Could Lara Trump run in NC in 2022? Open Senate seat expected to draw a GOP crowd

[TexasTowelie]

WASHINGTON -- The votes in North Carolina’s 2020 U.S. Senate race, the most expensive in history, have not yet been certified and there is already jockeying for 2022.

Republican Sen. Richard Burr, who is in his third term, does not plan to run for a fourth term in 2022, opening up a rare opportunity for Republicans and Democrats to compete for an open seat in the state.

The last time North Carolina had a U.S. Senate race without an incumbent was 2004, when Democratic incumbent John Edwards ran for president instead of reelection. Before that, Republican Jesse Helms retired rather than run for another term in 2002. Before that: 1974.

Lara Trump, President Donald Trump’s daughter-in-law, is considering a run for the Republican nomination, The New York Times reported Thursday. Trump, who is married to Eric Trump, grew up in Wilmington and attended N.C. State. She was a key surrogate for President Trump during his reelection bid.

Read more: https://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/article247295799.html

[FBaggins]

1. Her chances seem slim to me

Might not be as crowded as the article predicts... because redistricting is likely to redraw those two lost seats (and possibly a new one from reapportionment) into the Republican column. So those two former House members will probably settle for their old jobs back.

But even without them I think she would be well behind McCrory

[TexasTowelie]

2. Redistricting has no effect on U.S. Senate elections.

Each state gets two senators and the vote is statewide so where the boundary lines are drawn is irrelevant. I agree that she will likely find strong opponents that have already established patronage in the state.

[FBaggins]

4. It does in the context of this article

Two of the mentioned candidates for the Senate seats are Republican House members whose seats were lost due to court-ordered changes last year.

If those two seats (and perhaps a third new one) are drawn to be competitive for republicans, it’s likely that those two candidates will return to those races (and thus be unavailable for a Senate run)

[TexasTowelie]

6. Okiay, I understand your point better.

My apologies for not catching on quicker.

[FBaggins]

7. No problem at all

I agree that the gerrymandering ghost is seen here far more frequently than it applies.

[Freethinker65]

3. She can run, but would only stand a chance if she dumps her last name and husband.

[no_hypocrisy]

5. She's resided in NYC for years.

How would she qualify to run in NC? Is she leaving Eric and moving there?