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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Fri Dec 8, 2017, 12:14 AM Dec 2017

2018/2020 US Senate Election-Democrats guide to regaining control of the US Senate.

If Democrats were to regain control of the US Senate in 2018.
Jones-AL has to pull off an upset on Tuesday. 49D
McCaskill-MO,Donnelly-IN,Nelson-FL(assuming Scott-R is the Republican nominee),Manchin-WV,Heitkamp-ND,Brown-OH,and Tester-MT has to get re-elected. I expect Baldwin-WI, Casey-PA,Stabenow-MI, the Democratic nominee in MN Special,Kaine-VA, and Menendez-NJ to get re-elected by a high single/low double digit margin.
Sinema-AZ and Rosen-NV have to get elected. 51D
If Jones-AL doesn't succeed on Tuesday, Bredesen-TN is plan B.
If Bredesen-TN,McCaskill-MO,and Donnelly-IN don't succeed in November 2018.
2020 will be the year Democrats regain control of the US Senate.
Democrats hold onto MN(winner of the 2018 Special Election),VA(Warner-D wins by a wider margin than in 2014),NH(Shaheen-D defeats Sununu-R). Durbin-IL,Markey-MA,Peters-MI,Booker-NJ,Udall-NM,Merkley-OR,and Reed-RI will win re-election by a double digit margin.
Democrats will pick up CO(Hickenlooper-D or Perlmutter-D), AZ Special(Kelly-D or Stanton-D),NC(Stein-D or Wood-D)
ME(If Collins-R is not the Republican Nominee and Baldacci-D is the Democratic Nominee) and MT(Bullock-D). 53D.

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2018/2020 US Senate Election-Democrats guide to regaining control of the US Senate. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Dec 2017 OP
I think assuming Democrats hold onto MN next year is a bit overoptimistic... regnaD kciN Dec 2017 #1
Democrats are going to win Franken's MN US Senate seat in 2018 due to the coattails of nkpolitics1212 Dec 2017 #2

regnaD kciN

(26,276 posts)
1. I think assuming Democrats hold onto MN next year is a bit overoptimistic...
Fri Dec 8, 2017, 01:40 AM
Dec 2017

Minnesota hasn't been the old-time Humphrey/Mondale liberal stronghold for many election cycles now. Demographically, it's between the former reliable-Democratic states of Michigan and Wisconsin, and we've all seen what's happened to them in the past decade or so (not just Trump, but the election and re-election of both Walker and Snyder). The seat was probably safe in 2020 because of Franken's popularity there, but, without him, I'd rate it a toss-up.

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
2. Democrats are going to win Franken's MN US Senate seat in 2018 due to the coattails of
Fri Dec 8, 2017, 09:33 AM
Dec 2017

Klobuchar-D who is favored to win the other MN US Senate Race in 2018 by a double digit margin. Democrats are favored to win very statewide elected office in MN-Goverrnor,Secretary of State,Attorney General,and State Auditor in 2018. Democrats will win Franken's MN US Senate seat again in 2020 due to the coattails of the 2020 Democratic US Presidential nominee. If Trump-R was unable to carry MN in 2016, He is unlikely to carry it in 2020.

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