ARIZONA SPECIAL HOUSE ELECTION WILL BE TIGHT ACCORDING TO NEW POLL

[Bradshaw3]

This discussion thread was locked as off-topic by muriel_volestrangler (a host of the Latest Breaking News forum).

Source: Newsweek

A new poll published by Emerson College on Monday says that a special House election in Arizona next week will be tight.

The poll has Democratic candidate Hiral Tipirneni in a “statistical dead heat” with Republican Debbie Lesko for Arizona’s 8th Congressional District. Tipirneni had a slight lead, 46 percent to 45 percent. The Emerson poll is a swing from previous polling. A poll last week by OH Predictive Insights had Lesko up 10 percent.



Read more: http://www.newsweek.com/hiral-tipirneni-debbie-lesko-conor-lamb-donald-trump-887807

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This is a solid repub district but Franks (the incumbent) and Lesko (the repub nominee) both have ethical issues. Plus, Democrat Hiral Tipirneni is a likable, smart new face.

To help her, go to:
https://secure.actblue.com/donate/specialelection-az-08

[kimbutgar]

1. Its Surprise Arizona tea party central

But wouldn’t it be delish if Tipimeni won?

[Bradshaw3]

3. It would be as heartening as Lamb winning

From what I've seen I really like Tipirneni. A decent, intelligent, talented woman. The opposite of Franks and Lesko.

[rpannier]

2. Thanks for the heads up

I will have to donate

[Wheezy]

4. Thank you for spreading the word! K&R (& donated!)

She has a real chance here. Please help if you can!

[Lucky Luciano]

5. First I heard of this! This isnt getting anywhere near the play that Lamb got! nt

[beachbum bob]

6. If Tipirneni was polling in 52-53% range then the election might be winnable, but statisticall, with

a tied race and 9% undecided, it usually does not break for the "challenger" as Tipirneni is in this case, but still, this race may be close even with a loss it gotta send fear to the core of the GOP...

[Bradshaw3]

7. Wondering what that is based on

Since there isn't an incumbent there isn't a challenger, even though it's a repub district and even if true, what statistical evidence is there that a close race breaks against the challenger? The break in this race based on the recent polls are for Tipirneni.

I don't know whether she can win or not, or if this poll means she will, but I've been involved in politics for a long time and never heard of what you say.

[muriel_volestrangler]

8. Locking - duplicate thread

of https://www.democraticunderground.com/10142038782 . Please continue discussion there. Thanks.