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brooklynite

(96,882 posts)
Wed Oct 28, 2020, 07:15 AM Oct 2020

COVID surge hurts Trump in Wisconsin; Biden leads in a closer Michigan contest: Poll

Source: ABC News


A surge in coronavirus cases has damaged President Donald Trump's re-election campaign in Wisconsin, with growing criticism of his work on the pandemic and preference for former Vice President Joe Biden to handle it. Biden holds a slighter advantage in Michigan, with sizable leads among women, moderates and independents in ABC News/Washington Post polls in both states.

Biden leads Trump by 57-40% among likely voters in Wisconsin, a state that's now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53% increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations and a 112% jump in deaths. That compares with a closer 52-46% in mid-September.

In Michigan, it's 51-44%, Biden-Trump, among likely voters, a slight Biden lead in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. The Senate race there stands at 52% for incumbent Democrat Gary Peters versus 46% for Republican John James, not a statistically significant difference, thus a rare chance this cycle for a GOP pickup, with control of the Senate in the balance.


Read more: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/covid-surge-hurts-trump-wisconsin-biden-leads-closer/story?id=73834112&cid=social_twitter_abcn
8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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COVID surge hurts Trump in Wisconsin; Biden leads in a closer Michigan contest: Poll (Original Post) brooklynite Oct 2020 OP
I feel like Michigan wouldn't be far behind Jamesyu Oct 2020 #1
How is 6% not a statistically significant difference? dansolo Oct 2020 #2
If you double the MOE and the lead is less than that DeminPennswoods Oct 2020 #4
A slight lead? It's 7%! And he's over 50%! Happyhippychick Oct 2020 #3
My thoughts exactly..Poorly written article. AZ8theist Oct 2020 #7
More horse race BS! 538 updated just a few moments ago WI Biden +9.1 Thekaspervote Oct 2020 #5
As a Wisconsin resident I welcome that news, but.... rlegro Oct 2020 #6
AND, WI repub legislators refuse to pass legslation which would allow counting of Kashkakat v.2.0 Oct 2020 #8

dansolo

(5,387 posts)
2. How is 6% not a statistically significant difference?
Wed Oct 28, 2020, 08:09 AM
Oct 2020

A margin of error that high indicates a crappy poll. What a ridiculously biased spin. ABC News should be ashamed.

DeminPennswoods

(17,592 posts)
4. If you double the MOE and the lead is less than that
Wed Oct 28, 2020, 08:36 AM
Oct 2020

number, then you'll hear the term "statistical tie", but at over 50%, doubtful.

rlegro

(342 posts)
6. As a Wisconsin resident I welcome that news, but....
Wed Oct 28, 2020, 12:05 PM
Oct 2020

I surely hope the voters annoyed with Trump's piss-poor pandemic performance will aim equal or greater wrath at state GOP lawmakers. Statehouse Republicans have failed to hold a meaningful legislative session for six months. They also fought Democratic Gov. Tony Evers on his mask and social-distancing orders right up to the state Supreme Court. Their heavily gerrymandered districts may not be sufficient strongholds against a blue tsunami. They won big in 2010, and now it's our turn to win just as big if not bigger. Their games are increasingly apparent to more and more voters who have been harmed or are frustrated at our state's general decline. Remember, despite heavy odds against them, Wisconsin Democrats in 2018 recaptured the governorship, the attorney general's office and installed a left-of-center justice to the wingnut-majority state Supreme Court. Only just beginning.

Kashkakat v.2.0

(1,940 posts)
8. AND, WI repub legislators refuse to pass legslation which would allow counting of
Wed Oct 28, 2020, 10:09 PM
Oct 2020

absentee ballots to start now, or as they come in (which is what most states do. They start counting as they come in.)

NOOOO, we in WI have to wait till 7 am election dday for them to start running ballots through the machines, which means a mad scramble to get it done. They are allowed to stay after polls close to finish, but they cannot leave the premises until the job is done. Cant help but wonder if repubs plan to put a halt to the count if they detect any violation The volume of ballots is unprecedented and its hard to say how long it will take them

Even RON JOHNSON thinks it should be changed , which gives you some idea of how truly extreme & crooked WI repubs are.

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