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brooklynite

(94,540 posts)
Mon Oct 5, 2020, 09:51 AM Oct 2020

Tropical Storm Delta Public Advisory

Source: National Hurricane Center



BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Delta Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM...
...ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 78.4W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM S OF NEGRIL JAMAICA
ABOUT 270 MI...440 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio and Artemisa
* Isle of Youth

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cuba province of La Habana

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Delta was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 78.4 West. The
storm is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and
this general motion should continue for the next day or so. A
faster northwestward motion is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday.
On the forecast track, the center of Delta is expected to
move away from Jamaica later today, move near or over the Cayman
Islands later tonight, and approach the Isle of Youth and western
Cuba Tuesday afternoon or evening. Delta is forecast to move into
the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night or early Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the
next few days, and the tropical storm is expected to be a hurricane
when it moves near or over western Cuba.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Delta can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41
KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate
coast of the Isle of Youth and along the south coast of western
Cuba near and to right of where the center makes landfall. Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL: Through midweek, Delta is expected to produce 3 to
5 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across
Jamaica and western Cuba. This rainfall could lead to significant
flash floods and mudslides. Over the Cayman Islands, 2 to 4 inches
of rainfall will be possible with this system.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands
beginning late today. Hurricane conditions are possible within
the Hurricane Watch area by Tuesday afternoon, with tropical storm
conditions possible by early Tuesday. Tropical Storm conditions
are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area in Cuba by early
Tuesday.


Read more: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/051139.shtml

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Tropical Storm Delta Public Advisory (Original Post) brooklynite Oct 2020 OP
One more named storm and we'll tie the 2005 record. BumRushDaShow Oct 2020 #1
Two more according to this... ramblin_dave Oct 2020 #3
Technically "Zeta" formed outside of the "official" hurricane season BumRushDaShow Oct 2020 #7
Just what the Gulf Coast needs, not. marie999 Oct 2020 #2
Looks like Trump is finally getting his Alabama hit. marble falls Oct 2020 #4
Yeah, he put a curse on them with that Sharpie... Talitha Oct 2020 #5
11 am advisory nitpicker Oct 2020 #6

ramblin_dave

(1,546 posts)
3. Two more according to this...
Mon Oct 5, 2020, 10:50 AM
Oct 2020
https://www.noaa.gov/news/with-alpha-2020-atlantic-tropical-storm-names-go-greek

"This is only the second time the Greek alphabet has been used to name storms. The first was during the 2005 hurricane season, where the last named storm was Zeta."

Zeta formed on Dec 30 of 2005 and continued into 2006.

BumRushDaShow

(128,953 posts)
7. Technically "Zeta" formed outside of the "official" hurricane season
Mon Oct 5, 2020, 11:24 AM
Oct 2020

which ends November 30, but as a weather hobbyist I did marvel at the storms that just kept on coming that year.

There has been discussion about how to characterize storms that form either before the "official" season (which begins June 1st) and after. Since they usually end up naming those pre- and post-season storms, it sortof suggests they endorse continuing to include them.

But I guess one of these days, if we can get past the nightmare we're going through with the interference and politicization of NOAA, and finally get the acceptance that climate change does exist, maybe they will "officially" expand the "season" by 2 months - with a month tacked onto either end.

nitpicker

(7,153 posts)
6. 11 am advisory
Mon Oct 5, 2020, 11:01 AM
Oct 2020

Tropical Storm Delta Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020
1100 AM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020

...DELTA STRENGTHENING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 78.6W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM S OF NEGRIL JAMAICA
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Cuba has issued a Hurricane Warning for the Cuban
province of Pinar del Rio. A Tropical Storm Warning was also been
issued for the Isle of Youth.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cuba province of Pinar del Rio

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Cuban province of Artemisa
* Isle of Youth

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac
* Isle of Youth

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cuba province of La Habana

(snip)
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Delta was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 78.6 West. Delta is
moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today. A faster northwestward
motion is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast
track, the center of Delta is expected to move away from Jamaica
later today, move near or over the Cayman Islands early Tuesday,
and approach western Cuba Tuesday afternoon or evening. Delta is
forecast to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday
night, and be over the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the
next few days, and Delta is expected to become a hurricane on
Tuesday before it nears western Cuba.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
(snip)

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