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political journalism today: the need for old-fashioned shoe-leather reporting.
A really thoughtful piece IMO. Focuses on the reporting deficiencies of Republican horse races- both the 2016 Republican primaries, and Eric Cantor's primary loss in 2014 - but applies to the whole bloody mess.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/06/business/media/the-republican-horse-race-is-over-and-journalism-lost.html
You can continue to blame all the wrong calls this year on new challenges in telephone polling when so many Americans especially the young do not have landlines and are therefore hard to track down. Or you can blame the unpredictability of an angry and politically peripatetic electorate. But in the end, you have to point the finger at national political journalism, which has too often lost sight of its primary directives in this election season: to help readers and viewers make sense of the presidential chaos; to reduce the confusion, not add to it; to resist the urge to put ratings, clicks and ad sales above the imperative of getting it right.
. . .
Though it seems as if Mr. Trumps success came out of the blue, it didnt. The first signs that something was amiss in the coverage of the Tea Party era actually surfaced in the 2014 midterms. Oh, you broadcast network newscast viewers didnt know we had important elections with huge consequences for the governance of your country that year? You can be forgiven because the broadcast networks hardly covered them. They didnt rate. No Trump, or anyone like him. (Boring!)
But heres what happened. A conservative economics professor and political neophyte named David Brat decided he would challenge the House Republican majority leader Eric Cantor for his Virginia congressional seat. There were few Republicans more powerful than Mr. Cantor, so Mr. Brats bid seemed quixotic. Mr. Cantors own pollster released numbers days before the election showing a 34-point lead for the congressman, and the closest public poll showed Mr. Cantor up by 13 points. When Mr. Cantor lost, headlines labeled it an earthquake and a shocker. And it was, for people who relied solely on polls. It was less so for reporters like Jake Sherman of Politico, Jenna Portnoy and Robert Costa of The Washington Post and the staff at Breitbart News who went to Virginia, and talking to actual humans, picked up on the potential trouble for Mr. Cantor.
Of course, the data journalism at FiveThirtyEight, The Upshot at The Times and others like them can guide readers by putting races in perspective and establishing valuable new ways to assess politics. But the lesson in Virginia, as the Washington Post reporter Paul Farhi wrote at the time, was that nothing exceeds the value of shoe-leather reporting, given that politics is an essentially human endeavor and therefore can defy prediction and reason. After this column was published online last week, some interpreted that as saying down with data, as if it were a binary choice between data journalism and traditional reporting. But it is not an either-or proposition. When done right, each can enhance and, if necessary, serve as a corrective for the other.
. . .
Though it seems as if Mr. Trumps success came out of the blue, it didnt. The first signs that something was amiss in the coverage of the Tea Party era actually surfaced in the 2014 midterms. Oh, you broadcast network newscast viewers didnt know we had important elections with huge consequences for the governance of your country that year? You can be forgiven because the broadcast networks hardly covered them. They didnt rate. No Trump, or anyone like him. (Boring!)
But heres what happened. A conservative economics professor and political neophyte named David Brat decided he would challenge the House Republican majority leader Eric Cantor for his Virginia congressional seat. There were few Republicans more powerful than Mr. Cantor, so Mr. Brats bid seemed quixotic. Mr. Cantors own pollster released numbers days before the election showing a 34-point lead for the congressman, and the closest public poll showed Mr. Cantor up by 13 points. When Mr. Cantor lost, headlines labeled it an earthquake and a shocker. And it was, for people who relied solely on polls. It was less so for reporters like Jake Sherman of Politico, Jenna Portnoy and Robert Costa of The Washington Post and the staff at Breitbart News who went to Virginia, and talking to actual humans, picked up on the potential trouble for Mr. Cantor.
Of course, the data journalism at FiveThirtyEight, The Upshot at The Times and others like them can guide readers by putting races in perspective and establishing valuable new ways to assess politics. But the lesson in Virginia, as the Washington Post reporter Paul Farhi wrote at the time, was that nothing exceeds the value of shoe-leather reporting, given that politics is an essentially human endeavor and therefore can defy prediction and reason. After this column was published online last week, some interpreted that as saying down with data, as if it were a binary choice between data journalism and traditional reporting. But it is not an either-or proposition. When done right, each can enhance and, if necessary, serve as a corrective for the other.
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political journalism today: the need for old-fashioned shoe-leather reporting. (Original Post)
MBS
May 2016
OP
MBS
(9,688 posts)1. here are the concluding paragraphs. .
As Mr. Silver wrote on FiveThirtyEight on Wednesday, there were a lot of extenuating circumstances that made the Trump story hard to call. And on Thursday he wrote in a Twitter post, No, I didnt predict that the Republican Party would lose its mind, adding an expletive between its and mind. Mr. Trump has rendered useless the traditional rule books of American politics.
Thats all the more reason in the coming months to be as sharply focused on the data we dont have as we are on the data we do have (and maybe watching out for making any big predictions about the fall based on the polling of today). But a good place to start would be to get a good nights sleep, and then talk to some voters.
Thats all the more reason in the coming months to be as sharply focused on the data we dont have as we are on the data we do have (and maybe watching out for making any big predictions about the fall based on the polling of today). But a good place to start would be to get a good nights sleep, and then talk to some voters.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)2. "But a good place to start would be to get a good night’s sleep, and then talk to some voters."
Ideally lots of them, particularly the ones that are pissed off.