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chuluma

(67 posts)
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 08:39 PM Aug 2022

Georgia 2022: Walker Holds Two-Point Lead Over Warnock in Tight Senate Race; Kemp Leads Abrams by Fo

Source: Emerson Polling

The latest Emerson College Polling survey of the Georgia general election finds Senator Raphael Warnock trailing his Republican opponent, Herschel Walker by two points, 44% to 46%. Four percent plan to vote for someone else and 7% are undecided. Regardless of whom they support, 53% expect the incumbent Senator Warnock to win while 47% expect Walker to win. This reflects a tightening of the race since April, when the Emerson College poll had Walker ahead 49% to 45%.

Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling said, “Walker leads Warnock among rural voters 58% to 24% while Warnock leads Walker 66% to 25% among urban voters. In the suburbs, voters are breaking for Walker by a nine-point margin, 50% to 41%.”

Read more: https://emersoncollegepolling.com/georgia-2022-walker-holds-two-point-lead-over-warnock-in-tight-senate-race-kemp-leads-abrams-by-four/

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Georgia 2022: Walker Holds Two-Point Lead Over Warnock in Tight Senate Race; Kemp Leads Abrams by Fo (Original Post) chuluma Aug 2022 OP
WTF?! Mme. Defarge Aug 2022 #1
It's Georgia. nycbos Aug 2022 #2
I'm the least bit surprised that Walker is ahead in GA AllTooEasy Aug 2022 #27
Emerson doesn't impress me. elleng Aug 2022 #13
it's the astounding stupidity of Ga dems who let Ga and G Tech support 12 trump stations! certainot Aug 2022 #30
I wonder exactly who they are polling kimbutgar Aug 2022 #3
Spock would say it's illogical, and so do I. KS Toronado Aug 2022 #33
I live in Georgia hueymahl Aug 2022 #39
So disappointed... we need massive investment in ads putting democracy resting on the Karadeniz Aug 2022 #4
...and civics education quaint Aug 2022 #37
Not all bad news USAFRetired_Liberal Aug 2022 #5
538 has Senator Warnock ahead by less than !% MerryHolidays Aug 2022 #6
GA is more conservative than FL so not surprising at all AlexSFCA Aug 2022 #7
Good God....Poor Walker is sadly just stupid...and I mean that in the clinical way... ashredux Aug 2022 #8
none of these numbers hits 50% Casady1 Aug 2022 #9
That! Mme. Defarge Aug 2022 #14
Suburbanites like Walker? Seriously? viva la Aug 2022 #10
Everyone in GA is a football fan AllTooEasy Aug 2022 #26
So a bunch of dumbasses voting for him because he played football ? JI7 Aug 2022 #35
I've been saying for months... WarGamer Aug 2022 #11
Georgia Republican voters have very low standards IronLionZion Aug 2022 #12
How is this possible? hamsterjill Aug 2022 #15
I really think that's not true. OneCrazyDiamond Aug 2022 #16
Very likely voters SlimJimmy Aug 2022 #17
I want to see other polls. I question the methodology Emerson used JohnSJ Aug 2022 #18
In Pennsylvania Shapiro was only leading by 2-3 points according to Emerson. What bothered me JohnSJ Aug 2022 #20
It will depend on turnout... TheRealNorth Aug 2022 #19
True, and the cities will overwhelmingly vote Democratic, but only if they vote JohnSJ Aug 2022 #21
I live in Georgia SlimJimmy Aug 2022 #25
holy shit! 5 hours?? orleans Aug 2022 #29
Actually, the law says SlimJimmy Aug 2022 #31
thanks for the info on the law. also, glad you can early vote. nt orleans Aug 2022 #32
I'm going to clarify that during training ga_girl Aug 2022 #40
No kidding TheRealNorth Aug 2022 #38
Just sent Sucha NastyWoman Aug 2022 #22
Walker is obviously unfit in a sad sort of way. Turbineguy Aug 2022 #23
It's closer than it should be - but Emerson was wrong in 2020 and 2021. Beautiful Disaster Aug 2022 #24
That just inspired me to donate $50 to Warnock and Abrams just now. nt SunSeeker Aug 2022 #28
Pack your own lunch and bring your own water, GA voters. Do not give up your place in line. Samrob Aug 2022 #34
In the Suburbs? Roy Rolling Aug 2022 #36

nycbos

(6,709 posts)
2. It's Georgia.
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 08:42 PM
Aug 2022

Half the state would reinstate slavery if they could. We might have to do a little march to the sea again.

AllTooEasy

(1,261 posts)
27. I'm the least bit surprised that Walker is ahead in GA
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 11:51 PM
Aug 2022

He would/could win MS, AL, AR, LA, SC, KY...see where I'm going with this?
 

certainot

(9,090 posts)
30. it's the astounding stupidity of Ga dems who let Ga and G Tech support 12 trump stations!
Wed Aug 31, 2022, 12:18 AM
Aug 2022

from www.fakenewsradio.org

GEORGIA 14 Georgia 7, Georgia Tech 5, Georgia Southern 2

those unis are endorsing walker every day!!! they don't even have to 'support' walker - those and other RW radio stations spend all day trashing dem candidates and stacy abrams and democrats have no fucking clue

kimbutgar

(27,010 posts)
3. I wonder exactly who they are polling
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 08:47 PM
Aug 2022

And I can’t believe that Walker is ahead of Warnock. He’s a freaking idiot.

hueymahl

(2,904 posts)
39. I live in Georgia
Wed Aug 31, 2022, 12:22 PM
Aug 2022

Very different voting patterns outside I-285 than inside (Atlanta is inside).

I can confidently predict that Warnock and Kemp will win pretty easily. If republicans had run anyone other than a complete nutjob, Warnock would be in trouble. Lots of republicans (especially the moderate/educated ones) will just not vote for him because he is literally insane, and they recognize that. But those same ones love Kemp, who has walked a pretty moderate path (for Georgia, at least).

 

USAFRetired_Liberal

(4,392 posts)
5. Not all bad news
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 08:52 PM
Aug 2022

This same poll has had Walker/Kemp in the lead all year and it is shrinking. And Kemps lead has shrunk A LOT…if this poll is showing those margins, then I say Warnock is up and the Governor’s race is tied

ashredux

(2,895 posts)
8. Good God....Poor Walker is sadly just stupid...and I mean that in the clinical way...
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 09:03 PM
Aug 2022

“Slow of mind - given to unintelligent decisions or acts : acting in an unintelligent or careless manner”

WarGamer

(18,341 posts)
11. I've been saying for months...
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 09:12 PM
Aug 2022

A percentage of the population just want to see him yell "Go Dawgs" and they'll vote for him.

hamsterjill

(17,206 posts)
15. How is this possible?
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 09:37 PM
Aug 2022

Rhetorical question, of course.

But anyone with ANY sense can see that Walker was hit in the head once too many times during his football career. It’s sad, but he is not capable of handling a Senate seat. He will be a puppet only, of course, and that’s just what Trump et al want!

OneCrazyDiamond

(2,063 posts)
16. I really think that's not true.
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 09:41 PM
Aug 2022

I am pretty sure Walker has brain damage by things that he had said and Stacy Abrams is amazing.

SlimJimmy

(3,251 posts)
17. Very likely voters
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 09:50 PM
Aug 2022

These are polls we need to pay attention to. Whether we like the results or not. And just a note. Insulting Georgia voters won't bring them to our side of the argument.

 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
18. I want to see other polls. I question the methodology Emerson used
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 10:00 PM
Aug 2022

“ The Emerson College Polling survey of Georgia voters was conducted August 28-29, 2022. The sample consisted of very likely general election voters, n=600, with a margin of error (MOE) of +/- 3.9 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, and region based on 2022 turnout modeling. It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. Data was collected using a cellphone sample using SMS-to-web, and a voter registration list of emails and an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines.”

 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
20. In Pennsylvania Shapiro was only leading by 2-3 points according to Emerson. What bothered me
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 10:07 PM
Aug 2022

about that was 9% of supposed Democrats said they would vote for the Republican for governor

I wonder if those polled as Democrats were not being honest in their part affiliation

TheRealNorth

(9,647 posts)
19. It will depend on turnout...
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 10:03 PM
Aug 2022

And how many Democrat voters the Republicans are able to ratfuck (by kicking them off the voting lists or make them wait in impossibly long lines).

SlimJimmy

(3,251 posts)
25. I live in Georgia
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 11:18 PM
Aug 2022

The last time I voted in a Presidential election, It was a five hour wait. And we live in the suburbs.

orleans

(36,751 posts)
29. holy shit! 5 hours??
Wed Aug 31, 2022, 12:00 AM
Aug 2022

and didn't they pass a law about not handing out water or chairs or snacks to people waiting in line to vote?

SlimJimmy

(3,251 posts)
31. Actually, the law says
Wed Aug 31, 2022, 12:22 AM
Aug 2022

Partisan groups can't hand out water or snacks. The local election officials can make it available. There was some misreporting on the law. But that always seems to happen. With that said, we've done early voting ever since. Average wait time about 20 minutes.

ga_girl

(207 posts)
40. I'm going to clarify that during training
Wed Aug 31, 2022, 01:37 PM
Aug 2022

Assistant manager in a Gwinnett precinct. We've already been notified of mandatory on line training and mandatory classroom training. I fully intend to ask about providing water and paper cups for those waiting in line.

TheRealNorth

(9,647 posts)
38. No kidding
Wed Aug 31, 2022, 09:50 AM
Aug 2022

I had to wait 30 minutes a couple of times (once was actually early voting in MN), and I thought that was bad.

I wonder how quick the lines are in bumblefuck red county. There should be penalties for states that have large discrepancies.

Turbineguy

(39,920 posts)
23. Walker is obviously unfit in a sad sort of way.
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 11:01 PM
Aug 2022

Of course being unfit makes him qualified in a Republican sort of way.

 

Beautiful Disaster

(667 posts)
24. It's closer than it should be - but Emerson was wrong in 2020 and 2021.
Tue Aug 30, 2022, 11:05 PM
Aug 2022

Emerson had Trump winning 49-48 in 2020 - also had Perdue beating Ossoff 51-48 in the runoff.

Samrob

(4,298 posts)
34. Pack your own lunch and bring your own water, GA voters. Do not give up your place in line.
Wed Aug 31, 2022, 01:40 AM
Aug 2022

Do whatever you can to keep Walker out of office. Now is a good time for his former wives to step up and remind voters of his abuse. GA you know better. Fuck the polls!

Roy Rolling

(7,527 posts)
36. In the Suburbs?
Wed Aug 31, 2022, 04:28 AM
Aug 2022

Walker has a 9-point advantage? WTF?

“Yes, they sure does look alike to me” —White, GOP-enslaved suburban voter scared shitless by Republican racism.

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