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BumRushDaShow

(128,516 posts)
Sun Nov 3, 2019, 06:11 AM Nov 2019

Saudi Aramco I.P.O. Is Announced

Source: New York Times



LONDON — Saudi Arabia’s giant state-owned oil producer, Saudi Aramco, announced plans on Sunday to go public, taking the country’s crown jewel and what is probably the world’s most profitable enterprise close to its long-awaited goal: becoming a publicly traded company.

The company said it planned to sell an unspecified percentage of its shares on the Saudi stock exchange, the Tadawul. Trading is expected to begin next month, although it did not specify a date and offered few other specifics. Bankers have told the Saudi government that investors are likely to value the company at about $1.5 trillion, people briefed on the matter said previously. Aramco’s chairman, Yasir Al-Rumayyan, said the announcement represented “important progress” toward delivering “the kingdoms’ blueprint for sustained economic diversification and growth.”

Aramco is the behemoth in the oil business, alone producing about one-tenth of the world’s output. Last year, it made $111 billion in net income, almost twice Apple’s profit and many times the earnings of lesser rivals like Exxon Mobil and Royal Dutch Shell. And Sunday’s announcement sets up what may be the biggest initial public offering ever, with a chance to exceed the nearly $22 billion that Alibaba, the Chinese e-commerce giant, raised in one day in 2014. But Aramco’s initial public offering will fall short of Saudi Arabia’s audacious goals.

When Mohammed bin Salman, the country’s de facto ruler, first announced plans to take the company public in 2016, he said that the company would be valued at about $2 trillion, that the offering would take place by 2017 and that its shares would trade on both a premier international stock exchange, such as New York, London or Hong Kong, as well as the Tadawul in Riyadh. Yet Aramco appears poised to be valued well short of $2 trillion. And its I.P.O. process has proceeded in fits and starts over the past three years, pausing several times over the complications of readying its finances and operations — long shrouded in secrecy, even as it gushed wealth for its kingdom — for the scrutiny of public investors.

Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/03/business/dealbook/aramco-ipo.html

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keithbvadu2

(36,669 posts)
2. if oil is such a good investment, why is saudi arabia divesting by reducing its risk and selling of
Sun Nov 3, 2019, 08:10 AM
Nov 2019

if oil is such a good investment, why is saudi arabia divesting by reducing its risk and selling off stock with an ipo?

sounds like a contraindication to me.

https://thinkprogress.org/saudis-plan-2-trillion-ipo-to-end-their-dangerous-addiction-to-oil-596fbb4e111a#.g3dywtvk3

Saudis see writing on the wall, move to get economy off oil before it’s too late

A $2 trillion Saudi Aramco IPO will monetize oil reserves before demand peaks and price collapses for good.

======================================================

But if you want a clear cut view, here are two more.

Pick one!

http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Time-Bomb-In-Oil-Markets-Goldman-Sachs-Issues-Wa rning.html?utm_source=fark&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=im

But of course there is an ominous forecast that gas subsumption will go down, cutting the oil usage.

Then again, this article also quotes some other 'experts' who poo poo the estimated lower gas consumption as overly pessimistic.

Now that clears it up, right? Clear as mud.

Time Bomb In Oil Markets: Goldman Sachs Issues Warning

===========================

Investing in oil companies?

https://theconversation.com/are-fossil-fuel-companies-telling-investors-enough-about-the-risks-of-climate-change-72562

Are fossil fuel companies telling investors enough about the risks of climate change?
February 15, 2017 10.20pm EST


Prior to President Donald Trump taking office, there was a push to require oil and gas companies to inform their investors about the risks of climate change. As governments step up efforts to regulate carbon emissions, the thinking goes, fossil fuel companies’ assets could depreciate in value over time.

>>>>>>>>>> (more at the article)

==============

can't find it now but saw an article claiming that we are in for excess inventories of gasoline in the coming year or so.

================================

https://thinkprogress.org/chevron-admits-climate-lawsuits-threaten-profits-33937dd562fd#.1zq0hh4xo

Chevron is first oil major to warn investors of risks from climate change lawsuits
Big Oil’s lies about the existential risk posed by its product are now catching up with the industry and threatening profits.

For the first time, one of the major publicly owned fossil fuel companies admitted publicly to investors that climate change lawsuits poses a risk to risk to its profits.

You’re probably thinking that seems like an obvious admission. After all, 190 nations unanimously agreed in the December 2015 Paris climate deal to leave most fossil fuels in the ground because of the existential threat they pose to human civilization.

But this is Big Oil — the industry that has been denying or pretending to deny the existence of climate change for over half a century.

In the “risk factors� section of Chevron’s 2016 10-K financial performance report to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) — amid a discussion of how those pesky climate rules governments are enacting might hurt demand for its product — is this sentence: “In addition, increasing attention to climate change risks has resulted in an increased possibility of governmental investigations and, potentially, private litigation against the company.�
50 years ago Big Oil bragged about being able to melt glaciers


Naomi Ages, Greenpeace USA’s climate liability project lead, said this is the first time a major oil company admitted that such investigations and private litigation were “a material risk to the company and its shareholders.�

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> (more at the article)

wysimdnwyg

(2,230 posts)
6. This is spot-on.
Sun Nov 3, 2019, 11:30 AM
Nov 2019

Excellent analysis of what many people are just starting to understand. While oil companies have been ridiculously profitable in the past, every indication is that those days will end very soon - possibly as soon as a Democrat next enters the White House. The Saudi royals are getting out after robbing their people of most of their natural resources, and now they plan to skim the last of the profits from their oil companies by selling them off before the coming crash.

Roy Rolling

(6,908 posts)
4. Oil
Sun Nov 3, 2019, 10:03 AM
Nov 2019

Yeah, time to unload refineries and wells of the Saudi kingdom. Selling oil isn’t enough, they want to sell the whole operation now that fossil fuels are on the way out.

That giant sucking sound you hear is the Saudi royals enriching themselves from people all over the world who will be sending them money.

And of course the company financials are accurate—any accountant who criticizes gets invited to their embassy in Turkey for a “vacation”.

Maggiemayhem

(807 posts)
5. Doesn't Saudi have an alliance with Royal Dutch Shell
Sun Nov 3, 2019, 10:29 AM
Nov 2019

And now own the biggest refinery in the US Screw the Saudis. Who can trust them after 911?
Murderous Butchers.

roamer65

(36,744 posts)
7. They're selling because Ghawar is near depletion.
Sun Nov 3, 2019, 12:23 PM
Nov 2019

Last edited Sun Nov 3, 2019, 01:13 PM - Edit history (1)

Most of their fields are old and its now mostly seawater they get back from them.

Sell it off and fleece the investors.

turbinetree

(24,685 posts)
8. Oh fucking yippie.............maybe JP Morgan and other firms can do what they did in Russia........
Sun Nov 3, 2019, 01:30 PM
Nov 2019

to prop up that fucking regime...........................for greed................read, BlowOut by Rachel Maddow....................

and these country still hasn't paid for me losing my job at United along with thousands of others and to boot and they had a hand in killing 3,000 people............................but everyone is going to oh and ah for this IPO.....................on London, Wall Street and China and other markets....................

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