Which 2022 Democratic US Senate nominee will win by a wider margin?

[nkpolitics1212]

Murray(WA) or Bennet(CO)?
Ryan(OH) or Beasley(NC)?

Democrats will win
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)IA(Franken-D)

[MyMission]

1. Since you asked

I think NC over Ohio because the 2020 election results were closer in NC, where I live.
If we gain just one point and they lose one, we can win NC, and I'm hoping for several points. Ohio had an 8 point spread, so if we gained 4 and they lost 4 we could win Ohio. Both are possible, but NC was closer. And based on the 2020 numbers, I think Washington will yield a wider margin than Colorado. The numbers below came from Wikipedia election results.

Biden 2020. vs tRump 2020
NC 2,684,292 48.59% – 2,758,775 49.93%
Ohio 2,679,165 45.24% – 3,154,834 53.27%


CO. 1,804,352 55.40% 9 1,364,607 41.90%
WA 2,369,612 57.97% 12 1,584,651 38.77%

There is a good chance purple NC will elect Beasley. In 2020 we reelected both our democratic governor and rethug senator. We went for Obama in 2008 but not 2012.
We shall see, less than 4 months to go.