'Blair Could Have Stopped Bush' - Kofi Annan
Source: AFP
'Blair could have stopped Bush'
Sat, 29 Sep 2012 8:12 AM
Former British prime minister Tony Blair was the only person capable of turning George Bush against the 2003 Iraq invasion, ex-United Nations chief Kofi Annan claimed in an interview published Saturday.
Annan argued in an interview published in the Times newspaper that Blair could have changed Bush's mind because of the special relationship between the two nations and the two leaders.
Annan said he often had contemplated what might have happened if "Blair had said 'George, this is where we part company. You're on your own'," following the failure to secure a second UN resolution. "I really think it could have stopped the war," added the Nobel peace laureate.
- snip -
But a second resolution proposed by the US, Britain, and Spain in 2003 that called for action to be taken against Saddam Hussain's regime was withdrawn when it became clear it would be vetoed.
Read more: http://news.iafrica.com/worldnews/818957.html
DissidentVoice
(813 posts)And, subsequently, Tony Blair and John Howard of Australia lost both their jobs, in no small part due to being seen as "Bush's lapdogs."
Howard even lost his seat in the Australian Parliament.
mwooldri
(10,301 posts)The funny thing is that Labour in 2005 won the General Election, despite the Iraq invasion. But things in Iraq did get worse, so he did decide to step down, handing over the Prime Ministership to his #2 - Gordon Brown - in 2007.
I don't think the Iraq invasion was the #1 reason why Labour lost in 2010. The economy went downhill badly in 2008 and Gordon Brown, seen as the driving factor in the boom years was seen to be the person with the responsibility for the economic nosedive.
I don't think Mr Blair would have stopped the President at that time from going into Iraq. Mr Bush was itching to get into Iraq using whatever pretense he had. But Blair backing certainly helped Mr Bush to proceed albeit with limited international backing.
T_i_B
(14,736 posts)Although they lost seats in 2005, they were never going to lose their majority in parliament given the size of the majority they were defending.
And their main opposition, the Conservative party was equally in favour of the Iraq war. British political parties are pretty shite in all honesty and there isn't all that much to choose between them.
Labour were very unpopular in 2010 due mainly to the state of the economy and the unpopularity of Blair's successor as PM, Gordon Boron. However, the Tories ran a poor campaign and failed to secure an overall majority in an election that I actually think they should have won outright, given the circumstances.
ywcachieve
(365 posts)mwooldri
(10,301 posts)but I ain't like that.
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tony_Blair
Wiki talks somewhat about
UK General Election Results: http://www.politicsresources.net/area/uk/edates.htm - can go down to the seat level, or there's a nice summary on how many seats each major party got in the general.
fun n serious
(4,451 posts)Spitfire of ATJ
(32,723 posts)He was getting off just as much as Bush by keeping his people in a constant state of fear and claiming to be the hero protecting them.
He didn't just go along with Bush. The two of them were coordinating a campaign of lies.
The second resolution was deemed by the Bush Administration to be overkill because they considered the UN to be powerless to stop them. How many times did we hear the UN called, "A debate society"?
tavalon
(27,985 posts)And so, I think, needs to be brought up on war crimes, just as many, if not most of the previous administration.
Ghost Dog
(16,881 posts)against Anthony Charles Lynton Blair (b. Edinburgh 6 May 1953) on charges pertaining to serious breaches of international and domestic law.
JDPriestly
(57,936 posts). . . he dismissed Archbishop Desmond Tutu's call for Bush and Blair to be put on trial at the the International Criminal Court. Both had been democratically elected, he said, and were only acting in their national interests.
http://news.iafrica.com/worldnews/818957.html
Just being elected and acting in your national interests (or claiming to) does not mean that what you do complies with international law. What is Annan really saying? Can't be what he seems to say. That makes no senses.
Of course these men should be asked to answer for that war. You can't kill that many people or set off a situation that results in that many deaths and then just blissfully retire. Blair was at least asked to explain himself before a commission investigating the entry into the war.
Bush has been left in peace. It makes no sense. How long will our country wait to own up to the crimes committed?
daleo
(21,317 posts)1 Hitler was elected.
2 Hitler felt that he was acting in Germany's interest.
JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)a firestorm I just didn't feel like dealing with at the moment.
daleo
(21,317 posts)I just pointed out a particularly well known example of the flaw in Annan's argument.
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)Kolesar
(31,182 posts)That's why he and Shrub were such a pair.
Arugula Latte
(50,566 posts)And tens of thousands of people pay the ultimate price for it.
Berlum
(7,044 posts)tanyev
(42,523 posts)but I don't think all the hawks in GWB's administration would have settled for anything less. They took office in January 2001 itching for an excuse to invade. The devastation of 9/11 could have been on a much smaller scale and they still would have gone into Iraq.
BeyondGeography
(39,351 posts)Nothing was going to stop him.
CRH
(1,553 posts)Less than 1% of the population of the US turned out, to the march against war.
And, in retrospect, remind me just who was ever prosecuted for the misinformation, disinformation, and blatant lies that wove the web of deceit in the march to war? Who was held accountable in the aftermath, for the prosecution of the wars? Was anything ever done to prevent the same thing from happening in the future?
Easy to blame Blair, then we need not look in the mirror.
lunatica
(53,410 posts)So now I'm part of the 99%, the 47%, and the 1% who marched against Bush's wars.
I'm getting confused. I wonder what percent of people are 'confused'?
My job is in the department of Statistics in UC Berkeley. Maybe I can ask one of our graduate students.
CRH
(1,553 posts)Well lets do the math. If you are apart of the 99% meaning normal, and the patriotic 1% that marched against the largest crime against humanity in this century. That adds up to a 100% normal patriotic citizen who is against war crimes. Now you are apart of the dissed 47% club aka, a Romney suspected deadbeat. That doesn't really count for much, because that includes a bunch of hard working lower middle class and poor folks, retired loafs like myself, and Berkeley Grad students, who you are about to appeal to for enlightenment and might have a conflict of interest. But you are at Berkeley, that makes you right enough to be left and just crazy enough to wear blue and gold at Stanford stadium during 'the game'. This definitely gives you points for valor and the nod over the lower class working republicans also somehow lumped in that 47% but are too dumb to be a democrat.
All that adds up to, is you are a little luny lefty 100% normal patriotic citizen and suspected working deadbeat, and marching activist against right wing republican atrocities. You probably fit in well at Berleley, Go Bears!
Probably saw you on Market Street, October through December of 2002.
lunatica
(53,410 posts)I love being "a little luny lefty 100% normal patriotic citizen and suspected working deadbeat, and marching activist against right wing republican atrocities."!
no_hypocrisy
(46,038 posts)Cheney, Rumsfeld, and the New American Century neocons? I seriously doubt it. Not to mention * had to "avenge" Sadam Hussein to best his father. It was too tempting to start in Afghanistan and move to Iraq.
greenman3610
(3,947 posts)lunatica
(53,410 posts)Gregorian
(23,867 posts)There's not other explanation for going along with an illegal invasion. Money. I said years ago to look closely at Blair's finances right around that time.
craigmatic
(4,510 posts)He was just hell bent on starting another war because he wanted to show up his father on Saddam. Blair should have followed another Labour PM's example (Wilson) and found a way to stay out of Iraq but give aid and intel to the US but Blair was in some ways a zealot believer for intervention abroad. It all goes back to the war in the Balkins that's where he learned to love war.
Peace Patriot
(24,010 posts)I'm thinking about Rumsfeld's resignation in late 2006, just after the Democrats won (or, more likely, were permitted to win) the House. Everybody (um, Corporate News horns) seemed to imply that Rumsfeld resigned because "the people" voted against his war. I thought about that for about 2 seconds and dismissed it. When did Rumsfeld ever give a cat's crap about what "the people" want? Nope, something else going on. (See footnote for theory.)
Similarly, when the Bushwhacks were setting things up to invade Iraq, they seemed to be anxious to cross their legal t's and dot their political i's. I stress "seemed to be." They were trying to get a war resolution out of a Democratic-controlled Senate. In that effort--and solely for that effort--they sought (or seemed to seek) a UN peacekeeping resolution or some kind of official UN endorsement to invade Iraq, couldn't get it and then strongly pressured (strongarmed, blackmailed, bullied, threatened) all allies, big and small, to join their "coalition of the willing." I remember that silly list of small, bullied, subject countries they put together, after the UN Security Council and Germany and France balked at their war (and Bush saying, "Don't forget Poland!" when Kerry called him on it in the 2004 debate). The UK was the only major ally that went along, and, while the Bushwhacks behaved as if that legitimized their war, I don't think it was essential to them. Thus, I don't think that, if the Blair had declined, they would have backed off and not invaded. The result of Blair declining would have been the UK would have been cut out of the oil deals, that's all. The U.K. has a long history of messing over Middle Eastern peoples' for their oil. So, too, of course, does the U.S. Nothing new here, except that the Bushwhacks became vicious aggressors in the punishment of U.S. allies.
Would the Bushwhacks have invaded anyway, if Blair hadn't played their "poodle"? Absolutely. Would they have invaded if the Senate Democrats hadn't played their "poodles" as well? Probably. The Democratic Senators--as much tied to war profiteers and transglobal corporations as the Republicans are--maybe would have given them less of a scrap of paper than the "Iraq War Resolution" but they would have given them something by which they could lie that they had some kind of legal basis with which to slaughter a hundred thousand innocent Iraqis and take over their oil fields.
Did they care much about that piece of paper? I don't think so. To them, it was just a formality. Lack of it might have delayed them a bit (until they could kill, dis-elect, defame/destroy or suborn a few more senators) but they were totally bent on invading Iraq by any means necessary and it took the combined power of Bush Sr., the military brass, the CIA and other powers to stop them from moving right along into Iran and using nuclear weapons to do so. (See below.)
----------------
Footnote: Rumsfeld was ousted because Poppa Bush didn't agree with Rumsfeld/Cheney's intention to nuke Iran, nor did the military brass, nor did the CIA who were also hopping mad (and probably bent on vengeance) because of Rumsfeld/Cheney's outing of their entire WMD counter-proliferation project worldwide. These forces together ousted Rumsfeld. Poppa formed his "Iraq Study Group" (but it was really about Iran) in early 2006 and delivered the report to the White House that summer. The election was in November. Rumsfeld resigned in December. And it's quite interesting that, a) Nancy Pelosi's infamous "impeachment is off the table" statement (what "table"?) was issued between those two events, and b) talk about nuking Iran soon went away (and Pelosi went off on a Mideast tour to take the word to Israel and others, amidst the British navy incident with Iran that ended peacefully). Also interesting--in fact, pivotal: Leon Panetta was a member of Bush Sr.'s "Iraq Study Group." He is Bush Sr.'s point man in the Obama administration, commissioned to end the war between the CIA and the Pentagon that Rumsfeld/Cheney started and, not unimportantly, to monitor the no-investigation, no-prosecution deal that Obama and the Democrats made in order to gain limited power within our very secretive, very undemocratic, actual government. That's my theory. A pretty good one, I think. One key part of it is that a far rightwing-connected private corporation--ES&S, which bought out Diebold--now controls the 'TRADE SECRET' programming code in about 75% of U.S. vote counting systems, with virtually no audit/recount controls. Elections are now easily--EASILY!--rigged to suit those who actually rule over us. This immense power includes, of course, the ability to put Democrats in office who play ball with these rulers and to remove them at will, while 'trending' the whole political system toward militarism, fascism, loss of civil, human and labor rights, and corporate looting.
LiberalLovinLug
(14,165 posts)It would have made it much more difficult to proceed. Blair was, at the time, a very respected world leader with great charisma. It may have also dissuaded Australia from entering the fray.
Blair's moderate reputation and his more eloquent defense of the war during and years after helped greatly in legitimizing the attack.
valerief
(53,235 posts)awoke_in_2003
(34,582 posts)tularetom
(23,664 posts)Since he was just a rubber stamp for Cheney, Rummy and their merry band of chicken hawks.
And I doubt if they even considered Blair's opinion in their little oil theft caper.
NeoConsSuck
(2,544 posts)it was Cheney and the NeoCons who had to be stopped, and Blair wasn't capable of doing that.
harun
(11,348 posts)The fix was in and it didn't matter what anybody did.
T_i_B
(14,736 posts)...Blair could have chosen to keep the UK out of it.
Instead, he chose to get the UK heavily involved with the Iraq invasion, which was a colossal error on his and the Labour party's part.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)With Saddam sitting next door. The US weakened Iraq which kept Iran in check but dumb W could nit see this, the Isreali should have told W to back off. It is would have, should have and could have.
OldDem2012
(3,526 posts)...he was being told by the far-right NeoCons, and he wasn't listening to anyone else. Blair was willing to do and say whatever Bush asked, not the other way around.
For example, here's an article from the far-right NeoCon website: Project for a New American Century :
REBUILDING AMERICAS DEFENSES, Strategy, Forces and Resources For a New Century
A Report of The Project for the New American Century September 2000 (one year before the events of 9/11)
If you do a search of that document for the phrase, "Pearl Harbor", you'll find the following quotes:
"Further, the process of transformation,
even if it brings revolutionary change, is
likely to be a long one, absent some
catastrophic and catalyzing event like a
new Pearl Harbor."
...and...
"Absent a rigorous program of
experimentation to investigate the nature of
the revolution in military affairs as it applies
to war at sea, the Navy might face a future
Pearl Harbor as unprepared for war in the
post-carrier era as it was unprepared for war
at the dawn of the carrier age."
Interesting comments, don't you think?
Additionally, go to the very last page and take a look at the contributors to the document. It's odd that Dick Cheney is no longer listed as a participant although his former Chief-of-Staff, I. Lewis (Scooter) Libby, is on the list.
Bragi
(7,650 posts)Blair was the #1 global enabler of Bush.
All the polls at the time showed that few Americans would have supported the war without international backing.
Without Blair, even American media would have had to acknowledge how isolated Bush was in wanting a war.
Blair's decision to back Bush's illegal war was the most disappointing decision ever by a UK Labour PM.
I believe that is why he was forced out, and that is why he deservedly has a damaged reputation that gives him little real influence today.