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Purveyor

(29,876 posts)
Thu Feb 16, 2012, 03:12 PM Feb 2012

Iran Seems An Unlikely Culprit For The Attacks On Israeli Diplomats

Let's assume that sections of the military and security apparatus in Iran are responsible for the string of bombings in Georgia, Thailand and India. What would be the motive? The argument that Iran is retaliating for the murder of five civilian nuclear scientists in Iran is not plausible. If Iran wanted to target Israeli interests, it has other means at its disposal. It is hard to imagine that the Iranian government would send Iranian operatives to friendly countries, completely equipped with Iranian money and passports – making the case against them as obvious as possible.

If the Iranian Revolutionary Guards are as professional, highly trained and politically savvy as we have been told repeatedly by Israeli politicians themselves, if they have successfully trained and equipped the cadres of Hezbollah and other movements with paramilitary wings in the region, then why would they launch such a clumsy and self-defeating operation?

And why India, Georgia and Thailand, three countries that Iran has had cordial relations with during a period when Iran is facing increasing sanctions spearheaded by the United States? A few days ago, India agreed a rupee-based oil and gas deal with Iran and resisted US pressures to join the western boycott of the Iranian energy sector. As a net importer of 12% of Iranian oil, India's total trade with Iran amounted to $13.67bn in 2010-2011. What would be the motive for damaging relations with one of Iran's major trading partners and regional heavyweights?

For Iran it doesn't make sense to risk alienating India by launching an assassination attempt in the capital of the country. Similarly, Iran has good economic and political relations with Georgia and Thailand. Why would the leadership in Tehran risk a major crisis with these countries during this sensitive period when IAEA inspectors are moving in and out of Iran to investigate the country's nuclear programme?

MORE...

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/feb/15/iran-israeli-diplomats-attacks

4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Iran Seems An Unlikely Culprit For The Attacks On Israeli Diplomats (Original Post) Purveyor Feb 2012 OP
Of course it doesn't make sense Scootaloo Feb 2012 #1
The Iranian Government doesn't make sense. Period. denem Feb 2012 #2
And Israel isn't? n\t deadinsider Feb 2012 #3
THAI authorities arrest 3 Iranians in botched bomb attack of Israeli diplomats Bill USA Feb 2012 #4
 

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)
1. Of course it doesn't make sense
Thu Feb 16, 2012, 03:18 PM
Feb 2012

And I'm certain both India and Thailand willreach that conclusion.

Georgia... Y'know, I don't have much faith in the rationality of a government that shoots at Russia in the hope that the US will intervene.

Bill USA

(6,436 posts)
4. THAI authorities arrest 3 Iranians in botched bomb attack of Israeli diplomats
Thu Feb 16, 2012, 07:37 PM
Feb 2012
http://www.smh.com.au/world/bungling-bombers-wanted-to-kill-israeli-diplomats-police-say-20120216-1tbpq.html


THAI authorities say three Iranians arrested over a botched bomb plot in Bangkok were planning to attack Israeli diplomats with explosive devices stuck on vehicles.

The disclosure will bolster Israel's claims Iran has launched a covert campaign of terror from the Middle East to Asia.

''I can tell you that the target was specific and aimed at Israeli diplomatic staff,'' Thailand's police chief, General Prewpan Dhamapong, said.


Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/world/bungling-bombers-wanted-to-kill-israeli-diplomats-police-say-20120216-1tbpq.html#ixzz1mahoh0PV



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