Trumps Base Sticks With Him Except in the South

[riversedge]

This discussion thread was locked as off-topic by muriel_volestrangler (a host of the Latest Breaking News forum).

Source: nbc







Jul 30 2017, 11:20 am ET
Trump’s Base Sticks With Him — Except in the South



This week, a new set of state polls from Gallup showed President Donald Trump’s job approval numbers are very uneven and hold some deep challenges, but a deeper look at the numbers reveals clues about potential shifts in the electorate.


..........................On the most basic level the Gallup data, based on daily tracking polls from Jan. 20 through June 30, show Trump’s job approval is “underwater” (with higher “disapprove” than “approve” numbers) in 31 of the 50 states. His approval number is only 50 percent or higher in 17 states. ...........................


.............................

......... The Blue Wall Reassembling? — Trump ultimately won the presidency with narrow victories in three states: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Democrats thought of the states as a great “blue wall” around the Great Lakes, but Trump smashed through and won where no Republican had won since 1988. Now, however, the Gallup data suggest some of the bricks may be falling back into place here. Trump is underwater by 9 or more points in the three states and is at 52 percent job disapproval in all of them.

.......................................
And Trump’s very narrow margins here in November — he won the three by a total of about 78,000 votes - mean they were never big supporters of him. His slip in the blue wall numbers may be tied to his slide in the polls overall. Whatever the reason, without these states in his corner, any shot at a second term would get much tougher for him. ..............




Read more: http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/trump-s-base-sticks-him-except-south-n787856

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[Bernardo de La Paz]

1. Those three states were stolen for the Electoral College by collusion & conniving with Russkies. .nt

[Honeycombe8]

6. +1. nt

[not fooled]

10. Yep

This is another illegitimate puke presidency.

The news media needs to stop glossing over this inconvenient fact.

[bagelsforbreakfast]

2. time for him to ramp up the racism! n/m

[dsc]

3. Many older whites are deeply broken and I don't see us making huge gains among that population

which will keep the likes of Iowa and Ohio as states that are more often out of our reach than not. Both states are older and whiter than the country as a whole. The three C's in Ohio are no longer enough to overcome the drag of the old white electorate that are just about everywhere else.

[Honeycombe8]

5. The south has more old white people. And no place has more old whites than Florida.

So I don't think that's it.

Russia hacked those states, IMO. But any disgruntled people were white male workers...not so old. As Michael Moore described them.

[dsc]

8. Not by percent

Ohio is 80% white with a median age of 38.5 Florida is 60 percent white with a median age of 41.2. Florida has more seniors but many of their seniors are from the eastern urban centers not the rural ones Ohio has.

[Honeycombe8]

14. We're talking sheer numbers here. Or I was. In any case, it was the working white males....

or ones who had lost their jobs. Not old guys. From the info I saw. Unless you call 35 to 50 old.

[Honeycombe8]

4. No worries. Putin can fix that. :) But only if Trump delivers.

What Putin wants, I hear, is the removal of The Magnitsky Act. It's costing Putin billions.

[Best_man23]

7. Putin will not get his "deliverables"

If tRump vetoes the sanctions bill, Congress will have zero choice but to override him. If they don't they hands Dems a huge weapon for 2018 midterms.

[Honeycombe8]

9. He's said he'll sign. And natch he says it's a bill HE negotiated...that Congress sent him the bill

that he negotiated the terms of. HA.

I figured he wouldn't give up, though. He's relentless.

[TomCADem]

11. Democrats, the Left, Progressives Are Ignoring How Racism and Sexism...

...are not just used to oppress women and minorities, but to oppress white men by giving them a scapegoat while Trump takes away their healthcare and ruins the environment in order enrich himself and others like him.

[Aristus]

12. I can't feel sorry for any white men, no matter how oppressed they may be in actuality

as long as they are willing participants in their own oppression.

The LBJ quote could not be more succinct or timely.

[Doug the Dem]

13. "Except in the South"

Wut?

[Quixote1818]

15. Click on the link. He is negative 9 in Texas and Arizona and neg. 7 in Georgia

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/trump-s-base-sticks-him-except-south-n787856

[Doug the Dem]

16. But the South is Teabagger Heaven

If he's lost that region, who's gonna be his base?

[muriel_volestrangler]

17. Locking - the hosts feel this is analysis, rather than a breaking news story

It's about the same poll that you posted an LBN thread for on Wednesday: https://www.democraticunderground.com/10141830062

Please either add this analysis to that thread, or repost it in GD. Thanks.