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Tue Sep 1, 2020, 01:46 PM

Trump has slipped among key groups that backed him in 2016

Source: Los Angeles Times

WASHINGTON ó President Trumpís support has eroded among key groups of voters who backed him in 2016 ó a major reason why he continues to trail former Vice President Joe Biden and a prime motivator for the presidentís reelection strategy of emphasizing violent disorder in the nationís cities.
Trumpís decline among parts of his 2016 base is a chief finding so far from the USC Dornsife Daybreak Poll, which tracked voter preferences daily four years ago and is doing so again this year. Overall, Trump has lost support from about 9% of voters who backed him in 2016, the poll finds.

The poll shows no major shift in the race during the last two weeks, belying much speculation that the back-to-back national political conventions and violence in Portland, Ore., and Kenosha, Wis., might have changed what has been an unusually stable contest.

During the Democratic convention, Biden gained 2 percentage points and Trump lost 2 points; Trump then regained some of that ground during his convention, a week-by-week comparison of the pollís tracking shows.

Read more: https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2020-09-01/trump-slipped-among-key-groups-backed-him-2016

14 replies, 1874 views

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Arrow 14 replies Author Time Post
Reply Trump has slipped among key groups that backed him in 2016 (Original post)
mzmolly Sep 1 OP
LizBeth Sep 1 #1
Midnight Writer Sep 1 #2
empedocles Sep 1 #3
mzmolly Sep 1 #7
Midnight Writer Sep 1 #9
IronLionZion Sep 1 #4
AZ8theist Sep 1 #5
mzmolly Sep 1 #6
regnaD kciN Sep 1 #8
mzmolly Sep 1 #12
Cha Sep 1 #10
mzmolly Sep 1 #11
Cha Sep 1 #13
mzmolly Sep 1 #14

Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 01:51 PM

1. Military, white suburban women, Religious, Republicans in general and then I see people on here

argue how Trump is beating Biden or an outlier post has validity, or Moore is right.

All these groups have people actively working against him, differing from 2016. Not to mention Democrats that just could not handle a woman president.

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 01:53 PM

2. Key groups? So the oligarchs have dumped him?

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Response to Midnight Writer (Reply #2)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 02:01 PM

3. The 'oligarches' are factors to be reckoned with

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Response to Midnight Writer (Reply #2)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 05:32 PM

7. Good point!

Not likely.

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Response to mzmolly (Reply #7)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:34 PM

9. I have read that Mercer is "distancing" and that he's got Sheldon Adelson mad at him.

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 02:10 PM

4. It would be sweet if Russia stopped backing him

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Response to IronLionZion (Reply #4)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 04:47 PM

5. Yeah, that would be awesome.......but not as awesome

as Russia dumping the kompromat they have on him. Now THAT would be a party!!!!

(and you have to have the IQ of a doorknob to think Russia DOESN'T have shit on the Shithead...)

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Response to AZ8theist (Reply #5)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 05:31 PM

6. That would

be excellent!

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:23 PM

8. I'd love to know who the 4% are...

...who voted for Clinton in 2016, and now support Twitler.

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Response to regnaD kciN (Reply #8)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 07:14 PM

12. That is strange,

huh?

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Response to mzmolly (Original post)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:50 PM

10. Mahalo, mzmolly.. what are the "key groups".. ? TY!

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Response to Cha (Reply #10)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 07:13 PM

11. Hi Cha!



According to the LA Times

Several groups have moved away from Trump:

Among people of color who cast ballots for Trump in 2016, nearly 1-in-5 now say they back Biden, the poll found. Among Latinos, about 1 in 4 say they will vote for Trump this year, down from more than 3 in 10 last time.

Among voters who live in rural areas ó Trumpís stronghold ó his vote among men has remained stable but has slipped by around 10 points among women.

Trump still has a large advantage among white voters without college degrees ó his core group of supporters ó but his lead has shrunk. In 2016, the poll found Trump leading among that group by roughly 40 percentage points. Now itís about 25 points.

Among whites with college degrees, meanwhile, Biden has established a significant lead. In 2016, the poll found Trump and Clinton virtually even among whites with college degrees. This year, Biden leads, 54% to 41%.

Many of those college-educated voters live in suburban areas, where voters turned heavily against the Republicans in the 2018 midterm elections. The poll shows that happening again.


If this holds true, it looks like we have a diverse coalition in favor of defeating Trump.

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Response to mzmolly (Reply #11)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 07:23 PM

13. Thank you.. I was stopped at the paywall.. I really appreciate

the more information!

Too bad about the "rural men".

Yay Suburbia!





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Response to Cha (Reply #13)

Tue Sep 1, 2020, 08:24 PM

14. You're most welcome

Cha!

Yes! Go Suburbia!!

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