The Battleground State Formula -- 270 to Win

[ancianita]

Right now it's Wisconsin.

1. Police kill a black person -- cameras, guns
2. BLM and/or allies protest the police abuse -- no cameras, no guns
3. Armed white supremacists hijack protests with breaking and burning -- media, guns
4. Trump sends in militias -- campaign ads
5. Fearful voters vote for Trump

[Thekaspervote]

1. See Cook Political or ElectoralVote.com

Also 538 does not show Wi, Mi, or PA as toss ups.. nor does the Economist

[ancianita]

3. I hear you. But whenever I see Trump tweeting federal 'help' in battleground states, I

think of where he was in 2016, behind Hillary, and how he pulled it out.

Things can change in the next 70 days.

As when Obama ran, we need to act like we're 30 points down, as Plouffe has said.

[peacebuzzard]

2. ancianita! Thanks for the post.

I was wondering how at this moment it was sorta kinda lining up.
Here's to the red southern coalition breaking up! with GA, FL or NC, or all of it.
That will rearrange the historic lineup nicely.

[ancianita]

4. Hiya! Welcome!

I so hope you're right.

[peacebuzzard]

5. Yes, getting my party gear

for the pivotal moment.

[ancianita]

6. Let us know when that happens.