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IamK

(956 posts)
Thu May 24, 2012, 06:04 PM May 2012

Walker up by single digits in two new Wisconsin polls

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/05/24/walker-up-by-single-digits-in-two-new-wisconsin-polls/

(CNN) - With 12 days to go until the recall election of Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, two new polls indicate the Republican governor holds a single digit advantage over his Democratic challenger.

According to a St. Norbert College/Wisconsin Public Radio survey, 50% of people likely to vote in the June 5th recall election say they support Walker, the first term governor, with 45% backing Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, the Democratic challenger, and 5% unsure. Barrett won his party's primary earlier this month, setting up a rematch with Walker from the 2010 election that the Republican won by five points.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

A Reason-Rupe poll, also released Thursday morning, indicates that Walker has a 50% to 42% advantage over Barrett, with 6% unsure. The Reason-Rupe Public Opinion Survey was conducted by ORC International, the same polling organization that conducts surveys for CNN. The Reason Foundation is a libertarian think tank that publishes Reason magazine.
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longship

(40,416 posts)
1. 50% is a magic number, unfortunately
Thu May 24, 2012, 06:28 PM
May 2012

Fortunately, today it has been reported in heavily Dem areas that early voting turn-out is very large, with vans transporting people to the polls.

So, hopefully, these polls may be outliers.

But one experience I had with GOTV resulted in our efforts getting out the vote for our opposition to the extent that they had the plurality, even in Dem precincts. It's one of the sad facts about GOTV in some situations. Regardless, Walker can easily lose if Dems get to the polls for Barrett.

Got my fingers crossed. Go Wisconsin!

 

RBInMaine

(13,570 posts)
3. The Libertarian Poll is SHIT. The other is an under-reporter of Dems. Walker CAN NOT BREAK 50% in
Thu May 24, 2012, 07:24 PM
May 2012

ANY polls so far. That means it is ALL ABOUT TURNOUT. If the Dems get their people to the polls including their advantage with the Indies, the Dem WILL win it.

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