Fauci: Current virus plateau 'unacceptable'
Source: The Hill
BY ZACK BUDRYK - 03/07/21 11:13 AM EST
Anthony Fauci, the nations top infectious diseases expert, described current coronavirus levels of 60,000 to 70,000 new cases per day as unacceptable.."
Fauci said on CBSs Face the Nation on Sunday that he is concerned that cases have begun to plateau after coming down "very sharply" of the past week or so.
Historically, if you look back at the different surges weve had, when they come down and start to plateau at a very high level
plateauing at a level of [60,000] to 70,000 new cases per day is not an acceptable level, that is really very high.
The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases head added that Europe, which is usually a couple of weeks ahead of us in these patterns, saw its numbers plateau before about a 9 percent increase in cases.
-snip-
Link to tweet
Read more: https://thehill.com/homenews/sunday-talk-shows/542005-fauci-current-virus-plateau-unacceptable
Bayard
(22,062 posts)At their citizens' peril.
Initech
(100,065 posts)SheltieLover
(57,073 posts)In much of the country.
Idiot repukes wanting to reposen & drop mask mandates!
Warpy
(111,249 posts)but the transmission rate is still high, meaning any relaxation of the rules (mask mandate, indoor occupation limits) will give us another big outbreak.
Vaccine is still in short supply, I guess nobody lives in NM but undocumented aliens, scorpions, and rattlesnakes.
Evolve Dammit
(16,725 posts)DSandra
(999 posts)And not get arrested for murder because of it. They love being in a world where they are the strong ones (because of white supremacy) and are undisputedly at the top of society.
Historic NY
(37,449 posts)DSandra
(999 posts)JustABozoOnThisBus
(23,338 posts)Last spring, the big goal of masking, etc, seemed to be that the number of people hospitalized doesn't exceed the number of beds. And the number of critical breathing cases doesn't exceed the number of ventilators.
By those measures, we're there. We won.
But I think the "acceptable" plateau is "zero cases" in the country. Then, the next target is "zero cases in the world". Anything above zero is unacceptable.
BumRushDaShow
(128,892 posts)the subsequent "plateau" seems to end up happening at a higher level than the previous plateau that preceded a peak. So for example -
(from here - https://www.statista.com/statistics/1102816/coronavirus-covid19-cases-number-us-americans-by-day/)
-AND-
(from here and apparently their "final" report - https://covidtracking.com/analysis-updates/our-final-week-this-week-in-covid-data-mar-4)
Because the virus is so wide spread, I wouldn't expect it to go to zero anytime soon but I think the hope was that it would at least drop back to the plateau level just prior to this last peak, but that hasn't happened yet. And apparently there is a concern that with the lifting of mandates and literal throwing open of businesses, plus the use of a vaccine, prompting people to no longer continue to adhere to masking/social distancing for a little while longer, those circumstances may end up generating yet another surge of cases and possibly an even higher peak than the one we have come down from... due to the persistence of new variants that are more infectious, and more easily spread.
If you go to the top link above and hover over the data points at the site from earlier in the year, the previous plateau appears to have been averaging about 35,000 - 45,000 cases a day. But now we are plateauing at almost twice that level and our current plateau is at around the same level as the post- Memorial Day/post-July 4th peak.
I know you mentioned the hospitalization rates but another measure back then running concurrent with that, were efforts to determine and reduce the rates of transmission so that you had "less than one person" infecting others, to get the virus out of general community spread.
The problem too is that the vaccine has been presented as a panacea and promoted by non-scientists as if it were a "cure". But what it would really be doing is reducing the amount of virus within a person if they contracted it (viral load), thus lessening the amount that could still be spread, while reducing (but not necessarily eliminating) the more detrimental symptoms.