each of the polls disapprove of his performance.

The president’s lowest approval rating comes from the Gallup Daily Tracking survey. In interviews conducted Monday-Wednesday, 38 percent of Americans approved of Trump’s job performance, while 57 percent disapproved.
Gallup has generally been more negative for Trump than other public polls. His approval rating dipped as low as 35 percent in the tracking survey earlier this week — down from 41 percent immediately before the health care bill died.”

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/03/trump-polling-approval-rating-month-236729

“The Gallup poll found 37% of Americans approve of how the president is doing his job. Comparatively, 58% disapprove of how Trump is handling the presidency.”

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/onpolitics/2017/03/20/trump-approval-rating-low/99409570/

DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
17. Thanks for that but, you do understand this low number is...
Fri May 19, 2017, 03:23 PM
May 2017

an average of all polls, meaning; half of the polls had him higher, the other half, less. I think you'll find your poll info is averaged into RCP's average

The RealClearPolitics polling average shows President Trump’s approval rate at 39.7%.

Me.

(35,454 posts)
18. I Do
Fri May 19, 2017, 03:28 PM
May 2017

But I also remember big announcements of a new low in March which was lower than 39.7% and people saying that was not low enough.

jimmil

(629 posts)
13. Here in Dallas
Fri May 19, 2017, 02:39 PM
May 2017

A local news station did a poll this week that showed among Texans Trump's popularity has actually gone up to a staggering 80%. Soon enough Putin will be able to build a winter house here and we'll all be shooting shots of vodka to comrade Trump!

David__77

(23,335 posts)
14. That was probably a poll of that station's listeners/viewers.
Fri May 19, 2017, 02:50 PM
May 2017

I do not find it likely that the general population of adults or voters in a station's geography would have such high approval.

groundloop

(11,514 posts)
15. That would of course be 80% of those who bothered to respond
Fri May 19, 2017, 02:55 PM
May 2017

My guess is that poll was trolled by deplorables.

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