Iowa Poll: Donald Trump leads Joe Biden by 1 point in tight contest for president

[brooklynite]

Source: Des Moines Register

Four years after Republican Donald Trump decisively won Iowa and the presidency, the state appears to be a toss-up as he seeks re-election this November, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

Trump carried Iowa by 9 percentage points in his 2016 contest against Democrat Hillary Clinton. But today, the Register’s Iowa Poll shows the president leading former Vice President Joe Biden by just 1 point — 44% to 43%.

The poll of 674 likely voters was conducted June 7-10 by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines. Its margin of error is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

The results — which come in the midst of a pandemic and widespread civil unrest — are among a wave of polling that indicates an increasingly unstable electoral map for the president. States like Iowa that were expected to be safe territory for him after clear wins in 2016 now appear to be battlegrounds in 2020.



Read more: https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/06/15/iowa-poll-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden-1-point/3178743001/

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Paging One America News...

[RhodeIslandOne]

1. Ugh

Biden should be up by four at least. Trump has fucked farmers and everything else, but only God and guns matter.

[SergeStorms]

18. And gays!

Don't forget those gays. If Trump doesn't get to put some tougher judges on the Supreme Court these gays are going to think they're equal or something.

[lagomorph777]

22. Now Trump is fucked. He's failed to appoint sufficiently crazy Justices.

[SergeStorms]

27. Do you know how incredibly difficult that is?

If the judges Trump did pick weren't crazy enough to vote against equal rights for gays, do you realize how crazy they'll have to be if he gets to choose any more? They'll have to be drain bamaged, or worse, be just like Trump!

[NoMoreRepugs]

2. Just 1 %?? Way too much high fructose corn syrup being ingested in Iowa.

[Grokenstein]

3. On the one hand, I'm glad Iowans are catching on...

On the other, I can't believe it's even close in any state.

[tblue37]

4. I.e., Within the margin of error. nt

[Auggie]

5. Considering all that has happened in the past 3 1/2 years, I'm shocked Trump has any lead

[Drunken Irishman]

7. Why?

He won Iowa by nine. People who voted for him in 2016 knew who he was and still voted for him. This isn't Michigan or Pennsylvania (or even Florida) where he won narrowly. He won this and Ohio fairly comfortably. So, for him to lose eight-points is significant, even if he's still leading.

[Calista241]

6. I'm not sure how much to trust polling this cycle. I would bet Trump's actual number is 5-7

points above the publicly available number. Biden can certainly win without Iowa, but we all need to work our asses off.

[Drunken Irishman]

10. If Trump is +7 above the polls, he'll sail to reelection.

It won't really be close.

Unless you're just talking Iowa and not the other states. But there's only one swing state where Biden leads by more than 7 (Michigan) and he leads by 7.3. Every other swing state has Biden leading by fewer than five-points (or barely trailing).

[kurtcagle]

8. I'm fine with this

Iowa has been trending conservative for a long time, and likely was in Trump's list of SAFE states. If Iowa is within the MOE, then it means that he's going to have to spend more time and money there than he would have preferred to do. Georgia, Texas, and Arizona are all beginning to tip towards Biden, which means he's in deep trouble and will be hard-pressed to actually hit

[Funtatlaguy]

9. The competitive map keeps extending for us and not them. Yay!

[bearsfootball516]

11. So many Debbie downers here.

There could be a poll tomorrow showing Trump leading Biden by 2 points in Oklahoma tomorrow and people would be saying “HOW IS BIDEN NOT AHEAD IN OKLAHOMA?!?”

[John Fante]

13. Exactly. This pollster had Gump winning this state by 10 points

three months ago. Now it's a toss-up.

This is a good thing.

[John Fante]

12. This pollster had Gump winning Iowa by 10 points in March.

States that were supposed to be safely in his column are now battlegrounds.

[Jersey Devlin]

14. On the Other Hand,,,

he's leading Biden by two points in Arkansas, Texas is tied, and in Utah (Utah!), he leads Biden by a lousy 3 points!



Greater detail at https://electoral-vote.com/

[TristanIsolde]

21. If Biden wins NC I am going to party like its 1999

[Jersey Devlin]

24. Were you Dreaming when you Wrote this?

Sorry, couldn't resist!

[TristanIsolde]

25. I don't get the reference

[Jersey Devlin]

26. Listen:

and Enjoy!

[Seasider]

15. Iowa politics took a weird turn to the right after 2010

The state had been similar to Wisconsin in that it was a swing state that would tilt blue in most election years. After 2 consecutive Democratic Governors, the state became a casualty to the Tea Party movement. Tom Harkin retiring without a strong replacement didn't help matters either as Democrats lost that seat to Joni Ernst. With the current trend in the polls slowly trending to Biden and the Senate race starting to favor Theresa Greenfield, it's looking Democrats are finally starting to make inroads in that state again.

[beachbumbob]

16. too much % uncommitted and too early any way BUT trump in low to mid 40's not good for incumbent

and is really striking in so many states this appears to be his ceiling

[cannabis_flower]

17. So is Trump going to

send a decease and desist letter the Des Moines Register also?

[raccoon]

19. Must be some brain-dead people walking around Iowa.

As well as in the other 49 states.

[TristanIsolde]

20. Fricking IOWA, but thankfully this is within margin of error

IOWA could still flip

[honest.abe]

23. We dont need Iowa to win this. But Trump does.

Iowa would just be icing on the cake for us. For Trump its a must win so these numbers must be freaking them out.

[Vinca]

28. What's with Iowa? Do they really want more bankrupt farmers?