Sat Oct 9, 2021, 10:18 PM

Will the Democrats retain control of the US House after 2022?

Democrats gain
CA-21
CA-25
CA-39
CA-48
CO-8
OR-6
TX-37
229D
Democrats lose
OH-13
PA-17
WI-3
226D
Republicans gain
FL-28
MT-2
NC-14
TX-38
WI-3
218R
Republicans lose
CA-21
CA-22
CA-25
CA-39
CA-48
IL-13
MI-6
WV-3
209R

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2 replies	Author	Time	Post
Will the Democrats retain control of the US House after 2022? (Original post)	nkpolitics1212	Oct 2021	OP
Redistricting/redrawing of congressional maps hasn't even finished yet. n/t	PoliticAverse	Oct 2021	#1
I think the comparison needs to be against 2018 and not 2020.	LonePirate	Oct 2021	#2

Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Oct 9, 2021, 10:20 PM

PoliticAverse (26,233 posts)

1. Redistricting/redrawing of congressional maps hasn't even finished yet. n/t

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sun Oct 10, 2021, 12:50 AM

LonePirate (12,427 posts)

2. I think the comparison needs to be against 2018 and not 2020.

Repubs reaped a windfall in 2020 in suburban seats due to the massively increased turnout of the racist base for TFG. He's not on the ballot in 2022 so turnout will more closely resemble 2018 than 2020. That favors Dems but redistricting across the land changes things considerably. I don't think the final result will be as close as the 2020 House results; but it is far too early to say with any certainty.

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