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riversedge

(70,285 posts)
Fri Jan 12, 2018, 02:45 PM Jan 2018

Next week's special Senate election first to test national Democratic wave in Wisconsin

I will be phone banking tomorrow. Lots of well off people live here now along the St Croix. It has become very gentrified sorry to say.





Next week's special Senate election first to test national Democratic wave in Wisconsin



http://host.madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/next-week-s-special-senate-election-first-to-test-national/article_41d91ff1-8a11-5417-a875-edcdd5acbedd.html

MATTHEW DeFOUR mdefour@madison.com Jan 10, 2018

Sen. Sheila Harsdorf's appointment to Gov. Scott Walker's cabinet triggered next Tuesday's special election.

MICHELLE STOCKER, THE CAPITAL TIMES


Next Tuesday’s special Senate election in northwestern Wisconsin will be the first indicator of whether a surge in Democratic electoral success last year around the country is coming to Wisconsin in 2018.

In the wake of President Donald Trump’s victory in 2016, and a tumultuous first year in office in which his job approval rating plummeted, Democrats received more votes than expected in state and federal special elections last year, even in races they lost, according to multiple reports.

There were 98 special legislative elections last year across the country, with Democrats picking up 11 seats held by Republicans, according to election-tracking website ballotpedia.com. That was the biggest gain for Democrats in at least seven years.

The political number-crunchers at fivethirtyeight.com reviewed the 2017 results and previous voting history in each district and found the Democratic vote total in special elections was 12 points higher than in previous elections.

Pollsters at ALG Research, a Washington-based research company that works with Democrats including Barack Obama’s campaign, drew a similar conclusion. They found Democrats in legislative special elections last year improved upon Obama’s 2012 vote percentage difference versus Mitt Romney in those same districts by 6 points and Hillary Clinton’s 2016 vote percentage difference versus Donald Trump in those districts by 12.1 points.

It’s unclear whether that Democratic voter enthusiasm will translate to a win in Wisconsin’s 10th Senate District. Obama lost the district by 6 points in 2012 and Clinton lost it by 17 points in 2016.

...................................


Neil Kraus, chairman of the political science department at UW-River Falls, said at this point every race for state or national office will be some kind of referendum on Trump. He said the district has become increasingly conservative over time with more upper-middle-income white voters moving into the St. Croix County suburbs of Minneapolis.

“If the Democrats are even in the ballpark, it’s not a great sign for the Republican Party,” he said.

End












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Patty Schachtner is running for State Senate!

While our current elected officials have been busy playing politics, Patty has been busy helping people. Whether through her work as St. Croix County's medical examiner addressing the addiction epidemic and mental health crisis, supporting local schools on her school board, or helping community non-profits, Patty is always looking for ways to improve people's lives.

Now, Patty wants to put her common sense approach to work representing Wisconsin's 10th State Senate District. Patty won’t ask whether an idea is Democratic or Republican, just whether it’s a good idea for Western Wisconsin.


Learn More
Patty Headshot.jpg
Donate

I won’t ask whether an idea is Democratic or Republican, just whether it’s a good idea for Western Wisconsin. I’ll fight for every Western Wisconsin family.

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Next week's special Senate election first to test national Democratic wave in Wisconsin (Original Post) riversedge Jan 2018 OP
ahh, STATE senate, OK, now it makes sense. Eliot Rosewater Jan 2018 #1
She sounds like she would be a great senator WhiteTara Jan 2018 #2
Voter suppression and gerrymandering in Wisconsin are epic. LisaM Jan 2018 #3
Donate to her here: progressoid Jan 2018 #4

Eliot Rosewater

(31,121 posts)
1. ahh, STATE senate, OK, now it makes sense.
Fri Jan 12, 2018, 02:50 PM
Jan 2018

You wonder what will happen.

Remember to factor in a sizable percentage for the KGB and voter suppression, on average any democrat running anywhere in America has to win by more than at least 5% to win by 1% on the page.

if you get my drift

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