Thu Jan 5, 2012, 01:33 PM
Purveyor (29,876 posts)
U.S. Companies Added 325,000 Jobs: ADP
Companies added more workers than forecast in December, a sign that the U.S. labor market was gaining momentum heading into 2012, according to a private report based on payrolls.
The 325,000 increase was the highest in records going back to 2001 and exceeded the highest projection in a Bloomberg News survey after a revised 204,000 gain the prior month, the report from the Roseland, New Jersey-based ADP Employer Services showed today. The median estimate called for an advance of 178,000. An acceleration in hiring may spur further gains in consumer spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of the world’s largest economy. A Labor Department report tomorrow may show payrolls rose by 150,000, not enough to keep the unemployment rate (USURTOT) from rising to 8.7 percent, economists in a Bloomberg survey projected. “We certainly are seeing resilience in the job market,” said Sean Incremona, a senior economist at 4cast Inc. in New York. “We’ve seen some improvement versus earlier in 2011 and it’s encouraging.” MORE... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-05/u-s-company-payrolls-expanded-by-a-more-than-estimated-325-000-adp-says.html
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34 replies, 5454 views
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Author | Time | Post |
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Purveyor | Jan 2012 | OP |
zipplewrath | Jan 2012 | #1 | |
titaniumsalute | Jan 2012 | #4 | |
TheWraith | Jan 2012 | #2 | |
DCBob | Jan 2012 | #23 | |
Hell Hath No Fury | Jan 2012 | #3 | |
dixiegrrrrl | Jan 2012 | #32 | |
KansDem | Jan 2012 | #5 | |
Marrah_G | Jan 2012 | #6 | |
jpak | Jan 2012 | #7 | |
chervilant | Jan 2012 | #25 | |
valerief | Jan 2012 | #8 | |
AllyCat | Jan 2012 | #11 | |
workinclasszero | Jan 2012 | #9 | |
RC | Jan 2012 | #10 | |
Purveyor | Jan 2012 | #14 | |
RC | Jan 2012 | #17 | |
JDPriestly | Jan 2012 | #12 | |
Purveyor | Jan 2012 | #13 | |
Sherman A1 | Jan 2012 | #27 | |
Fuddnik | Jan 2012 | #15 | |
jpak | Jan 2012 | #16 | |
tclambert | Jan 2012 | #20 | |
Fuddnik | Jan 2012 | #22 | |
NewJeffCT | Jan 2012 | #21 | |
dmallind | Jan 2012 | #30 | |
alp227 | Jan 2012 | #18 | |
quiller4 | Jan 2012 | #26 | |
Skittles | Jan 2012 | #19 | |
MjolnirTime | Jan 2012 | #24 | |
Botany | Jan 2012 | #28 | |
HughBeaumont | Jan 2012 | #29 | |
bigwillq | Jan 2012 | #31 | |
humblebum | Jan 2012 | #33 | |
bvar22 | Jan 2012 | #34 |
Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 01:38 PM
zipplewrath (16,376 posts)
1. Government layoffs have ended
Heard on the radio a little factoid that bodes well for Obama. The government layoffs of teachers and other civil servants has basically ended. The budgets have stabilized and so are the employment levels. Obvious exceptions here and there, but this overall trend is happening at the same time that the private sector is beginning to hire/rehire.
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Response to zipplewrath (Reply #1)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 01:49 PM
titaniumsalute (4,742 posts)
4. My wife teaches in Palm Beach County, FL
They had laid off so many bus drivers in the past few years they had to hire about 50 of them this school year to accomodate the students. In addition, they had to hire something like 250 new teachers just to accomodate the shortages.
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Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 01:39 PM
TheWraith (24,331 posts)
2. Cue people saying that the recovery is imaginary in 3... 2... 1...
And if confronted with 20 straight months of private sector job growth, they'll insist that those jobs "don't count" because there's never more than 150,000 of them.
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Response to TheWraith (Reply #2)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 07:44 PM
DCBob (24,689 posts)
23. Werent those same people saying we are in a depression??
Not sure what it will take to convince them we are recovering.
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Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 01:45 PM
Hell Hath No Fury (16,327 posts)
3. I hope that is true --
but there are some potential problems. This jobs info is from ADP not the government:
“This huge purge of workers is beyond the scope of normal seasonal adjustment,” D’Antonio, an economist at Citigroup Global Markets Inc. in New York, said in a research note before the report. “So the ADP folks have to make huge assumptions for December that often widely miss the mark.” ADP’s initial figures for November showed a 206,000 gain, while the Labor Department’s data two days later registered an increase of 140,000 in private payrolls for the month. |
Response to Hell Hath No Fury (Reply #3)
Fri Jan 6, 2012, 01:01 PM
dixiegrrrrl (59,966 posts)
32. Picture worth a 1,000 words
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Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 01:50 PM
KansDem (28,498 posts)
5. I'd like to know what kinds of jobs these are...
All jobs are not created equal
By Ed Garvey Are you sick of it yet? You know: “JOBS, JOBS, JOBS.” Every program, silly or serious, is introduced with the line “this will create jobs.” “Jobs, jobs, jobs” to justify the cost of another tax break for the rich or a new appointment. Everything espoused by the tea partiers will, we are told, create more jobs. But, as Tom Harkin pointed out years ago, slaves had jobs. We want good jobs — with benefits and wages that can support a family. Governor Scott Walker promised to create 250,000 permanent, family-supporting jobs in four years. If the poverty level is $22,000 for a family of four, we assume that a family-supporting job is roughly twice that amount. How did Walker kick off his mission? By killing a couple thousand high-speed rail jobs; watching Kohler cut 300 jobs, terminating 400 people at the Commerce Department. Some start. On FightingBob.com, we are keeping a tally on Walker-created jobs. Walker — our man of La Mancha — must create 177 jobs every day, weekends included, to reach his goal. He is down more than 6,000 jobs at this point, so he had better get moving. --more-- http://www.fightingbob.com/article.cfm?articleID=1263 Are these good-paying, family-supporting jobs? And are they permanent? |
Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 02:34 PM
Marrah_G (28,581 posts)
6. What kind of jobs?
I'm just not seeing it. My job depends on a healthy middle class.
Shit, I would just like business pick up enough so I could go back to full time and be able to quit my soul-sucking minimum wage retail cashier night job. |
Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 02:40 PM
jpak (41,188 posts)
7. Unemployment claims drop + job creation up = Victory Obama 2012
Too bad Doomers and the GOP...
yup |
Response to jpak (Reply #7)
Fri Jan 6, 2012, 02:27 AM
chervilant (8,267 posts)
25. Oh, noes!
Mustn't encourage a stark appraisal of our distressed global economy! Must be GOOD little sheeple, and lap up those lovely 'gradual recovery' red herrings!
hmm... I think the above commentary is no more helpful than your condescending snark... |
Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 02:58 PM
valerief (53,235 posts)
8. In what countries did the U.S. companies add these jobs? nt
Response to valerief (Reply #8)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 04:04 PM
AllyCat (13,146 posts)
11. That was my question. Gov. Walker has "created" jobs too
and while wide from his 250,000 mark, he sure helped out with some outsourcing to CA and other locales wide from Wisconsin.
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Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 03:03 PM
workinclasszero (28,270 posts)
9. I sure hope people can start finding jobs again
Man if the economy takes off this year the president will have reelection on lockdown!
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Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 03:33 PM
RC (25,592 posts)
10. Are these jobs Living-Wage-Jobs?
Jobs with benefits? Permanent jobs? Full time jobs?
Only one of the above? Or all of the above? |
Response to RC (Reply #10)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 04:40 PM
Purveyor (29,876 posts)
14. For someone who has been out of work for 2+ years, I don't think it matters too much at this time.
Any paycheck is welcomed.
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Response to Purveyor (Reply #14)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 06:39 PM
RC (25,592 posts)
17. Yes, it does matter.
Do you really want to spend the rest of your life doing part time, minimum wage jobs to survive?
Yeah, it really does matter. |
Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 04:06 PM
JDPriestly (57,936 posts)
12. Good news although not really enough.
But at least it is a move in the right direction.
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Response to JDPriestly (Reply #12)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 04:39 PM
Purveyor (29,876 posts)
13. The recovery is slowly starting to fuel itself as consumer confidence builds. It should continue
unless the price of oil spikes.
The neocons are so hoping for this hence their giddiness over a military strike on Iran. |
Response to JDPriestly (Reply #12)
Fri Jan 6, 2012, 05:09 AM
Sherman A1 (38,958 posts)
27. Precisely
I would stay it's a start, but really nothing beyond that. There is simply too much negative economic news and one only need look at the price of gasoline as they pass by a station to begin informing themselves that things are not particularly good.
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Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 04:46 PM
Fuddnik (8,846 posts)
15. I've followed the ADP closely and monthly for about 6 years.
I've found that they are consistently wrong, toward the sunny side, every...single...month.
Why anyone would pay for their information is beyond me. Check the official results tomorrow. |
Response to Fuddnik (Reply #15)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 05:22 PM
jpak (41,188 posts)
16. So if the Labor Dept. sez it's "only" 300,000 new jobs will you be disappointed?
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Response to jpak (Reply #16)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 07:10 PM
tclambert (10,890 posts)
20. briefing.com says the consensus expectation for Labor Dept. figures will be only 150K job increase
which is still good, above the 100K we need to keep up with population growth. They say they expect the official unemployment rate to go UP to 8.7%. Apparently, they expect the labor force to grow more than normal this month. Hmm, December college graduates, maybe? It's hard to fathom all the adjustments and manipulations in these figures.
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Response to jpak (Reply #16)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 07:44 PM
Fuddnik (8,846 posts)
22. They're usually further off than that.
And I'm not talking about whether I'd be disappointed or not. Just pointing out a fact that I've observed, month after month for years.
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Response to Fuddnik (Reply #15)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 07:41 PM
NewJeffCT (56,746 posts)
21. Are they counting only private sector employment?
whereas the Labor Dept considers both private and public (govt) employment
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Response to Fuddnik (Reply #15)
Fri Jan 6, 2012, 10:30 AM
dmallind (10,437 posts)
30. Really?
Which is which then.....what happens when you chart one of them?
http://www.adpemploymentreport.com/ner/charting.aspx ![]() And here's a long term indepensdent review showing changes by month from both sources rather than total (no cheating - these are labeled series) ![]() http://seekingalpha.com/article/278674-adp-vs-bls-correlating-the-labor-reports |
Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 06:43 PM
alp227 (31,374 posts)
18. given it was december most of these were probably temp holiday retail jobs
and other posters are suggesting to be skeptical of this firm's figures.
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Response to alp227 (Reply #18)
Fri Jan 6, 2012, 03:28 AM
quiller4 (2,467 posts)
26. most holiday retail hiring took place in Oct and Nov.
I live in Washington state. Boeing added jobs in Auburn, Everett, Fredrickson and Renton. According to articles in the Everett Herald and the Puget Sound Business journal, Boeing has hired an average of 100 new workers in the region every week since April 2011. Boeing is hiring through its IAM Joint Apprenticeship Program, too. Apprentice wages begin at $11 hr and rise to $18.57 but most of the hiring has been at Labor Grade 7 or above with the average new hire starting at $22.50.
Boeing subcontractors are hiring, too. 2011 is the second consecutive year to register employment growth in the manufacturing sector. We haven't had two consecutive years in growth in manufacturing since the late 80s. |
Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 07:07 PM
Skittles (143,898 posts)
19. that is good
now keep going!!!
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Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Thu Jan 5, 2012, 08:47 PM
MjolnirTime (1,800 posts)
24. Hey-oooooooo!!!!!!
Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Fri Jan 6, 2012, 07:21 AM
Botany (64,183 posts)
28. So when Obama took office the economy was dropping 700,000 jobs per month
and now we have been adding jobs jobs every month for the past 23 months?
We still have a long way to go but this really puts the bee in the republican's talking point bonnet. Dropping 700,000 jobs per month or adding 325,000 jobs per month which would you rather have? |
Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Fri Jan 6, 2012, 09:47 AM
HughBeaumont (24,461 posts)
29. Wow, this . . . really sucks for the Republican's "This Administration's Policies" argument!
. . . even though, policy-wise, not much has changed since Bewsh. We still have a ways to go, but any good news is reassuring to most struggling Americans.
Now that the economy is showing positive signs, the reasoning for further extending the $2 trillion-costing tax cuts for the wealthy (like the 1%er Repubs want) becomes weaker and weaker. See this? > This is the world's most microscopic tear being shed for their plights. ![]() |
Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Fri Jan 6, 2012, 10:32 AM
bigwillq (72,790 posts)
31. That's good.
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Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Fri Jan 6, 2012, 01:07 PM
humblebum (5,881 posts)
33. But, don't retailers normally hire about that much extra help
over the holidays?
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Response to Purveyor (Original post)
Fri Jan 6, 2012, 02:05 PM
bvar22 (39,909 posts)
34. This was predicted by Ross Perot when he told the truth about the effectgs of NAFTA in 1992.
Perot said that jobs would return to the USA,
....when wages and benefits in the US fell to 3rd World standards. Ross was right. You will know them by their WORKS, not by their excuses. [font size=5 color=green][center]Solidarity99![/font][font size=2 color=green] --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------[/center] |