I would love to see an election of the magnitude of Johnson in 1964, or a Democratic reversal of

[lees1975]

Reagans win over Mondale in 1984. I think political polarization guarantees those days are probably over. But I do see a surge in house seats for the Democrats, particularly since some states are now under court supervision to redraw extremely gerrymandered districts.

I think somewhere in the neighborhood of 10 percentage points is a pretty high margin to expect. The Biden campaign has confidence that they will figure out how to win in Florida and Ohio and they are putting their confidence to work, from what I can see.