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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Sun Mar 7, 2021, 05:55 PM Mar 2021

US House Members that will lose their seat due to reapportionment.

NY
NY-26(Higgins-D) and NY-27(Jacobs-R) will be placed in the same district. Swing District.
NY-24(Katko-R) has to decide whether to run against Morelle-D(NY-25) or Tenney-R(NY-22).
IL- Bost-R(IL-12) and Davis-R(IL-13) will be placed in the same district.
MI- Slotkin-D(MI-8) and Stevens-D(MI-11) will be placed in the same district.
OH- Ryan-D(OH-13) has to decide whether to run against Joyce-R(OH-14) or Gonzalez-R(OH-16)
PA- Fitzpatrick-R(PA-1) has to decide whether to run against Dean-D(PA-4) or Wild-D(PA-7)/
Lamb-D(PA-17) and Doyle-D(PA-18) will be placed in the same district.
RI- Cicilline-D or Langevin-D will run for Governor or Lt Governor in 2022.
WV- Mooney-R(WV-2) has to decide whether to run against McKinley-R(WV-1) or Miller-R(WV-3)
CA- Valadao-R(CA-21) and Nunes-R(CA-22) will be placed in the same district.
AL- Rogers-R(AL-3) has to decide whether to run against Moore-R(AL-2), Aderholt-R(AL-4) or Palmer-R(AL-6)
MN- Craig-D(MN-2) has to decide whether to run against Phillips-D(MN-3) or Hagedorn-R(MN-1).

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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
4. OH-13 which is the district Ryan currently district is the district that is likely to get eliminated
Sun Mar 7, 2021, 06:12 PM
Mar 2021

OH-13 is a weak Democratic leaning congressional district.
OH-3(Beatty-D), OH-9(Kaptur-D), and OH-11(Whoever wins the special election to replace Fudge-D/Nina Turner-D) are safe Democratic leaning congressional district.

spooky3

(34,434 posts)
6. I understand what you are saying, but I am making a different point.
Sun Mar 7, 2021, 06:26 PM
Mar 2021

He may not have to choose another district. He may run for Senate, and I think he will.

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
7. Whoever lives in the current OH-13 that wants to be in the US House has to decide-
Sun Mar 7, 2021, 06:42 PM
Mar 2021

Whether to run for the US House from OH-14(Joyce-R) or OH-16(Gonzalez-R).
Another OH US Congressional District that could get eliminated is OH-9(Kaptur-D).
Kaptur-D will run in OH-5(Latta-R/Toledo). The remaining parts of OH-9 will be added to OH-4(Jordan-R), OH-7(Gibbs-R) and OH-16(Gonzalez-R).

OH-9(Kaptur-D) or OH-13(OPEN seat) are likely to eliminated.

Sanity Claws

(21,846 posts)
2. Doesn't reapportionment based on the 2020 census have to occur before we know who will lose a seat?
Sun Mar 7, 2021, 06:05 PM
Mar 2021

We probably can figure out whether a state has lost or gained a seat or two but the districts could be redrawn in ways other than what you predicted, right?

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
5. US Census decides how many US Congressional District each state has.
Sun Mar 7, 2021, 06:19 PM
Mar 2021

The state legislature or redistricting commission from each individual state decides how to redraw each congressional district from each state.

k8conant

(3,030 posts)
8. If WV loses a seat, it all depends on how the remaining two districts are split...
Sun Mar 7, 2021, 07:00 PM
Mar 2021

to see what happens with McKinley, Mooney(my yucky rep), and Miller. Mooney came as a carpetbagger from Maryland in 2014 and supposedly lives in the Charles Town area now. Of course, they're only required to live in the state, not in whatever district they run in.

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
9. I picked WV-2 because it is the central part of the state. 1/2 of WV-2 will go to WV-1.(North)
Sun Mar 7, 2021, 07:31 PM
Mar 2021

the other 1/2 of WV-2 will go to WV-3(South).

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