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alp227

(32,017 posts)
Sun May 5, 2013, 11:45 PM May 2013

Poll: Sanford holds slim lead in congressional race (US House Dist. SC-1 vs Colbert Busch)

Source: The State (Columbia, SC)

Republican Mark Sanford has taken a slim lead over Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch just two days before the special election in the S.C. 1st congressional district, according to a poll released Sunday night.

Sanford was down 9 percentage points -- 50 percent to 41 percent -- in a Public Policy Polling survey two weekends ago.

The same firm found this weekend that the former S.C. governor was up 47 percent to 46 percent over Colbert Busch, a political newcomer and sister of TV comedian Stephen Colbert. Green Party candidate Eugene Platt received four percent. Another four percent were undecided.

The result was within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percent, suggesting Colbert Busch could be ahead.

Read more: http://www.thestate.com/2013/05/05/2758186/poll-sanford-holds-slim-lead-in.html

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Poll: Sanford holds slim lead in congressional race (US House Dist. SC-1 vs Colbert Busch) (Original Post) alp227 May 2013 OP
This message was self-deleted by its author lastlib May 2013 #1
BTW, this race is for the House, Congressional District 1 in SC Rhiannon12866 May 2013 #2
Go ahead SC. Embarrass yourselves. onehandle May 2013 #3
Southern Republicans do not care about embarrassing themselves or the country LonePirate May 2013 #4
GOTV!! Greens, please vote for Colbert-Busch--you will determine if Sanford gets back or not!!! SunSeeker May 2013 #5
It does make you wonder... CBHagman May 2013 #23
GOTV. Dawson Leery May 2013 #6
The GOP Came In Late With A Lot Of Money DallasNE May 2013 #17
The stupid is stunning. SoapBox May 2013 #7
That sums up my response as well theHandpuppet May 2013 #22
I'm not surprised. Joe Bacon May 2013 #8
The hypocrisy of Republican voters continues. BlueStater May 2013 #9
Oh, dear Lord Iwillnevergiveup May 2013 #10
PPP polling at this point in time Iliyah May 2013 #11
But but but he's a familly values republican ..... olddots May 2013 #12
Hey "Green Party," thanks for 8 years of hell. nt Deep13 May 2013 #13
Is this the same state that STARTED the Civil War? Hulk May 2013 #14
It looks like the Green Party will seat another Republican LeftInTX May 2013 #15
like in 2000, they will deny it and later it will be found the repubs financed them graham4anything May 2013 #18
They were right to deny it, because it's not Nader's fault Gore ran an abysmal campaign beerandjesus May 2013 #27
Remember in 2004, it was the democratic haters that took down Al Gore from a rematch graham4anything May 2013 #29
If Mark "hiking in the Appalachians" Sanford wins davidpdx May 2013 #16
The State of South Carolina nxylas May 2013 #21
Why would you blame the Democrats? The party is fairly strong in SC, stronger than it has in the Liberal_Stalwart71 May 2013 #25
You might be surprised.... beerandjesus May 2013 #28
Thanks for this. I teach a "Semester in Washington" class where I get students from colleges Liberal_Stalwart71 May 2013 #31
BTW-what angle was your ORIGINAL(unedited) title suppose to connotate? graham4anything May 2013 #19
Well, you know what they say about S.C......Too small for a republic and too big for an insane spicegal May 2013 #20
Still a slave state The Wizard May 2013 #24
gonna completely be decided by turnout - can the repubs get their voters out in a special election DrDan May 2013 #26
" ... The former South Carolina governor .. has made a comeback since making Pelosi his chief target struggle4progress May 2013 #30
Sanford is doing in his district what Elizabeth Warren did in her race in Mass Larkspur May 2013 #32

Response to alp227 (Original post)

LonePirate

(13,417 posts)
4. Southern Republicans do not care about embarrassing themselves or the country
Mon May 6, 2013, 12:00 AM
May 2013

They will never vote for a Democrat no matter how ridiculous or how awful the Republican candidate is. As sensible Democrats, we would be wise to remember that.

CBHagman

(16,984 posts)
23. It does make you wonder...
Mon May 6, 2013, 07:28 AM
May 2013

...how polls would look if there were no third party candidate in the race.

DallasNE

(7,402 posts)
17. The GOP Came In Late With A Lot Of Money
Mon May 6, 2013, 04:15 AM
May 2013

So even though Sanford ran a bumbling campaign and bombed out in the debate, advantage money and demographics. That said, in these low turnout special elections the GOTV effort can create surprises. I saw this starting to swing about 5-6 days ago and sent some late money myself.

theHandpuppet

(19,964 posts)
22. That sums up my response as well
Mon May 6, 2013, 07:25 AM
May 2013

Apparently there are plenty of folks in SC who are proud to embarrass themselves and their state.

Joe Bacon

(5,164 posts)
8. I'm not surprised.
Mon May 6, 2013, 12:42 AM
May 2013

Vitter got re-elected, Newt carried South Carolina in the primary. I fully expect Sanford to win in a walk. Why? because it's more proof of IOKIYAR!

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
11. PPP polling at this point in time
Mon May 6, 2013, 01:51 AM
May 2013

seems to be the most accurate and I'm sticking with them. Probably the poll have tighten up but Busch is still ahead. Don't understand the Green party tho. Why? The Green party seems more liberal than conservative and if they are making a statement it sucks at this point. We should keep as many of these crazy conservatives out.

 

Hulk

(6,699 posts)
14. Is this the same state that STARTED the Civil War?
Mon May 6, 2013, 02:30 AM
May 2013

jim de'mint country? Lindsey graham? Nuff said. Such a shameless state. Glad to NOT be from there.

 

graham4anything

(11,464 posts)
18. like in 2000, they will deny it and later it will be found the repubs financed them
Mon May 6, 2013, 04:43 AM
May 2013

because of course, like 2000, Bush was a big environmentalist, and the repubs in SC have been such environmentalists

What worries me even more is the lethargic campaign Markey is running in Mass.

beerandjesus

(1,301 posts)
27. They were right to deny it, because it's not Nader's fault Gore ran an abysmal campaign
Mon May 6, 2013, 09:04 AM
May 2013

Which is also why Scott Brown won in Massachusetts, incidentally--and, I suspect, why you're worried about Markey's campaign.

I hate to take the bait on this, but the notion that we FDR-Democrats somehow owe our votes to the Clinton-Democrats, and that we're traitors if we vote Green, galls me no end.

Remember, it was the Democrats who took down Howard Dean, who might well have won in 2004. Yes, I still hold that against the party.

 

graham4anything

(11,464 posts)
29. Remember in 2004, it was the democratic haters that took down Al Gore from a rematch
Mon May 6, 2013, 09:41 AM
May 2013

I myself wanted Al Sharton in 2004 and yes, Dean might have won, he had the fire in his belly, however, Dean showed what happens when there is an unvetted candidate nationwide

and Markey's problem is, based on an early poll, no one in the state knows him but his district, which is the problem with any person, especially a liberal who is ONLY a congressperson.
They think they are bigger than they are, but they aren't.
(see the guy in Florida and see the republican Ryan, no one ever heard of either of them).

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
16. If Mark "hiking in the Appalachians" Sanford wins
Mon May 6, 2013, 03:45 AM
May 2013

I'm not sure who should be more embarrassed, the state of South Carolina for having elected him or the Democratic Party for losing once again to a scandal ridden fool.

nxylas

(6,440 posts)
21. The State of South Carolina
Mon May 6, 2013, 07:01 AM
May 2013

Why should the Democrats be embarrased? It's not as if there's anything they could do that would make the majority of white South Carolinians vote for them, short of becoming even more racist than the Republicans (and even then, I have my doubts).

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
25. Why would you blame the Democrats? The party is fairly strong in SC, stronger than it has in the
Mon May 6, 2013, 08:16 AM
May 2013

past, and that is because Elizabeth is stronger than most Democratic candidates have been in the past. She has the full support of the SC Democratic Party.

Blame the voters. That's the problem. Idiots and hypocrites.

beerandjesus

(1,301 posts)
28. You might be surprised....
Mon May 6, 2013, 09:17 AM
May 2013

It's been fascinating for me, moving from California to South Carolina, to see how the whole "battleground state" mentality has allowed the Democratic Party organization to atrophy. There is a strong Democratic base here (stronger than you probably think, in fact--we're nowhere near as red as, say, Oklahoma or Mississippi), but there's not as much fire in the (professional) party's collective belly as I'd like to see, and it's very obvious that S.C. has been a low priority for the national Democrats for a long time.

That said, I'm still hopeful. ECB is a good candidate and her volunteer staff is amazing!

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
31. Thanks for this. I teach a "Semester in Washington" class where I get students from colleges
Mon May 6, 2013, 10:36 AM
May 2013

and universities all over the state. The majority come from SC-Columbia and Charleston. I get some from the Citadel as well. I am always amazed at the tenacity of the progressive students. Though they may not be as plentiful as their conservative counterparts, they do not back down and are very active in the Democratic Party. I think that after the Democrats lost all their representatives except for Jim Clyburn, the Democratic Party in SC had a wake-up call. Now they finally got a competitive candidate in ECB. I don't think it's over. When Democrats turnout, we win.

 

graham4anything

(11,464 posts)
19. BTW-what angle was your ORIGINAL(unedited) title suppose to connotate?
Mon May 6, 2013, 04:45 AM
May 2013

I know it was edited twice now, but was there some reason implying ...

spicegal

(758 posts)
20. Well, you know what they say about S.C......Too small for a republic and too big for an insane
Mon May 6, 2013, 06:08 AM
May 2013

asylum. They always manage to stand up to their reputation. And as others have noted.....IOIYAR. This is the Party that impeached a president over a dalliance in the WH, yet this guy has a full blown affair, abandons his post, lies to everyone regarding his whereabouts, divorces his wife, and then has the audacity to return to public life and run for office with his mistress on his arm. There's something very off putting about the whole thing, a disconnect. But then Republicans are quite good at that sort of Orwellian thinking.

The Wizard

(12,541 posts)
24. Still a slave state
Mon May 6, 2013, 08:16 AM
May 2013

and nothing will change the Confederacy other than a expelling them from the United States and building a wall.
After WW II the Germans had the good sense to outlaw Nazis.

DrDan

(20,411 posts)
26. gonna completely be decided by turnout - can the repubs get their voters out in a special election
Mon May 6, 2013, 08:26 AM
May 2013

if so - then sanford returns

struggle4progress

(118,278 posts)
30. " ... The former South Carolina governor .. has made a comeback since making Pelosi his chief target
Mon May 6, 2013, 09:58 AM
May 2013

... Sanford leads 47 percent to 46 percent over Colbert Busch ... The result, however, is within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, meaning Colbert Busch could be ahead. Green Party candidate Eugene Platt received 4 percent in the poll. Four percent of 1,239 likely voters surveyed said they were undecided ... "
Poll: Sanford holds slim lead in congressional race
Published: May 5, 2013
By ANDREW SHAIN
http://www.thestate.com/2013/05/05/2758186/poll-sanford-holds-slim-lead-in.html

 

Larkspur

(12,804 posts)
32. Sanford is doing in his district what Elizabeth Warren did in her race in Mass
Mon May 6, 2013, 10:53 AM
May 2013

Warren tied Scott Brown to Mitch McConnell and the obstructionist GOP -- a vote for Brown was a vote for McConnell as leader of the Senate. Sanford is using the same strategy -- tying Colbert Busch to Pelosi in a heavily Republican district.

Markey needs to use Warren's strategy in Mass to tie Gomez to McConnell and he'll win.

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