Trump Says Fed Pick Warsh Can Get Economy to Hit 15% Growth
Last edited Tue Feb 10, 2026, 05:06 AM - Edit history (1)
Source: Bloomberg via Yahoo
(Bloomberg) -- President Donald Trump said his pick to lead the Federal Reserve can stoke the economy to grow at a rate of 15%, an exceedingly rosy target that nonetheless underscores the pressure that Kevin Warsh will face if confirmed to the role.
...
If Warsh does the job that hes capable of, then we can grow at 15%, I think more than that, Trump told host Larry Kudlow, who was a senior aide in the presidents first administration, in a clip aired Monday. I think he is going to be great, and hes a really high quality person.
It was not fully clear if Trump was referring to year-over-year growth or some other metric. The US economy, which is seen expanding 2.4% this year, has grown at an average annual rate of 2.8% over the past five decades. Gross domestic product has only risen at a 15%-plus pace a few times since the 1950s, including in the third quarter of 2020 as businesses reopened following pandemic-related closures.
. . .
Trumps comments in the Fox Business interview signal what could prove to be a high-wire act for Warsh. His remarks suggest Trump is not concerned about inflation, which would typically soar under growth rates anywhere near 15% and which has remained stubbornly elevated.
Read more: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-says-fed-pick-warsh-224228701.html
Published February 9, 2026 at 6:49 PM CST
No paywall and no gimmicks like "gimme your email first" at this Yahoo-hosted article
The latest GDP number is that in Q3, GDP grew at a 4.4% ANNUALIZED RATE in the quarter. (Not that it grew 4.4% during the quarter as some media reports make it sound like)
Edited to add
There's a lot of discussion downthread on GDP. Here's a couple of articles from the initial GDP Q3 report (which was reported as a 4.3% annualized rate) dated 12/23/25 --
The great decoupling: Why Americas economy is booming without jobs (has a GDP bar graph from 2021 Q4 onward), Newsweek, 12/24/25
https://www.newsweek.com/great-decoupling-why-americas-economy-booming-without-jobs-11268302
nominal GDP expanded 8.2 percent ((at an annualized 8.2% rate I think -progree)), while real private demanda measure that excludes trade and inventory effectsrose 3 percent. Inflation held near 3 percent.
The GDP reported in headlines and most articles are inflation-adjusted using the GDP deflator. The above was unusual in saying what the nominal GDP numbers were.
The US economy expanded at the fastest pace in two years as wealthier Americans kept spending, CNN, 12/23/25
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-economy-much-stronger-expected-140516629.html
An acceleration in consumer spending, up 3.5% from 2.5% in the second quarter, and exports, up 8.8% from -1.8% in the second quarter, were the main contributors to the third-quarter GDP reading. ((CBS says exports grew at an 8.8% rate. Another article says that a rush to buy EV's before the tax incentives expired contributed to the consumer spending increase -progree))
Federal spending also played a sizable role, a reflection of the large uptick in defense spending as well as buyouts for federal workers, part of efforts to ultimately lower government spending. The fourth-quarter GDP report set to be released next month, however, is expected to be negatively impacted by a drop in federal spending resulting from the 43-day government shutdown.
The K-shaped economy is staring us right in the face, James Knightley, chief international economist at ING, said in a note on Tuesday following the release of the GDP report. Economic growth, he said, is concentrated among higher-income households and tech-led investment, while broader consumer confidence remains under pressure.
The bea.gov report (for the latest 4.4% estimate)
https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/gross-domestic-product-3rd-quarter-2025-updated-estimate-gdp-industry-and-corporate
unblock
(56,084 posts)chouchou
(2,947 posts)...and I'm Taylor Swift.
Enter stage left
(4,407 posts)Like your lowered prices on prescriptions?
Only a measly 15%, surely you can find someone better, possibly one of your kids.
Deuxcents
(26,079 posts)jmowreader
(53,006 posts)There are a lot of companies that set growth targets - say, four percent per year - and work their asses off to not go above that. If all of a sudden you're seeing commercials for some company that doesn't normally do commercials, this is why.
The reason they do that is runaway growth isn't sustainable. It's also unsustainable in the public sector.
BootinUp
(51,039 posts)yaesu
(9,132 posts)patphil
(8,847 posts)reACTIONary
(7,058 posts).... 15% inflation.
Prairie Gates
(7,572 posts)He's basically daring the business press to dispute him, and they all have to sit there quietly, knowing full well that 15% growth is as likely as Trump swimming upstream at Niagara Falls.
joanbarnes
(2,101 posts)hoosierspud
(222 posts)A Nobel Prize in Economics.
Historic NY
(39,817 posts)Fiendish Thingy
(22,468 posts)Trump is such a dope.
Grins
(9,341 posts)It cant be effectively managed. Or at all.
cstanleytech
(28,316 posts)modrepub
(4,022 posts)Q1: -0.6
Q2: 3.8
Q3: 4.4
Q4: ???
From Bureau of Economic Analysis
Trump and his minions have bragged about having annual GDP growth in the 4% range. Of course growth this high wont help reduce inflation or lower the fed funds rate (theoretically reducing loan rates). And Id guess a depreciating $ offsets a lot of what we see in GDP growth and reduces returns on US government debt (raising rates for government bonds).
Youll miss a lot of things if youre only focused on GDP. Especially if its about affordability for most folks.
