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TomCADem

(17,837 posts)
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 01:44 PM Sep 2020

Trump narrows the battleground deficit, but Biden remains above 270 electoral votes

This discussion thread was locked as off-topic by applegrove (a host of the Latest Breaking News forum).

Source: NBC News

WASHINGTON — Last month, we said that when Joe Biden is leading a presidential race — consistently — by double digits nationally, it shouldn’t be surprising to see him exceed 300 electoral votes in election projections.

And now that some of those same national polls are more in the 7- to 8-point range, it’s not surprising that Biden’s lead is lower than 300 electoral votes, but higher than the 270 needed to win.

That’s where we have Biden versus Trump in our second battleground map of 2020, which is based on public and private polling, as well as conversations with strategists watching the presidential race.

Biden is at 290 electoral votes, Trump is at 163 and 85 are in the Toss Up category. Our August battleground map was Biden 334, Trump 125 and Toss Up 79.

Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/trump-narrows-battleground-deficit-biden-remains-above-270-electoral-votes-n1239494



Florida and North Carolina went from Lean Democratic to Toss Up and Texas went from Toss Up to Lean Republican.
21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Trump narrows the battleground deficit, but Biden remains above 270 electoral votes (Original Post) TomCADem Sep 2020 OP
Comcast Media wants their Horse Race. Wellstone ruled Sep 2020 #1
Complacency will kill us faster than anything The Mouth Sep 2020 #2
Excitement for good polls does not equal complacency. I am so tired of hearing people telling me LizBeth Sep 2020 #3
first, Hillary was ahead because of a convention bounce qazplm135 Sep 2020 #11
No actually HRC was only 2-4% pts ahead Ntl, and swing state polls were never above 50% Thekaspervote Sep 2020 #12
Don't discount the holiday weekend influencing these polls. shotten99 Sep 2020 #4
538 has Biden with 322 EV's, so false narrative from NBC. Fiendish Thingy Sep 2020 #5
☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️ Thekaspervote Sep 2020 #13
damn I HOPE THAT BLUE TSUNAMI is coming.... yuiyoshida Sep 2020 #6
I call BULLSHIT. Polls post "suckers n losers" moving in NoMoreRepugs Sep 2020 #7
It's close! Watch us! Watch the ads! Make us money!!!!!! NRaleighLiberal Sep 2020 #8
Setting up for the steal RhodeIslandOne Sep 2020 #9
Yet new poll out from Rasmussen..RW leaner has Biden +4 in OH. Huge gain Thekaspervote Sep 2020 #10
GOTV wins the day bucolic_frolic Sep 2020 #14
I agree with someone above: Hillary was way ahead, and somehow Trump got the needed E votes. C Moon Sep 2020 #15
Complacency will kill us. 634-5789 Sep 2020 #16
Where do you see complaceny? Yavin4 Sep 2020 #17
Right next door. 634-5789 Sep 2020 #18
From their lips to G-d's ears.... KatyaR Sep 2020 #19
GOTV BlueWavePsych Sep 2020 #20
After discussion with hosts ... LOCKING applegrove Sep 2020 #21
 

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)
1. Comcast Media wants their Horse Race.
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 01:47 PM
Sep 2020

The Mouth

(3,414 posts)
2. Complacency will kill us faster than anything
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 01:47 PM
Sep 2020

Hillary was *WAY* ahead this time 4 years ago, the election a mere formality according to all the polls, pols, and pundits

LizBeth

(11,222 posts)
3. Excitement for good polls does not equal complacency. I am so tired of hearing people telling me
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 01:50 PM
Sep 2020

it does with every good poll we have.

qazplm135

(7,654 posts)
11. first, Hillary was ahead because of a convention bounce
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 02:12 PM
Sep 2020

her averages before and after weren't anywhere close to the sustained lead Biden's been enjoying.

Second, I get it, folks are still gun shy after 2016, but again, 2020 is NOT 2016.

Third, there are a plethora of differences between the two elections.

Thekaspervote

(35,820 posts)
12. No actually HRC was only 2-4% pts ahead Ntl, and swing state polls were never above 50%
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 02:30 PM
Sep 2020

Biden is consistently polling 7-8+ pts in ntl polls, and above 50% nationally and in most of the swing states. He’s in a much stronger position than she was

shotten99

(691 posts)
4. Don't discount the holiday weekend influencing these polls.
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 01:52 PM
Sep 2020

See what they say by the end of the week when things are back to "normal"

Fiendish Thingy

(23,227 posts)
5. 538 has Biden with 322 EV's, so false narrative from NBC.
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 01:52 PM
Sep 2020

Fox poll from yesterday had Biden with 8 points Ahead in WI yesterday.

And Rasmussen poll today has Biden leading Trump in OHIO.

THE MSM is terrified no one will be watchIng the pharmaceutical commercials during their shows if this turns into a Biden landslide before October.

Thekaspervote

(35,820 posts)
13. ☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 02:30 PM
Sep 2020

yuiyoshida

(45,409 posts)
6. damn I HOPE THAT BLUE TSUNAMI is coming....
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 01:53 PM
Sep 2020

we need to wipe the trash out of the PEOPLE'S HOUSE.

NoMoreRepugs

(12,076 posts)
7. I call BULLSHIT. Polls post "suckers n losers" moving in
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 01:53 PM
Sep 2020

RUMP’s direction - puhhhleezz.

NRaleighLiberal

(61,857 posts)
8. It's close! Watch us! Watch the ads! Make us money!!!!!!
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 01:59 PM
Sep 2020

Bullshit. A main reason we pulled the plug 10 years ago. Don't want to feed the propaganda and bullshit snake oil machine.

 

RhodeIslandOne

(5,042 posts)
9. Setting up for the steal
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 02:01 PM
Sep 2020

NBC and the big media doesn't want anyone to ask if this election is being stolen.

Thekaspervote

(35,820 posts)
10. Yet new poll out from Rasmussen..RW leaner has Biden +4 in OH. Huge gain
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 02:11 PM
Sep 2020

New morning consult Biden +8 in WI

538 is flip flopping with their position as well. enten on Saturday said Biden’s lead was not as big as being reported. Turns around the next day and says Biden has maintained his lead well and this is one of the most stable races EVER!

I quit looking...

bucolic_frolic

(55,133 posts)
14. GOTV wins the day
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 02:36 PM
Sep 2020

Still wondering about 2 calls I got about 10 days ago. One said they were from the Democratic Party and wanted to know how I was going to vote, but was really only interested in Biden. And knew little about the Congressional race here. hmmm.

A few days later got a call from a preacher, who was following up his end times letter ... a real wacko ... he got as far as "We live in perilous times ..." and I let him have it.

Coincidence? Am I paranoid? Or is it a rogue operation to ferret out weak Democrats .... dunno. Posting so perhaps others have odd things happening and can compare notes.

C Moon

(13,642 posts)
15. I agree with someone above: Hillary was way ahead, and somehow Trump got the needed E votes.
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 02:37 PM
Sep 2020

I say Putin is setting up the same scenario again, but the mail in ballots are going to throw this off, hence what Trump is saying about and doing to mail in voting.

So yeah, we'll need a MUCH bigger lead than that.

634-5789

(4,675 posts)
16. Complacency will kill us.
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 02:57 PM
Sep 2020
 

Yavin4

(37,182 posts)
17. Where do you see complaceny?
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 03:06 PM
Sep 2020

I don't see it.

634-5789

(4,675 posts)
18. Right next door.
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 03:37 PM
Sep 2020

Neighbor saw my Ridin' with Biden sign in the yard, told me they're all crooks, I don't vote. That's complacency.

KatyaR

(3,639 posts)
19. From their lips to G-d's ears....
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 05:43 PM
Sep 2020

Every time I think about us losing this election, I want to curl up in the fetal position and never get out of it again.

BlueWavePsych

(3,336 posts)
20. GOTV
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 05:57 PM
Sep 2020
GOTV GOTV GOTV

applegrove

(132,207 posts)
21. After discussion with hosts ... LOCKING
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 06:12 PM
Sep 2020

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