BTRTN: He's Baaaaaaaaack
Born To Run The Numbers on the month of March, when Donald Trump once again sucked up all the oxygen in the national dialog:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2023/04/btrtn-hes-baaaaaaaaack.html
Excerpts: "It has been nearly two years since Donald Trump dominated a BTRTN month in review. Trump has not exactly receded from view, but he has had to compete with others for attention, including Joe Biden, Vladimir Putin, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Kevin McCarthy, Ron DeSantis – heck, even George Santos -- and many others who are (unlike Trump) active players on the world and domestic stage. But there is no denying that he once again – and almost certainly not for the last time – took up nearly all of the political oxygen the country could muster in March, 2023. But wasn’t this inevitable? Trump committed many apparent crimes in the post-election period, and he has never let go of his stranglehold on a substantial subset of the GOP. These two facts have been in plain sight for a long time, and guaranteed a return to the bright lights. That time has come...
"Trump’s legal troubles will have large but potentially countervailing impacts on his presidential prospects. They will likely help him win the GOP nomination, as Trump’s base gets truly inflamed by attacks on him. The base, which comprises somewhere in the range of 35-45% of the GOP, will vote disproportionately higher in the primaries than other Republicans. The indictments will also force all of Trump’s opponents to either defend him or risk the wrath of the base, and the circus will overwhelm their attempts to position themselves as viable alternatives to Trump. The general election is another matter. The indictments will hurt there. CNN just released survey results that indicated 60% of Americans are in favor of the hush money indictment, roughly the same figure as Independents..."