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Wed May 15, 2019, 05:20 PM

On world stage, Great Distruptor thrown off kilter

By David Ignatius

The Washington Post

President Trump has styled himself in foreign policy as the Great Disrupter. And for a time, this unpredictable approach served him reasonably well. Leaders from China, North Korea and Iran found themselves off balance, and they sometimes made what looked like concessions.

Trumpís problem is that, after two years, foreign nations seem to have figured him out. Rather than crafting quick deals that Trump could tout as wins, these adversaries have played a waiting game. They appear to sense in Trump an impatience and hunger for the spotlight that undermine his ability to negotiate.

Trump in recent weeks has moved toward confrontations with China, North Korea and Iran. In each case, the White House has maximum goals without a clearly discernible strategy for achieving them. Trumpís statements oscillate between hardline rhetoric and invitations to personal diplomacy. Sometimes he appears to contradict positions that his advisers have taken. Once, this back-and-forth might have produced leverage for Trump; now, it often just yields confusion.

Looking at the various global showdowns, you can see a common theme: of adversaries that appear more willing to take risks in resisting Trumpís demands. Trumpís response is often to double down. This dynamic carries a danger of miscalculation.

In the trade war with China, Trump embraced the perennial U.S. desire for a ďlevel playing field.Ē But he pursued it with a blunderbuss, through escalating tariffs. Trump seemed convinced that China would eventually make concessions that he could claim as a victory. Such a deal seemed imminent this month, and Trump said on Monday that it was 95 percent done when Chinese leaders balked.

U.S. experts offer two theories about why China resisted a settlement. One is that Trumpís negotiators wouldnít promise to remove promptly all tariffs imposed on $250 billion in Chinese products, and the Chinese didnít trust an erratic American president to eliminate them eventually. Another theory is that Trumpís bravado had convinced the Chinese that he was actually in a weak position and could be pushed.



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Reply On world stage, Great Distruptor thrown off kilter (Original post)
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin May 2019 OP
htuttle May 2019 #1
saidsimplesimon May 2019 #2
bronxiteforever May 2019 #3

Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed May 15, 2019, 05:22 PM

1. "If you know the enemy and know yourself, ..."

ď...you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.Ē

― Sun Tzu, The Art of War

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Response to htuttle (Reply #1)

Wed May 15, 2019, 05:28 PM

2. It should be required reading for

our congresspeople, and our leaders.
This is the DU member formerly known as saidsimplesimon.

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed May 15, 2019, 05:41 PM

3. Kick and recommend. Very good article.

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