La Nina, which worsens hurricanes and drought, is gone
Last edited Thu Mar 9, 2023, 05:19 PM - Edit history (1)
Source: AP
WASHINGTON (AP) — After three nasty years, the La Nina weather phenomenon that increases Atlantic hurricane activity and worsens western drought is gone, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said Thursday. That’s usually good news for the United States and other parts of the world, including drought-stricken northeast Africa, scientists said.
The globe is now in what’s considered a “neutral” condition and probably trending to an El Nino in late summer or fall, said climate scientist Michelle L’Heureux, head of NOAA’s El Nino/La Nina forecast office. “It’s over,” said research scientist Azhar Ehsan, who heads Columbia University’s El Nino/La Nina forecasting. “Mother Nature thought to get rid of this one because it’s enough.”
La Nina is a natural and temporary cooling of parts of the Pacific Ocean that changes weather worldwide. In the United States, because La Nina is connected to more Atlantic storms and deeper droughts and wildfires in the West, La Ninas often are more damaging and expensive than their more famous flip side, El Nino, experts said and studies show.
Generally, American agriculture is more damaged by La Nina than El Nino. If the globe jumps into El Nino it means more rain for the Midwestern corn belt and grains in general and could be beneficial, said Michael Ferrari, chief scientific officer of Climate Alpha, a firm that advises investors on financial decisions based on climate.
Read more: https://apnews.com/article/la-nina-severe-weather-noaa-hurricanes-3a3be03c7d445f3fb4c4ec240589346b
Three years of it.
Article updated.
Original headline -
= new reply since forum marked as read
meaning almost 17 years.
The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season had 14 named storms and the Pacific hurricane season had 19 named storms (including 2 Atlantic systems that crossed over into the Pacific).
So what I wrote was correct. I tracked the damn things (I run GRLevel 3 and GR2Anayst).
Quit before you dig deeper!
But for the benefit of the thread -
From the first link -
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
U.S. Department of Commerce
Enter Search Terms
Breadcrumb
Damaging 2022 Atlantic hurricane season draws to a close
NOAA science and services yield improved forecasts
November 29, 2022
(snip)
In total, this hurricane season produced 14 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater), of which eight became hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater) and two intensified to major hurricanes with winds reaching 111 mph or greater. An average hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.
(snip)
https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/damaging-2022-atlantic-hurricane-season-draws-to-close
And the 2nd link -
ABPZ30 KNHC 011254
TWSEP
Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM PST Thu Dec 1 2022
For the eastern North Pacific, east of 140 degrees west longitude:
No tropical cyclones formed in the eastern Pacific basin in the
month of November. Based on a 30-year climatology (1991-2020), one
named storm typically forms in November every second or third
year. This is the first November since 2017 in which a named
storm did not form during the final month of the hurricane season.
Overall, the 2022 eastern Pacific hurricane season featured an
above average number of named storms and hurricanes, and an average
number of major hurricanes. Seventeen named storms formed in the
basin in 2022 (Bonnie and Julia are not included since they formed
in the Atlantic basin). Ten hurricanes occurred in the basin with
four of those becoming major hurricanes (category 3 or greater on
the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). This compares to the
long-term (1991-2020) averages of fifteen named storms, eight
hurricanes, and four major hurricanes. In terms of Accumulated
Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the strength and duration of
tropical storms and hurricanes, the activity in the Eastern Pacific
was near the long-term (1991-2020) average.
Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
the National Hurricane Center website at:
www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2022&basin=epac
Summary Table
Name Dates Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
H Agatha 28-31 May 110
H Blas 14-19 Jun 85*
TS Celia 16-28 Jun 60*
MH Bonnie^ 1-9 Jul 115
MH Darby 9-16 Jul 140
H Estelle 15-21 Jul 85*
H Frank 26 Jul-2 Aug 90*
TS Georgette 27 Jul-3 Aug 60*
H Howard 6-11 Aug 85
TS Ivette 13-16 Aug 40
TS Javier 1-4 Sep 45
H Kay 4-9 Sep 105
TS Lester 15-17 Sep 45
TS Madeline 17-20 Sep 65
TS Newton 21-25 Sep 60
MH Orlene 29 Sep-4 Oct 130
TS Paine 3-5 Oct 45
H Julia^ 6-9 Oct 85
MH Roslyn 20-23 Oct 130
---------------------------------------------------
* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.
^ Denotes storms that formed in the Atlantic basin and entered the
eastern Pacific as tropical cyclones. The dates and maximum wind
listed include the system's entire lifecycle in both basins.
$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/text/TWSEP/2022/TWSEP.202212011254.txt
And you somehow convoluted it into something else.
The first link has this in the summary -
Ian had 150+ mph sustained winds at landfall in FL, almost like what happened with Hurricane Michael when it hit Mexico Beach, FL (we have DUers who in live that area of Ft. Myers and Cape Coral where it hit). None of the named E./Central Pacific hurricanes of 2022 reached that sustained level of winds whether land-falling or over open waters.
