Biden Widens Lead to 21 Points After Trump's Coronavirus Diagnosis: Poll

[brooklynite]

This discussion thread was locked as off-topic by applegrove (a host of the Latest Breaking News forum).

Source: Newsweek

Dramatically fewer voters said they intend to cast ballots for President Donald Trump after he was diagnosed with COVID-19, according to a new poll.

A poll released Tuesday by Franklin Pierce University and The Boston Herald shows Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden's lead grew from 5 percent before the positive test result to 21 percent after Trump's diagnosis was announced.

Biden was supported by 46 percent of likely voters compared to 41 percent for Trump during the two days before his infection was revealed, while 55 percent said they would vote for Biden and only 34 percent stuck with Trump in the three days after the diagnosis.

The poll was conducted nationally among 1,003 likely voters over the phone and online between September 30 and October 4, with a 3.1 percent margin of error. When results from all five days of the survey are included, Biden holds an overall 51 percent to 37 percent lead over Trump.



Read more: https://www.newsweek.com/biden-widens-lead-21-points-after-trumps-coronavirus-diagnosis-poll-1536917

[captain queeg]

1. The October surprise isn't what trumpty dumpty was hoping for

Surprise dumbass! You’re fired!

[lagomorph777]

8. It's the October Surprise that keeps on giving. More top Reptilicans infected every day.

I'm particularly delighted that Steven Goebbels Miller is sick.

[SKKY]

2. Seems like it might be an outlier, but hey, I'll take it....

...it certainly follows the prevailing trends.

[Bengus81]

3. Maybe it will drop another 3-5 on this phony "vote for me or NO stimulus check" CON JOB

Here we go again. His rich Airline buddies get theirs,those "business" owners who take the money and buy Trump 2020 billboards get theirs but millions and millions who truly need another $1200 stimulus check can fuck off.

What would make anyone with a brain think that KING CON would suddenly crank out those checks starting on Nov 4th?!?!

[durablend]

4. No way will it be that much of a blowout

Lets not kid ourselves here. The stupid MAGAt will still be stupid MAGAt and crawl over broken glass to vote for their savior and to stick it to teh libs.

[William Seger]

16. Trump will always do better than the polls indicate

... because at least some of his supporters know he's a turd and are too embarrassed to tell the truth to pollsters -- that they'd vote for Charles Manson if he ran as a Republican.

[IronLionZion]

5. Great, let's take the Senate too

where it is way more competitive

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/

[PatSeg]

6. Given what a horror Trump has been,

this is the kind of poll results I would have expected months ago. I guess the "final straw" for different voters really varies and perhaps more people are actually paying attention now.

[Chichiri]

7. Folks, the +21 is a partial result.

The entire poll has Biden +14.

[KWR65]

9. I'm really starting to doubt these polls.

To go from a 5% national lead tp 21% is not possible.

[pnwmom]

20. This poll was never a very reliable one. Remember, it had 5% when no one else did.

But I like the 21. It kind of makes up for the 5.

[Johnny2X2X]

22. It's an A- rated poll

It's one of the best ones out there.

[pnwmom]

26. I can't see it on 538 or RCP. Where was it rated A-? n/t

[Johnny2X2X]

27. Whoops, my bad

I was looking at the NBC/WSJ which also has Biden +14 and is an A- rated poll.

[pnwmom]

29. Thanks. I like all these polls lately, and they're all going in the same direction nt

[bucolic_frolic]

10. Con man who screams HOAX! 10 times a week contracts virus he's downplayed

Yeah I could see that impacting credibility a bit

[Marthe48]

11. I would love to see Mr. Biden win the election

Like Secretariat won the Belmont Stakes! Just leave impeached traitor in the dust.

In case you haven't ever seen this race:

Just ironic that the horse who came in a distant second was named Sham.

[Mira]

12. Thanks for posting the video

it raised my spirits to get to see it.

[Roc2020]

18. Always heard about this race

first time seeing the recording of it.

[Marthe48]

19. Welcome to DU

I watched it live, and I watch it every once in awhile, because it is unbelievable. I'll feel good the rest of the day There is a movie called Secretariat, which I enjoyed watching.

[Bayard]

21. That horse was amazing!

I remember watching the race on TV with other horsey friends, and we were pulling for little Sham. But Secretariat had a couple of other gears. I read once that he had a 17 foot stride.

May Joe be just as amazing!

[Marthe48]

23. I loved that horse

I remember he made the cover of Time Magazine

[Jimbo S]

25. Just the five horses?

typical then? And it seemed like it took forever. Longer track then?

[Bayard]

28. The Derby and Preakness had already been run

And he won both of those.

The Belmont is the longest race of the Triple Crown at 1& 1/2 miles, so by that time, the field is considerably narrowed, even though other horses can qualify that were not in the other races.

The Derby is is 1 & 1/4. The Preakness is 1& 3/16 mile.

[Steelrolled]

13. Don't we love counting our chickens before they are hatched?

And we can't seem to remember more than a few years back. Stories like this are harmful IMHO.

[NewJeffCT]

17. In 2016, the final national polls had Clinton wining the popular vote by 1% to 5%

she won the popular vote by almost 3%

seems pretty accurate on that basis.

[ananda]

14. I like this but 21 points seems high to me.

I'm thinking it's more like 12-14 points ahead.

[gristy]

15. Another poll (YouGov), taken after dump's diagnosis was announced (Oct 4-6), shows Biden up 8-9 pts

reported at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/
scroll down a bit

21 pts doesn't sound right.

[Johnny2X2X]

24. The Covis issue is bigger than just Trump for him

It wasn't just that Trump got Covid, it's that his entire White House seemingly got it. Even though he's not in the hospital any monger, this is still getting worse for him because almost hourly a new patient is identified that had contact with him.

[Talitha]

30. As an aside - how many early voters regret wasting their ballot on Dump?

[getagrip_already]

32. not many it seems.....

At least one report has most of the early votes cast were by dems, although I don't know how they figured that out.

[RicROC]

31. 1000+ people poll

Many of these polls consist of 300-400 people which gives a larger Margin of Error, like 4.5%.
This poll has over 1000 people polled. Margin of Error = 3.1%.

I'd like to see a poll consisting of 2000+ people. Of course, once you get over 52%, maybe the MofE does not as mean as much.

[Jon King]

33. Rasmussen has Biden up 12

If Rasmussen has him up 12 it must be more like 17-18.

[Demovictory9]

34. Wow

[applegrove]

35. LOCKING

Alert: duplicate post

Below is the previous LBN OP on the same topic.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/10142598784

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