Editorials & Other Articles

Bill USA

(6,436 posts) Tue Sep 20, 2016, 05:11 PM Sep 2016

Hillary Clinton Regains Momentum Against Donald Trump: NBC/SM Poll (FWIW)

http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/data-points/hillary-clinton-regains-momentum-against-donald-trump-poll-n650926

Back on the campaign trail after being diagnosed with pneumonia and a subsequent break from campaigning, Hillary Clinton plugged her leaking lead against Donald Trump, according to this week's NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll.

She now enjoys 50 percent support among likely voters and Trump has 45 percent support.

As the first votes have already been cast via absentee and early voting in several states across the country, the NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll will now report out results using a likely voter screen instead of just registered voters. Previously, we reported out results among respondents who indicated they were registered to vote. For full details on our likely voter screen and methodology, please click here.

The race looks slightly narrower among likely voters than it does among all registered voters in a two-way match up. Among likely voters, 50 percent support Clinton and 45 percent support Trump. Among registered voters, she holds a 6-point lead over Trump — 49 percent to 43 percent. Last week, Clinton led Trump by 4 points among registered voters, 48 percent to 44 percent.

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Hillary Clinton Regains Momentum Against Donald Trump: NBC/SM Poll (FWIW) (Original Post) Bill USA Sep 2016 OP

and hopefully the debates make this even more pronounced still_one Sep 2016 #1

Well, according to 538, Don the Con already won this election. LiberalLoner Sep 2016 #2

What do you mean? SCliberal91294 Sep 2016 #3

Good to hear that. Right now I feel sick. LiberalLoner Sep 2016 #4

this shows, Clinton with a 56.2% chance of winning vs tRump's 43.8% Bill USA Sep 2016 #5

Hillary's chance of winning per the NY Times just went back up to 75%. SunSeeker Sep 2016 #6

still_one

(98,883 posts)

1. and hopefully the debates make this even more pronounced

Reply to Bill USA (Original post)

Tue Sep 20, 2016, 05:12 PM

Sep 2016

LiberalLoner

(11,467 posts)

2. Well, according to 538, Don the Con already won this election.

Reply to Bill USA (Original post)

Tue Sep 20, 2016, 05:13 PM

Sep 2016

Sorry, really upset over 538 today.

SCliberal91294

(170 posts)

3. What do you mean?

Reply to LiberalLoner (Reply #2)

Tue Sep 20, 2016, 05:36 PM

Sep 2016

His model takes longer for the trend to set in.

LiberalLoner

(11,467 posts)

4. Good to hear that. Right now I feel sick.

Reply to SCliberal91294 (Reply #3)

Tue Sep 20, 2016, 06:36 PM

Sep 2016

Bill USA

(6,436 posts)

5. this shows, Clinton with a 56.2% chance of winning vs tRump's 43.8%

Reply to LiberalLoner (Reply #2)

Tue Sep 20, 2016, 07:08 PM

Sep 2016

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-senate-forecast

SunSeeker

(58,374 posts)

6. Hillary's chance of winning per the NY Times just went back up to 75%.

Reply to Bill USA (Original post)

Wed Sep 21, 2016, 03:55 AM

Sep 2016

2016 Election Forecast: Who Will Be President? - The New York Times
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html

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