The US coronavirus death toll is projected to reach 410,000 in the next four months

[Botany]

Source: CNN

(CNN)A new model often cited by top health officials raised its projections Friday, predicting over 410,000 coronavirus deaths nationwide by January 1.

That would mean an additional 224,000 Americans lost in the next four months -- more than double the 186,000 deaths reported by Johns Hopkins University.

The model from the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation points to declining mask use in some regions from a peak in usage in early August. The scenarios in the model suggest 122,000 of those lives could be saved with near-universal mask use. It also warns the death toll could be much higher -- over 620,000 -- if all restrictions are eased.

"If a herd immunity strategy is pursued, meaning no further government intervention is taken from now to Jan 1st, the death toll could increase to 620,000,"

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/04/health/us-coronavirus-friday/index.html

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[CaptYossarian]

1. Those maskless Trumpsters won't be missed.

We can just play the videos of them getting bounced out of WalMart at their funeral. It's a fitting tribute to the cult members.

On my block, I'll be known as the "Omega Man".

[Initech]

13. And there won't be anyone at their funerals either, since we can't gather in large groups.

So yeah there will be no one to remember them by.

[beachbumbob]

2. trumps/GOP math, its 6 more dead from COVID for a total of 97 since it began right?

[sarge43]

3. Total US military deaths World War II: 405,399 and that took nearly four years

All those who have supported Trump: Rot in hell. Never forget, never forgive.

[Botany]

6. Good God you are right

We are already @ the # of WW II combat deaths or will soon pass that # 291,557 (wiki)

[sarge43]

7. Yup. All that's left is the Civil War: 655,000

I include non direct combat deaths: Usually Murphy's Law in effect, routine FUs, pushing equipment and men beyond their limits, disease, the non Purple Heart hits. Dead is dead.

[Botany]

11. I think if you include Cholera deaths in the Civil war the # jumps way up

But this is just a nightmare.

And it is all on Trump.

[sarge43]

15. The disease casuality rate, Civil War, was 71.4% per 1,000.

Typhoid "the soldier's disease" probably killed as many if not more than cholera.

Until vaccines kicked in, infection was the soldier's haunt.

[LastDemocratInSC]

4. That's equal to the number of US military deaths in WW2

[IronLionZion]

5. GOP is going for herd immunity

they just won't admit it publicly yet

[EarthFirst]

9. Correct.

It’s isn’t officially been stated as such in so many words; however the setup is being arranged if you connect the dots...

[NoRoadUntravelled]

16. You're right. It all started with TX Lt Gov. calling for senior citizens to sacrifice themselves

for the economy.

[BumRushDaShow]

8. There were experts/models cited back in June that predicted 200,000 by the end of September

https://www.businessinsider.com/harvard-expert-predicts-coronavirus-deaths-in-us-by-september-2020-6

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/17/coronavirus-deaths-in-us-projected-to-surpass-200000-by-october.html

Right now, we are going to be pretty close to realizing that prediction.

[IronLionZion]

14. We are at 191,114 deaths today

Red states decided to open up and send kids back to school and too many people still resist masks

[BumRushDaShow]

17. And those school openings are really generated spikes

and we are seeing that here in PA - particularly with the colleges.

Gettysburg College just went into a total student "lockdown" and quarantine in their dorms this past Tuesday, now with at least 58 cases since mid-August (25 in the most recent testing period).

Temple U suspended in-person classes for the rest of the fall semester (with 237 cases as of yesterday).

Bloomsburg U went all-virtual after reaching 218 cases (so far)

And on and on...

[Botany]

18. South Carolina is now doing "its part."

https://www.democraticunderground.com/10142575647

[IronLionZion]

19. They always promised the South will rise again

But it turned out to be COVID not the confederacy.

[patphil]

10. That's over 1,800 deaths per day.

I know these guys put a lot of study and thought into it, but it seems a bit high.
The ability to treat this virus is improving steadily.
I think their estimate is about 100,000 high.

Please note, this is my non-professional estimate. It just seems to me that we're getting much better at keeping people alive until their natural body defenses are able to cope with the virus.

Anyway, I sure hope they're wrong.

[getagrip_already]

12. To trump, these are losers and suckers....

for not having enough money and influence to get all the best treatments, like plasma therapy, before you get sick.