EXCLUSIVE: 4-in-10 N.H. Republicans Support a 2020 Primary Challenge for President Trump

[highplainsdem]

Source: InsideSources.com/NH Journal

A significant majority of Granite State voters—and 40 percent of Republicans—say a 2020 GOP primary for President Trump “would be a good thing.” That’s the finding of the latest New Hampshire Journal poll, 18 months ahead of the New Hampshire presidential primary.

In the survey, conducted via landline and online polls of 626 registered voters in New Hampshire, 56 percent of New Hampshire voters said a GOP presidential primary in 2020 would be a good thing, while just 27 percent of voters believe it would be bad. The margin of error for the entire sample is +/- 3.9%. Accounting for design effects, the weighted margin of error is +/- 5.4%. The survey was conducted by Praecones Analytica.

Among registered Republicans, a modest plurality of 47 percent reported that having another Republican candidate as an option would be a bad thing, while 40 percent say it would be good and 13 percent of Granite State Republicans are unsure. The data suggest the possibility President Trump could face a contested GOP primary in 2020.

“The fact that 40 percent of Republicans in an early and influential state like New Hampshire think a Trump primary challenge would be ‘a good thing’ should get the GOP’s attention,” said NHJournal’s Politics Editor Michael Graham. “The fact that nearly 60 percent of unaffiliated voters—all of whom can also vote in the 2020 primary—agree raises the stakes even higher.”

-snip-

Read more: http://www.insidesources.com/exclusive-4-10-n-h-republicans-support-2020-primary-challenge-president-trump/

---

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Z1lbFrjnIBmYZxWLZkzo_1nVg3uTRLcerSSauihlLdM/edit

[LonePirate]

1. Which means 6 in 10 in purple NH do not support it and even more do not support it in red states.

When 6 in 10 support it in Alabama, get back to me. Otherwise, this number from New Hampshire means nothing.

[louis c]

4. What are you talking about?

4 in 10 Republicans think Trump should be challenged and 6 in 10 independents (all of whom can vote in a first in the nation Republican primary) and you think that's insignificant?

[LonePirate]

5. Yes, in purple NH that is insignificant because 45 is very, very weak in the northeast.

Last edited Sun Aug 19, 2018, 03:45 PM - Edit history (1)

His approval in still sky high in the vast majority of red states. Heck, he's still well above water in NH with Republicans.

Show me a poll in Texas where 4 in 10 voters want him to challenged in the primary and then I will take seriously what the OP is trying to convey here. Otherwise, it is just distracting and meaningless noise.

[louis c]

7. I disagree. It is significant. These are Just Republicans and Indies we're talking about...

Last edited Sun Aug 19, 2018, 06:18 PM - Edit history (1)

...in a rural state that's 95% white.

[LonePirate]

8. No it is not significant. Most of the Repub voters are to the right of voters in NH.

NH is easily the most moderate state where Republicans are competitive. It is nothing like states in the south and midwest where 45 enjoys approval from 80-90%+ of Republicans.

[louis c]

11. A Little History Lesson for You

I'd say a first in the nation presidential primary embarrassment could mean something


<snip>McCarthy nearly upsets LBJ in New Hampshire primary: March 12, 1968

By ANDREW GLASS
03/12/2016 12:16 AM EST

On this day in 1968, Sen. Eugene McCarthy (D-Minn.), a critic of President Lyndon B. Johnson’s Vietnam policies, captured 42 percent of the vote in New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation Democratic presidential primary; LBJ got 48 percent. A Harris poll indicated that anti-Johnson, rather than anti-war, sentiment propelled McCarthy’s near upset. The New Hampshire results caught most political pundits unaware. Johnson, upset, depressed and frustrated by the damage being caused to his political legacy by the Vietnam War, announced on March 31 that he would “neither seek nor accept” the Democratic nomination.<snip>

https://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/mccarthy-nearly-upsets-lbj-in-new-hampshire-primary-march-12-1968-220521

[LonePirate]

12. You cite that as if this president is capable of reacting like a normal politician to embarrassment.

Have you been paying attention to him?

[louis c]

13. No, I don't.

It's proof that the New Hampshire Presidential primary is significant, especially if a challenger does well. In 1988, it made Buchanan's insurgent candidacy against Bush credible. Although Bush retained his party's nomination, he lost the election.

You said the primary means nothing. History tells us otherwise.

[Chemisse]

9. If a challenger won the first-in-the-nation primary, it would have a huge impact.

Momentum could build and bring the asshole to defeat.

And if it doesn't, it will at least act to weaken him before the general, just like Clinton was weakened by the primary battle with Sanders.

The latter scenario might be the best one for us, depending on who the challenger is.

[djg21]

6. Are racist dumfucks

[Meadowoak]

2. If we don't win the house in 2018, there won't be a 2020.

[CrispyQ]

3. This, so much this.

He's not even half way through his term & the damage already done is staggering. McConnell is bragging about making generational changes to the judiciary.

[Chemisse]

10. That is terrifyingly true.

Trump/Russia will complete the coup over the next two years if nobody stops him/them.