2017 Election prediction-AL US Senate,NJ Governor, and VA Governor

[nkpolitics1212]

AL US Senate- Moore-R by a 0 to 5 percent margin.
NJ Governor- Murphy-D by a 15 to 20 percent margin.
VA Governor- Northam-D by a 5 to 10 percent margin.

[JustAnotherGen]

1. Not surprised

Kim G has a better chance of meeting God in the next five minutes than she does of beating Phil. Even at a local (borough) campaign event last night - it was the talk of the town. There will be huge down ticket impacts (positive) to him being on the roster.

Northam - will wait to see in the next few days how boots on the ground are feeling. I.E. May not be able to make calls but if they need cash I will throw some there.

Moore winning - I'm not surprised.

[nkpolitics1212]

3. Which NJ Governor is going to appoint the next US Senator from NJ?

Christie-R-?
Murphy-D-?
If Christie-R gets to appoint, any chance he appoints Guadagno-R to the US Senate or will he appoint Chris Smith? Smith is the only stable Republican NJ US Congressperson from a safe Republican district.

[JustAnotherGen]

4. I don't think it will happen

In the next two months. At this point, I don't even think Bob is going to get convicted.

Also if you remember the fiasco when Lautner died . . . It can't wait until November 2018 - Special election. There was a lot of nonsense that went down holding Booker's election JUST prior to the 2013 election.

If he were to appoint someone in the next 3 months - then there will be a recall effort. And if you really look at ALL of the races?

I'll bet the people get their way come late January.

Ain't no way there is going to be anything BUT a super majority in the Senate and Assembly. Ain't no way.

[lunasun]

2. Screw polls everyone needs to GOTV. Make sure to voice your opinion to folks they need to vote

regardless of how far ahead the dems look

You can bet the push will be on and Rs will be doing that with thier voters in AL and elsewhere

[JustAnotherGen]

5. Murphy vs Kim G poll this morning

http://www.nj.com/politics/index.ssf/2017/10/new_poll_shows_guadagno_gaining_but_is_it_too_late.html

51% to 37% I still don't think she can close the gap. She did all of this nonsense with sanctuary cities -

And now we are starting to see ugly ugly commercials from the Murphy campaign. And it's working.


She went low - so he's kicking her while she's down there.