Campaigns

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts) Sat Oct 29, 2022, 04:33 PM Oct 2022

US Senate seats up in 2022 where the average margin of victory or defeat is less than 5 percent.

AZ(Kelly-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
WI(Barnes-D)

Democrats need to win 4 out of the these 8 seats in order to remain in the majority.

Democrats will win AZ(Kelly-D) and NH(Hassan-D) Democrats lead in every public opinion in polling in both of these seats.
Republicans will win NC(Budd-R),OH(Vance-R) and WI(Johnson-R).

The Tossup races are GA,NV,and PA. Democrats will win GA in the 12/2022 runoff.
Democrats need to win NV and PA.

2 replies

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US Senate seats up in 2022 where the average margin of victory or defeat is less than 5 percent. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Oct 2022 OP

If dems need 4 seats wryter2000 Oct 2022 #1

GA is most likely going to be decided in the 12/2022 runoff. nkpolitics1212 Oct 2022 #2

wryter2000

(46,133 posts)

1. If dems need 4 seats

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Oct 29, 2022, 04:44 PM

Oct 2022

AZ NH GA plus PA are 4. They don’t also need NV.

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)

2. GA is most likely going to be decided in the 12/2022 runoff.

Reply to wryter2000 (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 29, 2022, 05:03 PM

Oct 2022

I am not sure that Warnock-D will receive over 50 percent of the popular vote in the 11/2022 general election. This means Democrats need to win NV and PA to get 50 seats. On 12/2022, The Democratic heavy hitters like Obama,Biden,Harris,Ossoff, and Abrams campaign around the state to help Warnock win.

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