HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Places » U.S. » Minnesota (Group) » Race is tightening

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 01:26 PM

Race is tightening

Trafalgar Group (never heard of them) put Biden and Trump at 47 each.

https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/minnesota/


Tina smith leads Jason Lewis 48 to 45 - within the margin of error and is now considered a tossup.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/minnesota/

I really am afraid that Trump will win Minnesota. I did not realize, until recently, that he lost Minnesota in the smallest margin.

Smith and Biden better start condemning the "unrest" in the strongest terms. Blame it on outside agitators, or something. But speak up. Deflecting the blame to Trump will not do it.

Smith was interviewed this morning

https://minnesota.cbslocal.com/video/4684941-sen-tina-smith-joins-esme-murphy-in-studio/




15 replies, 1224 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread

Response to question everything (Original post)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 01:32 PM

1. Omg


Lets give it a rest.
There are still 2 months and 3 debates.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to question everything (Original post)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 01:33 PM

2. Trafalgar Group is too much of an outlier

... to be credible.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to BlueWavePsych (Reply #2)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 01:35 PM

4. Thanks. And welcome to DU


Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to question everything (Original post)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 01:35 PM

3. Trafalgar is GOP leaning pollster

But, if I remember correctly, they got Michigan and Pennsylvania right in 2016, as well as the Florida Gov and Senate races in 2018.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to DetroitLegalBeagle (Reply #3)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 01:44 PM

6. What about Emerson College?

Biden 51, Trump 49 which, I think, is also within the margin of error

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/minnesota/

What also scares me, is that Fischbach is leading Peterson by 10 points.


Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to question everything (Original post)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 01:43 PM

5. Trafslgar is a c- rated pollster. Lets see what better rated pollsters come up with

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to still_one (Reply #5)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 01:48 PM

7. Emerson, college? See above?

Emerson was before both Convention, 8/11. Trafalgar after the DNC, Aug 20. Will have to see after the RNC, too.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to question everything (Reply #7)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 01:52 PM

8. That is from August 18. Meaningless because that was before the conventions, and other things that

occurred since which you also noted

I want to see current polls, not 2 weeks ago

Here is averages

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/minnesota/

Still too much volatility, however, they are tightening, and the looting and fires that interjected themselves in the protests did not help us, and it didnít matter that a lot of that was from right wing groups

When the Mayor came out to show support for the protest, and they asked him if he was for defunding the police he said he was for reform, and the lead protester told him to get the fuck out, was not good optics, and I suspect this kind of stuff is what is hurting us




Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to question everything (Original post)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 02:07 PM

9. The only poll to correctly call 16 has Biden with a 14pt lead. High ratings..the race is not tight


****DAILY USC DORNSIFE POLL FOR AUG 29****

USC Dornsife is a daily head to head Biden v Trump poll.
https://election.usc.edu/

AUG 28 -- BIDEN -- 52.85
TRUMP -- 40.51

AUG 29 -- BIDEN -- 53.53
TRUMP -- 39.87

Add to this: ABC/IPSOS pOLLING INDICATES THAT THERE WAS NO TRUMP BOUNCE.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/8/30/1973510/-A-new-ABC-Ipsos-poll-shows-NO-Trump-post-convention-bounce

Also this
https://cookpolitical.com/index.php/analysis/national/national-politics/many-are-afraid-say-it-not-close-race

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #9)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 02:11 PM

10. Dead tRrump bounce

... is over.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #9)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 02:11 PM

11. It won't be the National polls but the swing states that will determine the election

I am pretty confident we will win the popular vote, not so sure about the electoral college

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to still_one (Reply #11)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 02:13 PM

12. I'm getting a good feeling about FL, PA, MI, WI and even AZ.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to BlueWavePsych (Reply #12)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 02:47 PM

14. I would have to see what happens in the next couple of weeks with the polling in those

states before I feel more optimistic

If we win the states you just named, then we win the election

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #9)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 05:38 PM

15. But not for Minnesota. The polls that I cited are for Minnesota

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to question everything (Original post)

Sun Aug 30, 2020, 02:20 PM

13. Biden needs to take MN!! It has voted Dem for 48 years! But if he locks up FL it's kinda moot.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread