Irish Times exit poll projects Ireland has voted by landslide to repeal Eighth Amendment

[moriah]

Source: Irish Times

Ireland has voted by a landslide margin to change the constitution so that abortion can be legalised, according to an exit poll conducted for The Irish Times by Ipsos/MRBI.

The poll suggests that the margin of victory for the Yes side in the referendum will be 68 per cent to 32 per cent – a stunning victory for the Yes side after a long and often divisive campaign.

Four thousand voters were interviewed by Ipsos/MRBI as they left polling stations yestersay. Sampling began at 7am and was conducted at 160 locations across every constituency throughout the day. The margin of error is estimated at +/- 1.5 per cent.

Counting of votes begins this morning at 9am with an official result expected to be declared in the afternoon.

Read more: https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/irish-times-exit-poll-projects-ireland-has-voted-by-landslide-to-repeal-eighth-amendment-1.3508861

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Now let's see if polls match count, or if people were too ashamed of admitting they wouldn't vote to give reproductive rights to women.

[calimary]

1. Well, how 'bout that!

Another victory for women's autonomy! It's HER body. SHE gets to decide. Full stop.

[CaliforniaPeggy]

2. That's very good news, if true.

[notdarkyet]

3. Does trump own a golf course there? I'm very happy for th

[Jedi Guy]

32. I don't think he does.

He has Turnberry, which is in Scotland. If he has a property in Ireland, I've never heard of it.

[LisaM]

4. Wow.

I hope this is true. Ireland moves forward while we move backwards...

[moriah]

6. I'm hopeful as well.

I'm still scared, because even exit polls might have errors.

But I'm hopeful.

[BigmanPigman]

5. Fuckin A!!!!!

It took long enough...finally women are not sitting in the back of the bus in Ireland.

[PSPS]

7. Amazing how voting can work when Google and Facebook turn off the bots like they did here.

[LisaM]

10. That is a very good point.

A very good point indeed, and I intend to point that out to people.

[Deuce]

8. Hopefully, this turns out to be the case.

[OnDoutside]

9. Hopefully this will be as big a margin as this suggests, so that it ends the argument

once and for all here in Ireland, because we are only going to become more secular and liberal.

On a personal note, having seen the crap the No side have been carrying on, this is a massive humiliation for them...dee-fucking-lightful.

[moriah]

13. On behalf of America itself, I apologize for the pro-fetus ones of us...

... who came over there with pictures of dead embryos thinking that was 1) how to change minds or 2) that it was any of their GD business.

I'm sure the debate within your country was bad enough without people in ours coming there and adding to it.

I am embarrassed by every one of them.

[Granny M]

14. I was surprised to meet one of them.

We were hanging up some YES posters near the college in Sligo and he came up to us. He wanted to know when we thought life began, and what our views were. He wasn't aggressive, just subtly trying to get his point across. The ladies weren't for turning, though, and he went away. We did find one of his leaflets on my windshield when we got back to the car.

[OnDoutside]

17. There were lots of those here but clearly they only pissed people off !

[TimeSnowDemos]

22. Truly

Im pretty sure that poster campaign was a huge mistake. I met no one that thought it was in good taste.

Great day for Ireland.

[OnDoutside]

23. Yes and those (mostly men) standing at roundabouts with big posters of bloodied fetuses, over the

last couple of days, was desperation stuff.

[TimeSnowDemos]

26. Absolutely

And I heard so many parents talking about how much they resented having to explain to the 6, 7 or 8 year old kids why the doctors want to murder the babies.

It was just too OTT for Ireland and it was a huge own goal IMO.

[OnDoutside]

30. Yes, nothing better to get our backs up !

[TimeSnowDemos]

33. My in laws

Are both well over 65...twonof the best people you'd ever meet... And No voters. Anyway. My mother in law who I love like my own mother asked me which way I was going to vote. I said I was gonna vote my conscious.

My 11 year old daughter then blurted out that I was voting Yes, because "mama is voting Yes and dada always votes the way she does".

Lol.

[OnDoutside]

47. Hahaha, ah the young !

[mcar]

11. Go Ireland!

From a proud descendant.

[cpamomfromtexas]

12. Now watch Trump try to keep Americans out of Ireland

[flibbitygiblets]

39. Oh, of course he will make this about him. How dare the Irish suck up all this attention.

Besides, the NK deal is off, and Mueller is breathing down his neck. And he was SO CLOSE to getting that Pulitzer. Time for a tantrum!

[Algernon Moncrieff]

15. My understanding is that the end result will be allowing abortion up to 12 weeks

If the US passed a referendum limiting abortion to 12 weeks, I suspect wingers would be thrilled and we'd be outraged. Nevertheless, if these percentages hold, it's a new day in Ireland and a wake up call for the Catholic Church. The Magdalene Laundries and other scandals shook that relationship, to be sure.

[OnDoutside]

18. 12 weeks unrestricted and up to 24 weeks in very specific circumstances. The Catholic Church will be

rocked to its core by this result, far more than the showed during all the scandals. The spell is broken.

[CountAllVotes]

41. No one wants a hell of a lot to do w/the Catholic Church in Ireland these days

Lots of empty churches, that is for certain.

[StevieM]

16. Most anti-choice people are not ashamed to admit their position.

Exit polls, like pre-election polls, do have a margin for error. So it may be less than 68 percent. But the margin is likely going to be very high.

[OnDoutside]

20. I would have accepted 51-49, but 60+ kills this as an issue. Many of the 40% or so, No voters are

over 60. This country is only headed in one direction.

[StevieM]

27. It was actually 87-13 among voters who are 18-24.

And 83-17 among voters who are 25-34.

Those numbers are stunning. Even among younger Americans, who are much more liberal than the nation as a whole, you won't see numbers like that.

[OnDoutside]

31. I agree, those are stunning numbers.

[moriah]

25. If it's a guy interviewed next to his wife?

That's when I see people potentially refusing to admit their no vote.

[TimeSnowDemos]

19. It was a great day

Huge turnouts and a huge margin.

Great day for Ireland. Glad i got a vote and used it for positive change.

[OnDoutside]

21. +1

[wolfie001]

24. Yes!!!

[BobTheSubgenius]

28. Strange. I thought the opposite effect would be more prevalent.

That people wouldn't want to be so public about a "Yes" vote. Exit polls are considered very accurate, I think, so I'm sure it will pass.

[moriah]

37. I'm just scared.

I sincerely hate that Irish women have suffered as much hardship as they have because of this law.

I hope that it's very accurate, if not even a higher percentage agreeing it should be the woman's choice, and if nothing else having Brits being the ones Irish women have to go to for this particular health care procedure (where they aren't paid for by the NHS and the prices might not be regulated) is not cool. At all.

[LiberalFighter]

29. I noticed on the news that it appeared Irish citizens living abroad

were flying back to Ireland to vote on this issue.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

34. As I like to say,

if you don't believe in abortion, don't have one. But don't for one second think that your beliefs in this matter can trample mine. I'm not going to force you to have an abortion -- China does that -- but you have no right whatsoever to keep me, or any other woman from having one.

[C Moon]

35. The world moves forward, as Putin pushes the U.S. backward.

[DonCoquixote]

36. this was important for one not talked about reason.

When England finally has to own up to Brexit, Ireland nor Scotland have to follow them. Indeed, Scotland only stayed in the UK because England promised to stay in the EU. What this means is that Ireland will have a chance to be part of Europe, as opposed to being England's prisoner. However, if the Catholic Church continued to dominate Ireland, then it would be a hindrance, as France, italy, Spain, etc have pretty much told the church it can go to Hell.

Welcome to the world ireland, I wish America was joining you, but we have our own Church-savages to defeat!

[LittleGirl]

38. I think attitudes changed after this woman died

in 2012.

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-20321741

She died because they refused to give her an abortion.

[moriah]

40. This is actually also a growing issue in the US, though I don't know if we've yet...

... killed a woman. We've come damn close -- but the physician on duty refused to follow the directions of his bosses and just let her die like what was obviously happening before his eyes.

The ACLU is trying to address if Catholic hospitals can Constitutionally provide substandard medical care, not even inform their patients of options that secular authorities say offer the best outcomes for the mother and let her choose to go to another provider before the situation is critical, and still be immune from lawsuits.

With Catholic-owned medical chains buying up hospitals left and right, and most women who are experiencing a miscarriage not at all thinking that it's by medical definition a "spontaneous abortion" -- to them, they're losing a pregnancy, not trying to abort -- most aren't going into a Catholic facility because they WANT nuns and priests to have more of a decision in their medical care than they themselves or their physician.

[LittleGirl]

43. My hometown

has a catholic hospital and they won't do abortions either. That's in Pence's state of Indiana which I refuse to live in ever again. A bunch of hypocritical christians.

[paleotn]

42. Yea!!!!!!!!

Way to go Ireland!!!

[flibbitygiblets]

44. This is what happens when women stand up and speak out. The oppression is finally recognized

and a country responds to give women the right to control what happens to our own damned bodies.

[CountAllVotes]

45. 1983

I traveled to Ireland for an extended trip and traveled all over Ireland on a bus/rail pass in 1983. It was a dirt cheap way to travel and suited me well as a solitary traveler.

It was ILLEGAL to have birth control in your possession at that time.

I recall seeing a young woman pushing a pram and it had twins in it and she was ready to pop out another one. She had a line of children behind her, her kids. No husband in sight. She appeared to be absolutely exhausted, I remember that much!

I don't know how she may feel today if she is still around (she was probably my age at that time -- late 20s). Why do I remember this so well? Because I thought it was horrific to see a young woman with so many kids, another one on the way and when does his ever end I thought to myself.

At that time, the main question I was asked is "Why don't you have any children?". My answer was simple, I don't want any children, that is why.

I am glad to see this change finally. It sure took a long time.

I think the crimes of the Catholic Church have left a bitter taste in the mouths of the Irish. The godly pope wasn't so damned godly after all. Things HAD to change and so they did.

[Rhiannon12866]

46. Ireland is moving forward - and we're in danger of returning to the dark ages...