Scientist Debate Origin of Coronavirus.. CNN:
https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/06/us/coronavirus-scientists-debate-origin-theories-invs/index.htmlRobert Kuznia and Drew Griffin, CNN
Updated 5:34 PM ET, Mon April 6, 2020
_________________________________________________________________________________________
(CNN) A vacuum of knowledge about the origins of the new coronavirus ravaging the world has provided fertile ground for all manner of theories -- from the fantastic, to the dubious to the believable.
It was a bioweapon manufactured by the Chinese. The US Army brought the virus to Wuhan. It leaked -- like a genie out of a bottle -- from a lab in an accident. It took root at a wildlife market in Wuhan.
Scientists have banded together across international borders to condemn the nationalist-tinged conspiracy theories. And yet, they are divided on what was once widely thought the most likely culprit: a so-called wet market in Wuhan, where wild animals are kept in cages and sold as pets or food. It is believed that a bat-infected animal -- perhaps a pangolin -- infected the first human.
The truth of how this began remains elusive. But CNN spoke to more than half a dozen virus experts about the origins of the outbreak, and all of them say anyone who claims to know the source of Covid-19 is guessing. The scientists say there is zero evidence the Chinese or American government purposefully introduced the new coronavirus -- SARS-CoV-2 -- to the public.
To date, one thing seems likely: It came from bats
It's "the most simple, obvious and likely explanation," said Dr. Simon Anthony, a professor at the public health grad school of Columbia University and a key member of PREDICT, a federally funded global program investigating viruses in animal hosts with pandemic potential. PREDICT has discovered 180 coronaviruses over a decade.
Though the scientists discount conspiracy theories about bioweapons, on other questions they are divided.
The experts are at odds over the once widely accepted theory that the virus originated at a wet market.
(rest of article is at link above) (and yes, it is a fairly long article)
PoindexterOglethorpe
(25,849 posts)Igel
(35,300 posts)The rest of it is a series of strawmen.
When people say "most likely" they do not mean "without a doubt."
As for the escape from the Wuhan biolab, it's not a stretch, but it would just a be a sample that escaped, not something that the lab created. The difference between collecting a sample from a bat and becoming infected and collecting the bat and becoming infected is trivial. It's a question of where it came from, not who's morally responsible.
But trying to say it couldn't have come from a place because that would be an insult--and then citing the organization headed by China's candidate, somebody whose political career was buttressed by China and whose professional career was bolstered by China--seems rather, um, nationalist.
Still, if get past the CT Ebright (whose a "bioweapons expert" if he does say so himself) and the strawmen, it raises the right issues.