Romney's ads in Minnesota

[question everything]

At least one explanation today of why we see ads all of a sudden: aimed at Wisconsin.

What is scary is that, according to the stib poll, Obama is only 3 points ahead, with the margin of error.

http://www.startribune.com/politics/statelocal/176113071.html

When was the last time Minnesota voted Republican? 1972?

[riverwalker]

1. poll details

The poll was conducted among 800 likely Minnesota voters who were contacted on their land lines or cellphones between Oct. 23 and Oct. 25.

[Brickbat]

2. Romney has no ground game here. Once it's time to GOTV, Obama will win by 6-10.

[progree]

3. "When was the last time MN voted Republican? 1972?" Yes. I just read that. Nixon v. McGovern

I read the ads are aimed here too -- ads broadcast in the Twin Cities reach into western Wisconsin so they get a bit of a two-fer. Per: http://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2012/10/28/talking-points-the-2012-election-will-be-a-toss-up/

In response to tightening polls, Romney did start running ads in the Twin Cities over the weekend but it was a small ad buy that was countered by a small number of ads run by the Obama campaign.

Thankfully these are small ad buys. I am so so sick of the Cravaack ads against Rick Nolan, and I only watch commercial TV on Saturday and Sunday just to catch the news (since there is no PBS Newshour on the weekends).

[progree]

4. Excruciatingly detailed analysis of the Strib poll (the Ob +3) & other polls (David Brauer Minnpost)

http://www.minnpost.com/braublog/2012/10/obama-only-3-minnesota-plausible

For poll wonks only. I wouldn't know how to begin to summarize it.