Lyceum poll: Abbott ahead in run for governor, but half of all Texans not yet tuned in
A new Texas Lyceum poll indicates that Attorney General Greg Abbott is the clear front-runner to become the states next governor. But, according to the survey, which was in the field for two weeks in September, half of all Texans have yet to even think about who they support or express a preference.
The poll found that among registered voters, Abbott held a 29 to 21 percent advantage in a potential matchup against Democratic state Sen. Wendy Davis, who is expected to announce her candidacy for governor Thursday.
But, 50 percent hadnt yet thought about it enough to have a preference. Not surprisingly, Democrats and black respondents expressed a preference for Davis while white respondents, independents, men, and Republicans expressed a preference for Abbott. Hispanics showed a slight preference for Davis, and women expressed a very slight preference for Abbott that is within the margin of error, the pollsters said.
According to the Lyceum survey, conducted by University of Texas professor Daron Shaw and UT PhD candidate Joshua Blank, The good news for the GOP is that these numbers translate into an edge of between 8 and 16 points, assuming undecided voters break proportionately. The (potentially) good news for the Democrats is that roughly half of the potential electorate hasnt thought enough about the election yet to have an opinion.
More at http://www.statesman.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/lyceum-poll-abbott-ahead-in-run-for-governor-but-h/nbDCW/ .