Our Shared Reality Will Self-Destruct in the Next 12 Months (Ted Gioia)

[usonian]

Last edited Wed Sep 24, 2025, 09:18 PM - Edit history (2)

Articles by Ted Gioia are ALWAYS great reads.
What happens when you can't trust photos, videos, text, or the entire web?
https://www.honest-broker.com/p/our-shared-reality-will-self-destruct
^^^ LInk helps. Thanks
Ted Gioia
Aug 20, 2025

It is now possible to alter reality and every kind of historical record—and perhaps irrevocably. The technology for creating fake audio, video, and text has improved enormously in just the last few months. We will soon reach—or may have already reached—a tipping point where it’s impossible to tell the difference between truth and deception.

• Can I tell the difference between a fake AI video and a real video? A few months ago, I would have said yes. But now I’m not so sure.
• Can I tell the difference between fake AI music and human music? I still think I can discern a difference in complex genres, but this is a lot harder than it was just a few months ago.
• Can I tell the difference between a fake AI book and a real book by a human author? I’m fairly confident I can do this for a book on a subject I know well, but if I’m operating outside my core expertise, I might fail.

At the current rate of technological advance, all reliable ways of validating truth will soon be gone. My best guess is that we have another 12 months to enjoy some degree of confidence in our shared sense of reality.

What happens when it's gone? Oh, Oh.


“I have a hunch that the next BIG thing in tech just might be fixing the mess created by the current BIG thing in tech.”

Hey, Ted. I was onto that long ago. All I was missing was the millions it took to start up and compete.
Maybe I'll bootstrap.

GREAT ARTICLE

[bucolic_frolic]

1. It will reward dominance because they know what they want.

Everything else will be fractured and confused.

[littlemissmartypants]

2. Is there a link?

My blood pressure is wack today so my head's spinning. I need help. Did I miss it?

[Snarkoleptic]

3. AI is a tool of the broligarchs, to make facts unknowable.

When it fully infects the info-sphere, we'll all be consuming AI slop controlled by billionaires.

[LymphocyteLover]

7. that's what the Kremlin tried to do for decades. It's Putin's dream!

[justaprogressive]

4. Link

https://www.honest-broker.com/p/our-shared-reality-will-self-destruct

[usonian]

5. OOPS I forgot.

Thanks!

[justaprogressive]

6. no worries!

[LymphocyteLover]

8. The real problem will be with online news and that's why we need a free non-controlled news media.

[usonian]

9. First, what WAS independent news became mostly eye candy to boost ads.

Public news has been sabotaged.

I had hoped that "WikiNews" would catch on. Basically, headline news is a commodity, and people pay behind paywalls to get expensive in-depth reporting.

IMO, it's another thing to be reinvented.

Ted Gioia and others talk about trust, and trust is gone until new trust networks can arise.

I'll throw some ideas out there. All the tech pieces are there.

It's just a matter of making it happen, and hopefully by bootstrapping.

The "small of beautiful" model rather than "Network Effect and Economy of Scale" model.

Working on it.