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Related: About this forumRust belt analysis - "The Myth of the Rust Belt Revolt" Slate
Essentially, this article says that trump didn't win rust belt voters, especially white ones, by as much as as the Democrats lost them. It turned out to be about turnout. Recent Democrats stayed home.
The Myth of the Rust Belt Revolt
My analysis to add is that we were told over and over that Hillary's ground game was superior to Trumps. In the places with more robust economies, that appears to be true. In the places dealing with job loss, it appears that messaging failed. To quote a previous Clinton campaign, "It's the economy stupid!"
These seem to be easy voters to win back. Just talk to them about the economy. Despite DU histrionics to the contrary, that can be done while still running on your record of diversity.
elleng
(130,895 posts)Milwaukee I love telling people Im from Wisconsin. Maybe its my defense mechanism for when people accuse me of being a coastal elite, out of touch with Real America. I like fulfilling all the Wisconsin stereotypes. I love cheese and cheese curds, of course. I love our sports teams out of a vague sense of homerism. And my accent (all hard As) comes out in full force after ah couplah beers.
Mostly I love my grandma, who has called Wisconsin home for 88 years. Her parents immigrated to Wisconsin from Germany, and she started public school without knowing a word of English. She forgot most of the German her parents taught her years ago, but taught me the words to the Liechtensteiner Polka that we would sometimes hear when my family would go to a Friday night fish fry.
Up until Nov. 8, I still believed my states moral baseline bent toward empathy. The Wisconsin I thought I knew, where I lived for 21 years, was filled with complex but fundamentally decent people who recognized that everyone is deserving of respect and could disagree without being disagreeable. The state did elect Scott Walker as governor in 2010, and the Republican-led legislature gutted public-sector unions, setting off huge protests in the Capitol. But I didnt think that state would vote for Donald J. Trump, turning its 10 electoral votes to a Republican for the first time since 1984. (I mean, come on, we even voted for Dukakis.)
As much as Mr. Trump won the election in Wisconsin, Hillary Clinton lost it. Her campaign, which prided itself on employing all the data wizards and ground game gurus money can buy, did not do nearly enough to lock down the upper Midwest, particularly Wisconsin and Michigan, and instead treated those states as a given.
Paul Soglin is the mayor of Madison, Wisconsins capital city, in cerulean Dane County. He supported Senator Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary, and said he talked at least once a week with a field organizer from the Sanders campaign during the primary. But once Mrs. Clinton locked up the nomination, it was radio silence from the Clinton campaign.
Since I first held elected office in the early 70s, virtually every presidential election, Ive been contacted, either by the candidate or by a staffer, he told me. Im not saying this to say Im important. But the point is, not only wasnt she in the state, but I never got a call, a contact, anything after the primary.'>>>
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/22/opinion/campaign-stops/not-your-grandmothers-wisconsin.html?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1016171309