Alberta's rising COVID-19 cases due to faulty modelling and government inaction, experts say

[Spazito]

Alberta's plan to lift all pandemic restrictions and precautions appears to have been based on a scenario rooted more in wishful optimism and political expediency than obvious scientific evidence, say experts in infectious diseases and pandemic modelling.

But they say the problem was compounded as Premier Jason Kenney and Dr. Deena Hinshaw, the chief medical officer of health, failed to reimpose measures despite the steady rise of COVID-19 infections and hospitalizations through the summer.

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"The bottom line is that people are going to die and it is really tragic — but it is also infuriating, because this was all entirely preventable."

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According to Kenney and Hinshaw, the moves were based on data from the United Kingdom showing that high vaccination rates had "decoupled" infections from severe outcomes, which in turn had resulted in much lower rates of hospitalization.

But both Schwartz and Dean Karlen, a physics professor and expert in modelling at the University of Victoria, said Alberta's reliance on the U.K. experience made little sense.

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https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/alberta-covid-19-modelling-1.6168948

[Backseat Driver]

1. Alberta's leadership signed onto the "churn"?

"Land (along with the gas, oil, mineral, and water rights), Katie Scarlett, is the ONLY thing that matters!" - GWTW - Hmmmm...

Rural (Canada's breadbasket) versus more densely populated areas of their nation that see their "nationality" and lifestyles differently? How does the Brexit mentality refiguring the "models" in the UK figure in as well.

Winter is coming!

[Spazito]

2. I think Kenney and his cohorts went looking for the 'best' model...

they could find so they could throw the doors wide open instead of doing the right thing so they found the outlier one from the UK.

[healthnut7]

3. Kenney is a Disaster Dumpster!!

Many doctors have left the province because of what he has done to them. Apparently 11,000 nurses have been cut. He wants them taking a pay cut and now he's saying he will bring in more nurses and pay them $50 to $75 an hour, which is no where near what the existing nurses make.
He wanted the Calgary Stampede wide open with no restrictions and now the highest Covid numbers are in Alberta. I guess there are more rodeos to go so while they have no rules on how long they can serve liquor the bar owners have to stop serving drinks at 10 pm.
His base are the rural people so I see why he is doing this.

[Spazito]

4. Yes, he is...

His numbers are plummeting but he thinks his base will keep him in power. I think he's mistaken as even they are unhappy because he put a few protocols back in place.