Moore Trails Democrat Jones by 12 Points

[louis c]

Source: Politico


Republican Roy Moore is trailing Democrat Doug Jones by 12 points in the Alabama special Senate election, according to a poll conducted by the National Republican Senatorial Committee after five women accused Moore of pursuing them as teenagers.

Jones led Moore 51 to 39 percent, according to the survey taken Sunday and Monday. The NRSC withdrew its support for Moore after the Washington Post published the first allegations against Moore on Thursday, and the group’s chairman, Sen. Cory Gardner (R-Colo.) said Moore should be expelled from the Senate if he wins on Dec. 12


Read more: https://www.politico.com/story/2017/11/15/roy-moore-doug-jones-poll-244937

[VMA131Marine]

1. Go Doug go!

Suck it, Moore!

[Bob Loblaw]

32. Do you like my hat?

Oops, my bad. I thought you meant Go Dog Go.

[brooklynite]

2. Things are too chaotic right now...

...I wouldn't trust any polling until new revelations stop and the campaign stabilizes.

[TheDebbieDee]

8. I agree... It's too early to get excited abt poll #s.

[djg21]

33. Dont trust polls.

my fear is that many voters will never admit to a pollster that they will be voting for Moore, but when in the privacy of the voting booth . . . .

[FakeNoose]

17. Yep - this just gets the Repugs out to vote

If they think they're ahead, maybe some of them will stay home.
But if they know they're behind, they'll get everybody to the polls in buses.

[LiberalLovinLug]

3. So yesterday Moore was ahead by 10

And the day before that he was behind by 3.

You cannot trust polls anymore. We learned this in the last general election.

[nycbos]

14. Sir Humphrey Appleby explained it.

[Fred Sanders]

30. Seems to me the steady stream of accusers and even Fox abandonment is now showing up.

[FSogol]

4. Don't get overconfident. Get out the Vote, Alabama. n/t

[LonePirate]

5. There are some oddities related to this poll which we should be weary of.

Party committees almost never release polls where their candidate is trailing badly. Granted, the NRSC did cut ties to Moore.

Rather, I think this poll (and it may be flawed) was released to encourage Moore to drop out from the race. Whether that would trigger a delay in the election, I do not know. The NRSC doesn’t want Jones or Moore in the seat so pushing a poll with good news for Jones is uncharacteristic of them, to say the least.

[SunSeeker]

21. Yep. Good analysis. I think the GOP is trying to get Moore to drop out. nt

[trc]

6. A poll put out by a republican organiztion...

could they possibly be trying to scare the base to vote for moore so that the Democrat in the race won't win? It will work.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

16. Backwards. NRSC has dropped Moore & is biased against Moore. . . . . nt

[Turbineguy]

7. Maybe the voters will take the repubs off the hook.

It's a shame really. Moore could bring the republican senate to a complete stop, making a 2018 conversion certain.

[nycbos]

9. If it sounds too good to be true than it probably is.

[marble falls]

10. About time. I was worried about that 9% undecided when it was 46 to 41%. Good news indeed....

Jones may be conservative but he does have a good record as a prosecutor going after the Klansmen who bombed the church where four children were murdered.

[BigmanPigman]

11. Is there hope that a small percent of the base actually has morals?

I will believe it when I see it.

[Fred Sanders]

31. Thinking same thing. 20% of Republicans, the ones with children, changing their vote from

Pedo to Not Pedo is all it would take.

[grandpamike1]

12. Don't believe it

Seems like they are trying to gin up their base, and get them out to vote. Be very wary of this, especially coming from Republicans.

[NastyRiffraff]

13. That looks good but

December 12 is a long way away, in political time. Keep up the work on the ground in Alabama, Democrats! Don't let up because of a good poll.

[George II]

15. Do you think they faked the result to get him to withdraw? Seems too much of a swing.

[joshcryer]

18. GET OUT THE FUCKING VOTE

Clinton led Trump by 6 points on the day of election.

[SoCalMusicLover]

29. Clinton Won

Just like Kerry 12 years earlier.

[Brother Buzz]

19. I would go slow on THIS poll

The race is a statistical tie from my unscientific measurements. But then again, tossing this bogus poll out there just might turn a few yahoos in Alabama, and as Martha Stewart would say, "it's a good thing".

[Cryptoad]

20. The Better Half of the GOP will stay at home on election day

I predict a Dem landslide........ Dreaming of a Purple Bama!

[LanternWaste]

22. At this point, only an idiot would think this circular firing squad is a clever ruse by Trump.

I'm confident in the numbers-- Moore's endorsements are consistently doing one-eighties on him, the RNC has pulled funding from his campaign, prominent GOP spokesmen, both in DC and in the media are demanding he drop out, all polls are consistently showing him on the downside slide beneath Jones, and he of course assaulted under-age girls.

At this point, only an idiot would think this comedic circular firing squad is a clever ruse by Trump or his advisers. Moore is done, and the only question remaining will be if he stays in the race and splits the GOP vote, or simply goes quietly into that good night.

[Renew Deal]

23. I doubt those numbers are real

[riversedge]

24. I think so also.

[More_Cowbell]

26. I agree. I think people don't want to admit they're voting for him

Just like Trump.

[C Moon]

25. The GOP will force him to quit now.

[beachbum bob]

27. 51% is good threshold to break into

and its only going to get worse for moore as his defenders "defend him" with pure nonsense

[C_U_L8R]

28. I'll believe it when the votes are counted

[Ligyron]

34. Hang in there Moore, Jeebus will help you!

We don't want him to drop out or the GOP to somehow slip a decent candidate in there. Even if he wins it will throw the Senate into chaos for years.