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SouthernCal_Dem

(852 posts)
Tue Jul 21, 2020, 07:30 PM Jul 2020

U.S. reports over 1,000 daily coronavirus deaths for first time since May

Source: Axios

The U.S. reported more than 1,000 coronavirus-related deaths on Tuesday for the first time since May 29, according to the COVID-19 Tracking Project.

Deaths from COVID-19 had slowed after months of lockdowns, but they're starting to tick back up again as new infections and hospitalizations continue to surge across the country.

<...>

The U.S. on Tuesday reported 63,000 new cases and 59,000 hospitalizations — the third-highest total number of hospitalizations in the COVID-19 Tracking Project's data set.


Read more: https://www.axios.com/coronavirus-deaths-thousand-may-a10e174a-9cdc-4148-93e1-dfe55c1f03e4.html

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U.S. reports over 1,000 daily coronavirus deaths for first time since May (Original Post) SouthernCal_Dem Jul 2020 OP
Daily New Deaths (7 day moving avg): +61% in 16 days -- U.S. progree Jul 2020 #1
Very grim CountAllVotes Jul 2020 #3
Updated for 7/21 data: 7 day moving average of deaths up 61% in 16 days progree Jul 2020 #7
July 4th strikes! ananda Jul 2020 #2
Gee, who could've seen that coming? BigmanPigman Jul 2020 #4
Cases started rising around June 12 (7 day mvg. avg), so no, it's not the 4th of July progree Jul 2020 #5
Right after Memorial Day... regnaD kciN Jul 2020 #8
I think the opening up is a far bigger factor than a holiday weekend, but that's just my opinion progree Jul 2020 #9
Yep, the lag between new cases and deaths... Buckeye_Democrat Jul 2020 #6
Well, that reopening free-for-all really worked out well. flibbitygiblets Jul 2020 #10

progree

(10,901 posts)
1. Daily New Deaths (7 day moving avg): +61% in 16 days -- U.S.
Tue Jul 21, 2020, 08:16 PM
Jul 2020
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

BELOW UPDATED 7/21 821p CT to include 7/21 data

scroll down to the graph "Daily New Deaths in the United States"
Below the graph, click the check box to the right of "7-day moving average"
7/5: 516 deaths
7/21: 829 deaths
+61% in 16 days

Inevitably following the big rise in Daily New Cases (scroll up three graphs).
7 day moving average
6/12: 21,697 cases
7/21: 68,420 cases
a 3.15-fold increase in 5 1/2 weeks

Cases began rising 6/12, and 3 weeks 2 days later, on 7/5, deaths started rising.
(7 day moving averages)

# The above is as of a 7/21 819p CT visit. It includes 7/21 data now: 67,140 new cases and 1122 deaths

# Another grim milestone: we've passed 4 million cumulative cases, its at 4,028,569

progree

(10,901 posts)
5. Cases started rising around June 12 (7 day mvg. avg), so no, it's not the 4th of July
Tue Jul 21, 2020, 09:05 PM
Jul 2020

It was all of the openings up that occurred in several states in late May and early June.

Deaths bottomed out and began rising around July 5 (using the 7 day moving average on this one because it bounces so much from day to day).

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

progree

(10,901 posts)
9. I think the opening up is a far bigger factor than a holiday weekend, but that's just my opinion
Tue Jul 21, 2020, 09:36 PM
Jul 2020

In Minnesota, which was one of the later states, patio dining began June 1 and indoor dining and bars began June 10, and that's about when barbershops and salons opened up.

Even before that, a lot of "non-essential" businesses, stores, and offices began to open.

Some (most) states began opening their businesses and entertainment well before that.

Also, the crowding we saw on the beaches and stuff on holiday weekends -- at least that was outdoors.

So were the George Floyd protests in the last week of May were outdoors, and I watched hours and hours and hours of that, and far less than half were wearing masks (or if they were, they were around their neck), and a heck of a lot of people were close to each other. And yet, there have been studies of participants, and no noticeable Covid spike because of that has been found.

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,853 posts)
6. Yep, the lag between new cases and deaths...
Tue Jul 21, 2020, 09:08 PM
Jul 2020

... has elapsed.

Health authorities warned us and right-wing propagandists downplayed their messages in various ways as usual.

flibbitygiblets

(7,220 posts)
10. Well, that reopening free-for-all really worked out well.
Tue Jul 21, 2020, 11:27 PM
Jul 2020


Rachel showed three virus death estimations by end of 2020 from the IHME Covid-19 Forecasting Team:

If Americans practice 95% public mask compliance and social distancing measures, the year end death toll is estimated at between 175K-223K deaths. (Given already 140K deaths, that low number really shows what could be done if people just act like fucking adults.)

With "some social distancing measures", the death toll estimate is 224-298K. Continue the free-for-all, and the estimated death range is between 288K and 650K.

That's how insane America is right now.
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