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louis c

(8,652 posts)
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 04:31 PM Nov 2017

Moore Trails Democrat Jones by 12 Points

Source: Politico


Republican Roy Moore is trailing Democrat Doug Jones by 12 points in the Alabama special Senate election, according to a poll conducted by the National Republican Senatorial Committee after five women accused Moore of pursuing them as teenagers.

Jones led Moore 51 to 39 percent, according to the survey taken Sunday and Monday. The NRSC withdrew its support for Moore after the Washington Post published the first allegations against Moore on Thursday, and the group’s chairman, Sen. Cory Gardner (R-Colo.) said Moore should be expelled from the Senate if he wins on Dec. 12


Read more: https://www.politico.com/story/2017/11/15/roy-moore-doug-jones-poll-244937

34 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Moore Trails Democrat Jones by 12 Points (Original Post) louis c Nov 2017 OP
Go Doug go! VMA131Marine Nov 2017 #1
Do you like my hat? Bob Loblaw Nov 2017 #32
Things are too chaotic right now... brooklynite Nov 2017 #2
I agree... It's too early to get excited abt poll #s. TheDebbieDee Nov 2017 #8
Dont trust polls. djg21 Nov 2017 #33
Yep - this just gets the Repugs out to vote FakeNoose Nov 2017 #17
So yesterday Moore was ahead by 10 LiberalLovinLug Nov 2017 #3
Sir Humphrey Appleby explained it. nycbos Nov 2017 #14
Seems to me the steady stream of accusers and even Fox abandonment is now showing up. Fred Sanders Nov 2017 #30
Don't get overconfident. Get out the Vote, Alabama. n/t FSogol Nov 2017 #4
There are some oddities related to this poll which we should be weary of. LonePirate Nov 2017 #5
Yep. Good analysis. I think the GOP is trying to get Moore to drop out. nt SunSeeker Nov 2017 #21
A poll put out by a republican organiztion... trc Nov 2017 #6
Backwards. NRSC has dropped Moore & is biased against Moore. . . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Nov 2017 #16
Maybe the voters will take the repubs off the hook. Turbineguy Nov 2017 #7
If it sounds too good to be true than it probably is. nycbos Nov 2017 #9
About time. I was worried about that 9% undecided when it was 46 to 41%. Good news indeed.... marble falls Nov 2017 #10
Is there hope that a small percent of the base actually has morals? BigmanPigman Nov 2017 #11
Thinking same thing. 20% of Republicans, the ones with children, changing their vote from Fred Sanders Nov 2017 #31
Don't believe it grandpamike1 Nov 2017 #12
That looks good but NastyRiffraff Nov 2017 #13
Do you think they faked the result to get him to withdraw? Seems too much of a swing. George II Nov 2017 #15
GET OUT THE FUCKING VOTE joshcryer Nov 2017 #18
Clinton Won SoCalMusicLover Nov 2017 #29
I would go slow on THIS poll Brother Buzz Nov 2017 #19
The Better Half of the GOP will stay at home on election day Cryptoad Nov 2017 #20
At this point, only an idiot would think this circular firing squad is a clever ruse by Trump. LanternWaste Nov 2017 #22
I doubt those numbers are real Renew Deal Nov 2017 #23
I think so also. riversedge Nov 2017 #24
I agree. I think people don't want to admit they're voting for him More_Cowbell Nov 2017 #26
The GOP will force him to quit now. C Moon Nov 2017 #25
51% is good threshold to break into beachbum bob Nov 2017 #27
I'll believe it when the votes are counted C_U_L8R Nov 2017 #28
Hang in there Moore, Jeebus will help you! Ligyron Nov 2017 #34

brooklynite

(96,623 posts)
2. Things are too chaotic right now...
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 04:35 PM
Nov 2017

...I wouldn't trust any polling until new revelations stop and the campaign stabilizes.

 

djg21

(1,803 posts)
33. Dont trust polls.
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 07:38 PM
Nov 2017

my fear is that many voters will never admit to a pollster that they will be voting for Moore, but when in the privacy of the voting booth . . . .

FakeNoose

(33,930 posts)
17. Yep - this just gets the Repugs out to vote
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 05:02 PM
Nov 2017

If they think they're ahead, maybe some of them will stay home.
But if they know they're behind, they'll get everybody to the polls in buses.

LiberalLovinLug

(14,238 posts)
3. So yesterday Moore was ahead by 10
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 04:36 PM
Nov 2017

And the day before that he was behind by 3.

You cannot trust polls anymore. We learned this in the last general election.

LonePirate

(13,656 posts)
5. There are some oddities related to this poll which we should be weary of.
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 04:37 PM
Nov 2017

Party committees almost never release polls where their candidate is trailing badly. Granted, the NRSC did cut ties to Moore.

Rather, I think this poll (and it may be flawed) was released to encourage Moore to drop out from the race. Whether that would trigger a delay in the election, I do not know. The NRSC doesn’t want Jones or Moore in the seat so pushing a poll with good news for Jones is uncharacteristic of them, to say the least.

trc

(823 posts)
6. A poll put out by a republican organiztion...
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 04:39 PM
Nov 2017

could they possibly be trying to scare the base to vote for moore so that the Democrat in the race won't win? It will work.

Turbineguy

(37,781 posts)
7. Maybe the voters will take the repubs off the hook.
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 04:41 PM
Nov 2017

It's a shame really. Moore could bring the republican senate to a complete stop, making a 2018 conversion certain.

marble falls

(59,567 posts)
10. About time. I was worried about that 9% undecided when it was 46 to 41%. Good news indeed....
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 04:46 PM
Nov 2017

Jones may be conservative but he does have a good record as a prosecutor going after the Klansmen who bombed the church where four children were murdered.

Fred Sanders

(23,946 posts)
31. Thinking same thing. 20% of Republicans, the ones with children, changing their vote from
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 07:09 PM
Nov 2017

Pedo to Not Pedo is all it would take.

grandpamike1

(197 posts)
12. Don't believe it
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 04:49 PM
Nov 2017

Seems like they are trying to gin up their base, and get them out to vote. Be very wary of this, especially coming from Republicans.

NastyRiffraff

(12,448 posts)
13. That looks good but
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 04:49 PM
Nov 2017

December 12 is a long way away, in political time. Keep up the work on the ground in Alabama, Democrats! Don't let up because of a good poll.

Brother Buzz

(36,740 posts)
19. I would go slow on THIS poll
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 05:05 PM
Nov 2017

The race is a statistical tie from my unscientific measurements. But then again, tossing this bogus poll out there just might turn a few yahoos in Alabama, and as Martha Stewart would say, "it's a good thing".

Cryptoad

(8,254 posts)
20. The Better Half of the GOP will stay at home on election day
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 05:11 PM
Nov 2017

I predict a Dem landslide........ Dreaming of a Purple Bama!

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
22. At this point, only an idiot would think this circular firing squad is a clever ruse by Trump.
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 05:15 PM
Nov 2017

I'm confident in the numbers-- Moore's endorsements are consistently doing one-eighties on him, the RNC has pulled funding from his campaign, prominent GOP spokesmen, both in DC and in the media are demanding he drop out, all polls are consistently showing him on the downside slide beneath Jones, and he of course assaulted under-age girls.

At this point, only an idiot would think this comedic circular firing squad is a clever ruse by Trump or his advisers. Moore is done, and the only question remaining will be if he stays in the race and splits the GOP vote, or simply goes quietly into that good night.

 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
27. 51% is good threshold to break into
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 06:31 PM
Nov 2017

and its only going to get worse for moore as his defenders "defend him" with pure nonsense

Ligyron

(7,768 posts)
34. Hang in there Moore, Jeebus will help you!
Wed Nov 15, 2017, 08:17 PM
Nov 2017

We don't want him to drop out or the GOP to somehow slip a decent candidate in there. Even if he wins it will throw the Senate into chaos for years.

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