Wisconsin
Related: About this forumNext week's special Senate election first to test national Democratic wave in Wisconsin
I will be phone banking tomorrow. Lots of well off people live here now along the St Croix. It has become very gentrified sorry to say.
Next week's special Senate election first to test national Democratic wave in Wisconsin
http://host.madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/next-week-s-special-senate-election-first-to-test-national/article_41d91ff1-8a11-5417-a875-edcdd5acbedd.html
MATTHEW DeFOUR mdefour@madison.com Jan 10, 2018
Sen. Sheila Harsdorf's appointment to Gov. Scott Walker's cabinet triggered next Tuesday's special election.
MICHELLE STOCKER, THE CAPITAL TIMES
Next Tuesdays special Senate election in northwestern Wisconsin will be the first indicator of whether a surge in Democratic electoral success last year around the country is coming to Wisconsin in 2018.
In the wake of President Donald Trumps victory in 2016, and a tumultuous first year in office in which his job approval rating plummeted, Democrats received more votes than expected in state and federal special elections last year, even in races they lost, according to multiple reports.
There were 98 special legislative elections last year across the country, with Democrats picking up 11 seats held by Republicans, according to election-tracking website ballotpedia.com. That was the biggest gain for Democrats in at least seven years.
The political number-crunchers at fivethirtyeight.com reviewed the 2017 results and previous voting history in each district and found the Democratic vote total in special elections was 12 points higher than in previous elections.
Pollsters at ALG Research, a Washington-based research company that works with Democrats including Barack Obamas campaign, drew a similar conclusion. They found Democrats in legislative special elections last year improved upon Obamas 2012 vote percentage difference versus Mitt Romney in those same districts by 6 points and Hillary Clintons 2016 vote percentage difference versus Donald Trump in those districts by 12.1 points.
Its unclear whether that Democratic voter enthusiasm will translate to a win in Wisconsins 10th Senate District. Obama lost the district by 6 points in 2012 and Clinton lost it by 17 points in 2016.
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Neil Kraus, chairman of the political science department at UW-River Falls, said at this point every race for state or national office will be some kind of referendum on Trump. He said the district has become increasingly conservative over time with more upper-middle-income white voters moving into the St. Croix County suburbs of Minneapolis.
If the Democrats are even in the ballpark, its not a great sign for the Republican Party, he said.
End
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Patty Schachtner is running for State Senate!
While our current elected officials have been busy playing politics, Patty has been busy helping people. Whether through her work as St. Croix County's medical examiner addressing the addiction epidemic and mental health crisis, supporting local schools on her school board, or helping community non-profits, Patty is always looking for ways to improve people's lives.
Now, Patty wants to put her common sense approach to work representing Wisconsin's 10th State Senate District. Patty wont ask whether an idea is Democratic or Republican, just whether its a good idea for Western Wisconsin.
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I wont ask whether an idea is Democratic or Republican, just whether its a good idea for Western Wisconsin. Ill fight for every Western Wisconsin family.
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Eliot Rosewater
(31,121 posts)You wonder what will happen.
Remember to factor in a sizable percentage for the KGB and voter suppression, on average any democrat running anywhere in America has to win by more than at least 5% to win by 1% on the page.
if you get my drift
WhiteTara
(29,721 posts)Good Luck!
LisaM
(27,827 posts)Interesting to see what happens.