Poll: Sanford holds slim lead in congressional race (US House Dist. SC-1 vs Colbert Busch)
Source: The State (Columbia, SC)
Republican Mark Sanford has taken a slim lead over Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch just two days before the special election in the S.C. 1st congressional district, according to a poll released Sunday night.
Sanford was down 9 percentage points -- 50 percent to 41 percent -- in a Public Policy Polling survey two weekends ago.
The same firm found this weekend that the former S.C. governor was up 47 percent to 46 percent over Colbert Busch, a political newcomer and sister of TV comedian Stephen Colbert. Green Party candidate Eugene Platt received four percent. Another four percent were undecided.
The result was within the polls margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percent, suggesting Colbert Busch could be ahead.
Read more: http://www.thestate.com/2013/05/05/2758186/poll-sanford-holds-slim-lead-in.html
Response to alp227 (Original post)
lastlib This message was self-deleted by its author.
Rhiannon12866
(205,202 posts)onehandle
(51,122 posts)Sheesh.
LonePirate
(13,417 posts)They will never vote for a Democrat no matter how ridiculous or how awful the Republican candidate is. As sensible Democrats, we would be wise to remember that.
SunSeeker
(51,550 posts)CBHagman
(16,984 posts)...how polls would look if there were no third party candidate in the race.
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)With that said, a Sanford victory will be another example of "Christian" right hypocrisy.
DallasNE
(7,402 posts)So even though Sanford ran a bumbling campaign and bombed out in the debate, advantage money and demographics. That said, in these low turnout special elections the GOTV effort can create surprises. I saw this starting to swing about 5-6 days ago and sent some late money myself.
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)Amazing.
theHandpuppet
(19,964 posts)Apparently there are plenty of folks in SC who are proud to embarrass themselves and their state.
Joe Bacon
(5,164 posts)Vitter got re-elected, Newt carried South Carolina in the primary. I fully expect Sanford to win in a walk. Why? because it's more proof of IOKIYAR!
BlueStater
(7,596 posts)What a bunch of fucking tools.
Iwillnevergiveup
(9,298 posts)We badly need a Colbert bump in S.C. He's just toooooo awful.
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)seems to be the most accurate and I'm sticking with them. Probably the poll have tighten up but Busch is still ahead. Don't understand the Green party tho. Why? The Green party seems more liberal than conservative and if they are making a statement it sucks at this point. We should keep as many of these crazy conservatives out.
olddots
(10,237 posts)The south shall sink again .
Deep13
(39,154 posts)Hulk
(6,699 posts)jim de'mint country? Lindsey graham? Nuff said. Such a shameless state. Glad to NOT be from there.
LeftInTX
(25,255 posts)Thanks third party
graham4anything
(11,464 posts)because of course, like 2000, Bush was a big environmentalist, and the repubs in SC have been such environmentalists
What worries me even more is the lethargic campaign Markey is running in Mass.
beerandjesus
(1,301 posts)Which is also why Scott Brown won in Massachusetts, incidentally--and, I suspect, why you're worried about Markey's campaign.
I hate to take the bait on this, but the notion that we FDR-Democrats somehow owe our votes to the Clinton-Democrats, and that we're traitors if we vote Green, galls me no end.
Remember, it was the Democrats who took down Howard Dean, who might well have won in 2004. Yes, I still hold that against the party.
graham4anything
(11,464 posts)I myself wanted Al Sharton in 2004 and yes, Dean might have won, he had the fire in his belly, however, Dean showed what happens when there is an unvetted candidate nationwide
and Markey's problem is, based on an early poll, no one in the state knows him but his district, which is the problem with any person, especially a liberal who is ONLY a congressperson.
They think they are bigger than they are, but they aren't.
(see the guy in Florida and see the republican Ryan, no one ever heard of either of them).
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)I'm not sure who should be more embarrassed, the state of South Carolina for having elected him or the Democratic Party for losing once again to a scandal ridden fool.
nxylas
(6,440 posts)Why should the Democrats be embarrased? It's not as if there's anything they could do that would make the majority of white South Carolinians vote for them, short of becoming even more racist than the Republicans (and even then, I have my doubts).
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)past, and that is because Elizabeth is stronger than most Democratic candidates have been in the past. She has the full support of the SC Democratic Party.
Blame the voters. That's the problem. Idiots and hypocrites.
beerandjesus
(1,301 posts)It's been fascinating for me, moving from California to South Carolina, to see how the whole "battleground state" mentality has allowed the Democratic Party organization to atrophy. There is a strong Democratic base here (stronger than you probably think, in fact--we're nowhere near as red as, say, Oklahoma or Mississippi), but there's not as much fire in the (professional) party's collective belly as I'd like to see, and it's very obvious that S.C. has been a low priority for the national Democrats for a long time.
That said, I'm still hopeful. ECB is a good candidate and her volunteer staff is amazing!
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)and universities all over the state. The majority come from SC-Columbia and Charleston. I get some from the Citadel as well. I am always amazed at the tenacity of the progressive students. Though they may not be as plentiful as their conservative counterparts, they do not back down and are very active in the Democratic Party. I think that after the Democrats lost all their representatives except for Jim Clyburn, the Democratic Party in SC had a wake-up call. Now they finally got a competitive candidate in ECB. I don't think it's over. When Democrats turnout, we win.
graham4anything
(11,464 posts)I know it was edited twice now, but was there some reason implying ...
spicegal
(758 posts)asylum. They always manage to stand up to their reputation. And as others have noted.....IOIYAR. This is the Party that impeached a president over a dalliance in the WH, yet this guy has a full blown affair, abandons his post, lies to everyone regarding his whereabouts, divorces his wife, and then has the audacity to return to public life and run for office with his mistress on his arm. There's something very off putting about the whole thing, a disconnect. But then Republicans are quite good at that sort of Orwellian thinking.
The Wizard
(12,541 posts)and nothing will change the Confederacy other than a expelling them from the United States and building a wall.
After WW II the Germans had the good sense to outlaw Nazis.
DrDan
(20,411 posts)if so - then sanford returns
struggle4progress
(118,278 posts)... Sanford leads 47 percent to 46 percent over Colbert Busch ... The result, however, is within the polls margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, meaning Colbert Busch could be ahead. Green Party candidate Eugene Platt received 4 percent in the poll. Four percent of 1,239 likely voters surveyed said they were undecided ... "
Poll: Sanford holds slim lead in congressional race
Published: May 5, 2013
By ANDREW SHAIN
http://www.thestate.com/2013/05/05/2758186/poll-sanford-holds-slim-lead-in.html
Larkspur
(12,804 posts)Warren tied Scott Brown to Mitch McConnell and the obstructionist GOP -- a vote for Brown was a vote for McConnell as leader of the Senate. Sanford is using the same strategy -- tying Colbert Busch to Pelosi in a heavily Republican district.
Markey needs to use Warren's strategy in Mass to tie Gomez to McConnell and he'll win.