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elleng

(131,136 posts)
Sat Mar 12, 2016, 06:37 PM Mar 2016

Edwards takes lead in U.S. Senate race, Sun/UB poll finds.

'Rep. Donna F. Edwards, long seen as an underdog in the race for Maryland's open U.S. Senate seat, now has a slight lead and is winning among several critical Democratic constituencies, a new poll for The Baltimore Sun and the University of Baltimore shows.

The Prince George's County Democrat has opened a significant margin among women, African-Americans and voters in the Baltimore region, considered the most important battleground in the contest to replace retiring Sen. Barbara A. Mikulski.

When respondents were asked to consider the entire field of 10 candidates, many of whom have not campaigned, 34 percent of likely Democratic primary voters supported Edwards and 28 percent Rep. Chris Van Hollen of Montgomery County. When respondents' choices were limited to those two, Edwards' lead grew to 10 percentage points.

The numbers have the potential to rewrite the conventional wisdom in the race, which loosely mirrors the battle for the Democratic presidential nomination in that it pits a veteran political figure, Van Hollen, against a self-proclaimed outsider, Edwards. Van Hollen has raised far more money and has a significantly longer list of endorsements.

"He still has a great opportunity, but she's now changed the dynamics of the race," said Steve Raabe, president of OpinionWorks, the Annapolis-based firm that conducted the poll. "She's come up to Baltimore and she's established herself here."'>>>

http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/politics/2016-senate-race/bs-md-poll-senate-20160311-story.html

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Edwards takes lead in U.S. Senate race, Sun/UB poll finds. (Original Post) elleng Mar 2016 OP
Best of luck to both of them, but I can't focus on a "SAFE D" seat...too many others up for grabs brooklynite Mar 2016 #1
Emily's List qwlauren35 Mar 2016 #2
My current read is: brooklynite Mar 2016 #3

qwlauren35

(6,150 posts)
2. Emily's List
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 03:17 PM
Mar 2016

Is trying to flip 5 Senate seats. I'll post them in a little while. Definitely NC, and wherever Tammy Duckworth is.

brooklynite

(94,742 posts)
3. My current read is:
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 03:36 PM
Mar 2016

Wisconsin (Feingold) and Illinois (Duckworth) should be easy pickups

Ohio (Strickland) and New Hampshire (Hassan) should be narrow wins

North Carolina (Deborah Ross) is looking promising

Pennsylvania (Sestak/McGinty) and Florida (Grayson/Murphy) should be pickups, but we're stuck in messy primaries.

Arizona (Kirkpatrick) and Missouri (Kander) are outliers with potential opportunities for pickups

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