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Wed Jul 22, 2020, 10:48 AM

FL's 7-Day trends for Covid showing maybe perhaps some signs of hope?

Seeing the 7-day trends either rising more slowly or actually appearing to plateau and even tick downward on some.





All of my data can be seen here:

Data source: https://tinyurl.com/y7dvoc9w
(data based on daily FL DOH PDF report)
http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_partners/covid19_report_archive/state_reports_latest.pdf

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Reply FL's 7-Day trends for Covid showing maybe perhaps some signs of hope? (Original post)
Roland99 Jul 2020 OP
JT45242 Jul 2020 #1
Roland99 Jul 2020 #2
Towlie Jul 2020 #18
Native Jul 2020 #3
Roland99 Jul 2020 #6
Roland99 Jul 2020 #8
Chainfire Jul 2020 #4
Roland99 Jul 2020 #10
rzemanfl Jul 2020 #5
Native Jul 2020 #11
Roland99 Jul 2020 #13
Native Jul 2020 #14
Roland99 Jul 2020 #16
OrlandoDem2 Jul 2020 #7
Roland99 Jul 2020 #9
obamanut2012 Jul 2020 #17
samsingh Jul 2020 #12
Native Jul 2020 #15

Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 10:54 AM

1. Nope -- capacity limit asymptote

Hospitalizations are flat because there are no more beds.

Cases are flat because they are put of testing supplies(or just not testing).

Let's wait a week and see what happens to the death rate. Of course, In Florida if you have a second residence somewhere else (as many retirees do), they will not count them in the state statistics and those Covid deaths disappear into the bureaucratic ether.

This is the dangerous kind of false narrative with statistics that will allow the evil governors to justify their decisions.

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Response to JT45242 (Reply #1)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 10:58 AM

2. Plenty of capacity still in terms of beds that can be converted

https://bi.ahca.myflorida.com/t/ABICC/views/Public/ICUBedsCounty?%3AshowAppBanner=false&%3Adisplay_count=n&%3AshowVizHome=n&%3Aorigin=viz_share_link&%3Aembed=y

The ICUBedsCounty is the one I've paid attention to most and I've never seen it drop below 15% statewide. Some counties have dropped to low single digits but then they convert beds into ICU.

Death rate does lag hospitalizations by 2-3 weeks so that will continue to rise but seeing signs of reaching the peak

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Response to JT45242 (Reply #1)

Sun Jul 26, 2020, 09:10 AM

18. "Let's wait a week and see what happens to the death rate."

Right! It's relatively fast and easy to test for death.

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 11:01 AM

3. The South Florida Sun Sentinel reported that Florida may be misrepresenting their numbers by

Counting their negative cases twice. In today's Tampa Bay Times:

Follow the link below to view the article.
Florida cases point to spread
https://tampabaytimes-fl.newsmemory.com/?publink=063ce0a10

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Response to Native (Reply #3)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 11:46 AM

6. Some somewhat poor reporting by the Sun Sentinel and even worse by that Tampa Bay writer.

The FL DOH PDF has multiple sections to it.

I just made a series of tweets to show what's going on with that report.








Full thread
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1285974509053513731.html?refreshed=1595436733


Hope that helps

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Response to Roland99 (Reply #6)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 11:52 AM

8. meh...forgot a pic.

this is the Grand Total at the last page of the report.



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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 11:07 AM

4. Still in the 10,000 daily range for new cases (just under that today)

In my layman's opinion, we are seeing the end of the 4th of July surge. We will probably see another huge rush on, the reopening of schools, Labor day, or in the event of a hurricane forcing people into crowed shelters, or to travel, to be followed by Thanksgiving and Christmas rushes.

There is no force in play in Florida to tamp down the pandemic, Florida's governor has decided to just go with the flow, and ignore the virus; the ass will not even mandate mask usage. It is leadership Republican style. Desantis is trying to prove that he is Presidential material and that he can beat Rick Scott to the Oval Office.

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Response to Chainfire (Reply #4)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 11:54 AM

10. Just as trump has left it up to the states, #DeathSantis has left it up to the counties

piss-poor leadership at the national and (FL) state levels.

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 11:20 AM

5. I don't believe a word they say or a number they cite. n/t

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Response to rzemanfl (Reply #5)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 11:58 AM

11. Yup. Rebekah Jones.

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Response to Native (Reply #11)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 12:10 PM

13. Don't trust her

She artificially inflates the daily numbers by including unreliable antibody test results. Those offer nothing and distort the true growth.

FL already publishes those weekly in a separate report.

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Response to Roland99 (Reply #13)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 04:53 PM

14. She may have made an error, but she doesn't have the agenda that our Gov has.

DeathSantis cannot be trusted.

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Response to Native (Reply #14)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 06:55 PM

16. No, he can't. But she's not trustworthy either

And thatís not just an error. She made a horrible error in judgment and she has disgraced herself even more

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 11:51 AM

7. Orlando Sentinel today said the state positivity rate was 10.7% yesterday.

If thatís accurate (I donít trust DeSantis) thatís a slight glimmer of hope.

Still needs to trend downward.

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Response to OrlandoDem2 (Reply #7)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 11:53 AM

9. See post #6. I breakdown the state report in detail

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Response to OrlandoDem2 (Reply #7)

Fri Jul 24, 2020, 08:48 AM

17. I don't trust DeathSantis' numbers -- more like 20%

And even higher in some counties -- I would place real money on that.

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 12:00 PM

12. who trusts data coming out of repugs including Florida?

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Response to samsingh (Reply #12)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 04:53 PM

15. No one I know.

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