Trump is pouring gasoline on the Party and setting it on fire

[vkkv]

—there won’t be enough of it left to conduct an autopsy.

It’s too soon to make any specific predictions about November. But recent polling suggests that there is a very clear “Trump effect,” and it isn’t good. The latest RAND presidential election survey was just released and it shows a startling shift as Trump has become the presumptive nominee:

Our previous survey results suggested that as of early January, 46.7 percent of voters would vote for a Democrat and 43.1 percent would vote for a Republican in the upcoming presidential election. These results suggested a greater vote for the Democratic candidate. In March, our results indicate that 53.0 percent of voters will vote for a Democrat, and 37.9 percent will vote for a Republican in the upcoming presidential election, suggesting that the Democratic candidates are pulling ahead of the Republicans in the national vote.

This report from Jon Ralston in Nevada shows that Democrats are out-registering Republicans in Nevada by a two-to-one margin. He writes:

Smart Republicans are worried about this trend, whether it is caused by Donald Trump or the Reid Machine or some combination thereof. The GOP can hold out hope that the growing nonpartisan registration, now at almost 19 percent, might favor their slate. But as Harry Reid seeks to go out with a bang, these numbers indicate the Democrats’ chances of winning Nevada in the presidential race, keeping Reid’s seat, taking two competitive congressional seats from the GOP and turning the Legislature blue again are not pie in the sky.

Here’s a recent report from Florida:

Whether it’s Donald Trump or Ted Cruz, the Republican presidential nominee looks like a sure loser to Hillary Clinton in Florida because of the Republicans’ lack of popularity with crucial voting blocs in the state, according to a poll conducted last week by the business lobby Associated Industries of Florida.

Clinton would wallop Trump by 49-36 percent if the election were held today and she’d best Cruz 48-39 percent, according to the poll of 604 likely Florida voters.


see more:: http://www.alternet.org/election-2016/donald-trump-nominee-hell-early-numbers-are-and-they-spell-disaster-gop

[PJMcK]

1. Great article

Thanks for posting this, vkkv. It's an excellent analysis.

[louis-t]

2. And that's Florida.

[guytonfox]

3. Indeed!

Indeed!

[Volaris]

4. Bout damned time that Party went and relegated itself back to being the party of

Rich White Assholes, neo-nazi Libertarian scumsuckers, and babyjezeez-loving idiots who are both dumb enough to believe their backwards-ass Randian Superman economic bullshit.

The self-immolation will be incredibly fun to watch (if it happens...it's been predicted before and to no avail...too many idiots in america who just keep voting for their own destruction, I suppose).

[silvershadow]

5. This was a great article. Crossing my fingers for a political conflagration. nt