Professor Who Predicted Fall Of Soviet Union Just Made A Prediction About Trump.
Last edited Sat Dec 10, 2016, 12:31 AM - Edit history (1)
'In 1980, a Norwegian sociologist published a book that predicted the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics would crater to internal contradictions and tension in a matter of 10 years. As is now commonly known history, the USSR did collapse, in 1989, and Johan Galtung was propelled into academic stardom.
Galtung, now faculty at the University of Hawaii, also made waves in 2009 when he published a book predicting a similar fate for the United States by 2025. His 15 potentially catastrophic points of contraction now eerily align with social and cultural conflicts surrounding Donald Trumps election to the presidency. The professor told Motherboard earlier this week that Trump fits the bill of what his book refers to as the strong leader, and predicted a major decline in US power over the next ten years, possibly including a Soviet-style collapse.
The collapse has two faces, Galtung told the website. Other countries refuse to be good allies: and the USA has to do the killing themselves, by bombing from high altitudes, drones steered by computer from an office, Special Forces killing all over the place. Both are happening today, except for Northern Europe, which supports these wars, for now. That will probably not continue beyond 2020, so I stand by that deadline.'>>>
http://occupydemocrats.com/2016/12/08/nobel-winner-predicted-fall-soviet-union-just-made-prediction-trump/
Johan Galtung (born 24 October 1930) is a Norwegian sociologist, mathematician, and the principal founder of the discipline of peace and conflict studies.[1]
He was the main founder of the Peace Research Institute Oslo in 1959 and served as its first director until 1970. He also established the Journal of Peace Research in 1964. In 1969 he was appointed to the world's first chair in peace and conflict studies, at the University of Oslo. He resigned his Oslo professorship in 1977 and has since held professorships at several other universities; from 1993 to 2000 he taught as Distinguished Professor of Peace Studies at the University of Hawaii, and he is currently based in Kuala Lumpur, where he is the first Tun Mahathir Professor of Global Peace at the International Islamic University Malaysia.[2]
Galtung is known for contributions to sociology in the 1950s, political science in the 1960s, economics and history in the 1970s, macrohistory, anthropology, and theology in the 1980s. He has developed several influential theories, such as the distinction between positive and negative peace, structural violence, theories on conflict and conflict resolution, the concept of peacebuilding,[3] the structural theory of imperialism, and the theory of the United States as simultaneously a republic and an empire.[4] He has often been critical of western countries in their attitude to the Global South. Galtung has been a major intellectual figure of the New Left since the 1950s.[5] He was awarded the Right Livelihood Award in 1987 and has received many other prizes and accolades.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Johan_Galtung
Ilsa
(61,690 posts)and the conclusions they lead to. They are able to call out specific behaviors and events. They really understand group human nature.
fishwax
(29,148 posts)I know the headline isn't yours, but I wanted to point that out. He won the Right Livelihood Award, which is awarded around the same time each year but which isn't affiliated with the Nobel.
elleng
(130,732 posts)MFM008
(19,803 posts)like ancient Rome.
elleng
(130,732 posts)Wish I were an historian, as I suspect this type thing is common throughout history, and we're on the list 'next.' Also, I suspect it's due to 'human nature,' so it's a 'joke' of nature, known by some as g-d.
Hekate
(90,556 posts)mahina
(17,616 posts)I think he's in Kuala Lumpur now. We had to read his work at the Peace Studies Institute. It's brilliant of course but as my prof said, it was written in beautiful Norwegian
Thank you for sharing this distressing information.
Incidentally, I shared the work of another former UH Matsunaga Peace Institute scholar on DU today. I guess it's the day for the MPI to shine, all three rooms of it!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1016172535
The Anti-Coup by Gene Sharp is available for free download or purchase
The Anti-Coup by Gene Sharp, formerly of the UH Matsunaga Peace Institute and now at the Albert Einstein Institution in Boston, is a manual on how to effectively resist a coup. It is available for free at the AEI link here. http://www.aeinstein.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/TAC-1.pdf. You can also buy a copy. I loaned mine out and need to use the pdf. It's a short read.
To those who feel hope fading, please remember Solidarity in Soviet occupied Poland, the anti-apartheid resistance in South Africa, resistance to the Nazis in Denmark during its occupation WWII, and the defeat of Pinochet in Chile among many other cases in which non-violent resistance prevailed.
Table of contents:
How Coups Operate
When are coups likely to occur?
Attempts to prevent coups
Coups have been defeated
Germany 1920
France 1961
The Soviet Union 1991
Anti-coup defense
The putschists require...
Direct defense of society
The need for preparations
The civilian defenders' aims
Resistance: general and organized
Treatment of the usurpers' troops and functionaries
Facing attack: obstruction and communication
Facing attack: repudiation and rejection
Blocking control by putschists
Defying repression and intimidation
The importance of nonviolent discipline
International support
Shifts in strategy during the struggle
A durable success
In case of need for long-term defense
Collapsing the coup
Deterring coups d'etat
Promoting anti-coup defense
Preparations by civil institutions
Government initiated preparations
Possible legislation and other plans to mobilize defense
Other types of preparations
Consequences of an anti-coup defense
Appendix one
Legislation and other Governmental preparations for Anti-coup defense
Appendix two
Preparations by the Civil Society for Anti-coup defense
1. Public education
2. Media
3. Specific groups and institutions
liberalla
(9,224 posts)following that now...
mahina
(17,616 posts)R evolution" : http://www.aeinstein.org/films/
These folks have done good work. Galtung I think is now one of the Pillars of Peace, co-creating the Global Non-killing Initiative.
Dont miss the 198 Methods of Nonviolent Resistance and "There are Realistic Alternatives" (to violence)
Aloha no